After an eventful Opening Day, we have a nice 9 game slate this evening. The Giants and Reds stacks both pulled through yesterday. The Giants blasted the worst Opening Day starter ever, Wily Peralta, and put up 12 runs. The Reds made for some decent value, as they put up 6 runs against a terrible Phillies team. Here’s to hoping for a better second day as we run down the list of 6 Stacks that could help you win a GPP.
Projected Team Total: 4.5 Runs
The Diamondbacks scored 5 runs yesterday, but still lost to the Rockies who put up a whopping 10 runs. Vegas has the total in this game at 8.5 with the Diamondbacks favored. Chad Bettis had a WHIP of 1.42 last season while allowing a .874 OPS to right handed batters and a .901 OPS to lefties. Basically, you can target anyone in this Diamondbacks lineup since Bettis has struggled to get batters out from either side of the plate in his career.
Projected Team Total: 4.2 Runs
The Giants absolutely shelled Wily Peralta yesterday and are still in a great spot today. Vegas has the total in this game at 8 with the Giants heavily favored. Jimmy Nelson is a little better than Wily Peralta, but not by much. Nelson boasts a WHIP of 1.35 with an average of 7 strikeouts per game. The Giants have a .321 wOBA versus Nelson and are stacked with left handed bats who can expose Nelson’s weaknesses. Nelson has allowed a .805 OPS to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Denard Span, Brandon Belt, Brandon Crawford and Joe Panik are all in a particularly good spot.
Projected Team Total: 3.8 Runs
Vegas has this game at a 7.5 total with the Tigers heavily favored. Wei-Yin Chen had a WHIP last season of 1.24 and average 7 SOs per game. The problem with Chen is that he is a left handed pitcher. The Tigers are stacked with right handed batters that all have a favorable wOBA of .317 against Chen. Not only are the Tigers strong against left-handed pitching, but Chen has struggled to get right handed batters out, allowing a .781 OPS to them over the last two seasons. I love Justin Upton, Miguel Cabrera, and J.D. Martinez specifically in this matchup.
Projected Team Total: 4 Runs
The Mariners are actually slated to score over 4 runs today, which is interesting. Vegas has the total in this game set at 8.5, but with the Rangers favored. Rangers Ballpark should bode well for the hard hitting Franklin Gutierrez and Nelson Cruz against the left-handed Perez. Perez has allowed over a .760 OPS to right handed batters over the last two seasons, and the Mariners have a few right-handed bats who can mash left-handed pitching.
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Projected Team Total: 3.9 Runs
You want contrarian, I give it to you. The Rockies put up a lot of runs (10) last night and look to do the same tonight. They have a team wOBA of .331 against Miller, and their left-handed-heavy lineup should fare well against any right-handed pitcher. Vegas has the total in this one set at 8.5, so I think we are going to be looking at a shootout again tonight. I love Carlos Gonzalez and Charlie Blackmon in this matchup.
Projected Team Total: 3 Runs
I know, this is one of the lowest totals on the night, but like I said in my last article, anything can happening in the early months of MLB. Kazmir had a rough spring and a WHIP of 1.24 last season. The Padres have a decent team ISO of .147. Guys like Will Meyers, Matt Kemp, and Derek Norris are all righties that have positive wOBA’s versus Kazmir. Very contrarian, yes, but that’s what you need to take down a big GPP.