The Contrarian Corner will provide a list of players that can separate your MLB lineups from the rest of the pack. We’ll take a look at those players that will likely be low-owned, who have high-upside for the day. Here is the list of today’s daily fantasy baseball picks in the Contrarian Corner at DraftKings.
Hisashi Iwakuma ($8,500) – Seattle Mariners – It’s easy to overlook Iwakuma on tonight’s slate with a few higher profile names in Dallas Keuchel and Chris Archer headlining things, and the scalding hot Justin Verlander a bit more expensive. Iwakuma isn’t having a great season by his standards, but he’s been solid in the second half with a 21.7% strikeout rate, 3.28 FIP, 3.32 xFIP and 3.38 SIERA. He’s a substantial home favorite, and the Rockies are guilty of leaving their bats at home. They rank 29th in wRC+ (79) on the road and have a rather exploitable 23.9% strikeout rate.
Charlie Morton ($6,900) – Pittsburgh Pirates – Morton has basically been Iwakuma light in the second half. His strikeout rate since the All-Star Break is respectable (20.2%) and he continues to keep the ball on the ground at an extremely high rate (54.3%). The results are solid second half ERA estimators of a 3.54 FIP, 3.69 xFIP and 3.70 SIERA. Pitching at home, he’ll benefit from the pitcher-friendly nature of PNC Park, and facing the thoroughly underwhelming Brewers offense puts him in the position of betting favorite tonight. Add it all up, and you’re getting a lot of bang for your buck with Ground Chuck.
Others to Consider – Steven Matz ($8,400)
Kyle Schwarber ($4,600) – Chicago Cubs – Schwarber is tied for the most expensive catcher honor tonight, which should suppress his ownership a bit, but if you want to throw a wrinkle into this contrarian selection, slot Schwarber in the outfield. He’s been a beast as a rookie and owns a .325 ISO, .429 wOBA and 175 wRC+ against righties this season.
Lucas Duda ($3,400) – New York Mets – Duda is fresh off of the disabled list and has only played in a few games, and he’s stuck eligible at a position loaded with talent. Don’t sleep on his pop and the massive struggles of Matt Wisler. Wisler has allowed a staggering .449 wOBA to the 176 left-handed batters he’s faced in the big leagues. Further elaborating on Duda’s pop, he has a healthy .217 ISO against righties this season.
Rougned Odor ($4,000) – Texas Rangers – There are plenty of options at the keystone position, and Odor isn’t one of the more celebrated young players in the game. Enter him as a talented hitter who’s sure to slip through the cracks. In the second half, all he’s done is rake to the tune of a .251 ISO, .370 wOBA and 131 wRC+. His matchup with Chad Bettis is desirable as well, as Bettis has surrendered a .342 wOBA to left-handed batters in his big league career.
Nolan Arenado ($4,600) – Colorado Rockies – Arenado reached the seats yesterday, and that will result in a few more percentage points of ownership, but a road tilt should take a bite out of his ownership rate. Have no fear, however, he’s been outstanding on the road and especially good against right-handed pitchers this season. Yes, I touted Iwakuma, but if there’s one thing he struggles with, it’s keeping the ball in the yard. The right-handed pitcher has yielded a 1.41 HR/9 this year.
Francisco Lindor ($4,000) – Cleveland Indians – Verlander is on fire of late, but the same can be said with Lindor. Shortstop is ugly tonight, so I’ll take my chances on the rookie shortstop getting the better of Verlander, or perhaps getting to the lackluster Tigers’ bullpen later in the game. Since the All-Star Break, Lindor is responsible for a .179 ISO, .391 wOBA and 153 wRC+.
Bryce Harper ($6,000) – Washington Nationals – There isn’t a more expensive hitter on this slate than Harper. That alone should suppress his ownership, but those taking a cursory glance at Jarred Cosart’s numbers might be dissuade from using the young slugger against him due to a .296 wOBA allowed to lefties in The Show. A look under the hood suggests Cosart has been rather lucky, and his luck has begun to turn this year with him coughing up a .323 wOBA to lefties. There’s no need to elaborate on Harper’s excellence, he’s been the best hitter in baseball this year.
Others to Consider – Miguel Montero ($3,400), Neil Walker ($3,700), Kris Bryant ($5,000)