Today’s 10-game fantasy baseball slate on DraftKings is a lot of fun, with some less than great teams in some more than great spots that present some good game theory questions on where to go. There is one true Ace priced well above the competition and a lot of mid-range pitchers who allow you to have freedom in how expensive you want to make your stacks. I think I’m going to eat some chalk on this breakdown, but I promise there are some contrarian thoughts as well. Let’s get started.
StudJustin Verlander, HOU at NYY, $12,000 — This is an exceptionally high price for a SP1 but Verlander is an exceptional pitcher and deserves it. He has yet to score less than 19 DKFP in any outing this season and has 30-plus in four of his last 10 games. Verlander faces a Yankees team that is getting healthy but still has a top-10 strikeout rate in the league. He may give up a home run or two but the upside is unmatched on this slate.
Other Options — Jacob deGrom ($10,500)
ValueMichael Pineda, MIN at KC, $6,700 — Although Pineda will continue to serve up meatballs, he’s found a way to consistently serviceable in fantasy. He has less than 10 DKFP in just three contests and just one of those has come in the last five starts, and considering he is up against the worst team on the slate in terms of wOBA, Pineda should have a nice floor for the price making him a good SP2 option.
Other Options — Daniel Norris ($5,500)
StudJames McCann, CWS at TEX, $4,600 — Although Adrian Sampson ($5,700) has had some good starts this year, he is still one of the most home-run prone pitchers in baseball with a massive flyball rate and solid contact against him. McCann has been in a bit of a breakout this season, with a .319/.380/.505 slash line with seven home runs and 13 doubles, and has been exhibiting great control recently, giving him a floor to match his ceiling.
Other Options — Yasmani Grandal ($4,700)
ValueJeff Mathis, TEX vs. CWS, $2,000 — It’s important to take advantage of a minimum-priced catcher on nearly any slate and especially on one with such an expensive ace to pay for. Mathis is not good and is hitting well below .200 on the year, but up against Ivan Nova ($4,000) and his 6.01 ERA and 1.58 WHIP, it’s a spot you really have to consider. We aren’t looking for 20 DKFP, just 5-7 to make value, and that’s well within the range of outcomes.
Other Options — Austin Hedges ($2,600)
FIRST BASECarlos Santana, CLE vs. DET, $5,400 — The Indians are a team that always performs better in the summer and as the weather is heating up we see the big bats get it together as well. Santana is averaging 11.9 DKFP with a 1.089 OPS in the last 36 at-bats and gets to face a pitcher who has struggled to keep the ball in the park over his career. Santana is a bit expensive but if you have the salary he is worth the cost.
Other Options — Josh Bell ($4,900)
ValueYonder Alonso, CWS at TEX, $3,200 — With Welington Castillo going to the injured list, Alonso will return to the DH and gets a great upside spot against Sampson and a bad bullpen in a great park. Alonso has struggled badly to make consistent contact but does have seven home runs, and when he actually connects is making it count. I think he has a good chance to find his modest ceiling for a good price.
Other Options — Jesus Aguilar ($3,300)
StudMike Moustakas, MIL vs. CIN, $5,000 — This isn’t really a spot that you should overthink on a slate like this. Moustakas’ ownership is likely to be low due to price and other spots and he is one of the best hitters in the MLB against RHP. He’s got a 1.056 OPS in the last 10 games and is averaging 9.7 DKFP in 2019 overall. It’s a great park. All of the signs point to playing Moose.
Other Options — Whit Merrifield ($5,100)
ValueBrian Dozier, WAS vs. ATL, $3,400 — Dozier hasn’t been fantastic through the season, but he’s started to pick things up recently as the Nationals have become healthy. He’s hit three of his 12 home runs in the last 10 games as well as three doubles, and his SLG% is at a healthy .553. For $3,400 it’s hard to find someone with realistic power upside and Dozier is a screaming value in relation to those around him.
Other Options — Ian Kinsler ($3,300)
StudYoan Moncada, CWS at TEX, $5,100 — Moncada has been an absolute stud in his recent sample, hitting a ridiculous .389/.436/.722 with 9.3 DKFP per game. He’s still striking out a lot but luckily for us Sampson doesn’t strike anyone out. Playing in such a good ball park with how well he’s seeing the ball of late makes him one of the best targets at third base in all formats.
Other Options — Anthony Rendon ($5,200)
Other Options — Eugenio Suarez ($3,600)
EDITOR’S NOTE: Astudillo is not in the lineup today.
StudElvis Andrus, TEX vs. CWS, $5,100 — Over the last 41 at-bats, Andrus is hitting .268/.311/.488 and although those marks are generally worse than his 2019 overall, he is hitting for more power. Power is what we want against Nova ($5,000), who can’t miss a bat to save his life, making him a prime upside target for power hitters and speedsters alike. Andrus will hit towards the top of the order and have plenty of shots to swipe a bag.
Other Options — Xander Bogaerts ($5,300)
ValueLuis Arraez, MIN at KC, $3,400 — Another cheap Twins bat towards the back of the order is Arraez, who was recalled from AAA recently to fill in for Ehire Adrianza and has been a solid value for those who have followed him. He’s hitting .371/.447/.514 and deserves a higher price considering his ability to hit for consistent power. Although his upside is relatively low, Arraez has gotten on base safely in at least the last five games, so it’s perfectly fine to ride this hot streak forward.
Other Options — Jose Iglesias ($3,500)
StudShin-Soo Choo, TEX vs. CWS, $5,300 — I’ll start by saying that if you can afford him, play Christian Yelich ($5,900) because duh — but if you can’t, Choo is a solid silver medal. His .457 OBP has led to plenty of upside events in the last 10 contests and he has turned the opportunity into three stolen bases and eight runs scored, giving him a phenomenal floor. That floor mixed with a matchup that screams upside makes him a terrific spend at OF.
Other Options — Christian Yelich ($5,900), Austin Riley ($5,400)
ValueHarold Castro, DET at CLE, $3,200 — The Tigers as a team are a flaming trash can of sadness when it comes to offense but individually, we can exploit guys who are priced below their production. Castro is averaging 6.4 DKFP with a .429 SLG% over the last 35 at-bats thanks to a home run, triple and stolen base, and is in a position against a really bad pitcher, making his price too low for the possible production.
Other Options — Victor Robles ($3,400)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.