The Contrarian Corner will provide a list of players that can separate your MLB lineups from the rest of the pack. We’ll take a look at those players that will likely be low-owned, who have high-upside for the day. Here is the list of today’s daily fantasy baseball picks in the Contrarian Corner at DraftKings.
Trevor Bauer ($8,500) – Cleveland Indians – Bauer is following up his best season as a major leaguer with an even more impressive 2015. It’s an incremental improvement, but his 3.90 FIP is respectable and his 23.3% strikeout rate is what makes him a strong GPP pick. That strikeout rate cracks the top 25 among qualified starters and give him a high ceiling. He’s facing a Reds team that ranks 20th in wRC+ against righties (93), per FanGraphs. Their strikeout rate is only 18.4%, but Bauer will get a pick-me-up facing a National League team in a National League ballpark, and therefore not facing a designated hitter.
Julio Teheran ($8,100) – Atlanta Braves – Teheran is a boom-or-bust pick, but three of his last four starts have been of the quality variety. He’s facing a Cubs lineup that ranks tied for 26th in wRC+ (87) against righties, but the real eye catching number is their 24.5% strikeout rate, the second highest in the league. Teheran is sporting a 10.6% swinging strike rate this season, a mark that bests the league average of 9.7%. His strikeout rate of 18.7% is below the league average of 20.2%, but Teheran’s bat missing skills indicate he is capable of giving the Cubbies fits tonight.
Others to Consider – Ervin Santana ($7,000)
Salvador Perez ($3,900) – Kansas City Royals – Assuming Perez is used in the second game of the double-header, he’ll be facing southpaw John Danks. Danks is awful against right-handed batters allowing a .358 wOBA to them since 2013. Perez’s price point will steer gamers away, making a big scoring output from him all the more valuable since he projects to be low owned.
Buster Posey ($4,100) – San Francisco Giants – Posey will be relatively popular at catcher, but if you’re looking for a unique roster, pair him with another catcher and use him at first base. Posey is a beast against left-handed pitching owning a .191 ISO, .372 wOBA and 145 wRC+ against them since 2013. He’ll get a further boost playing at hitter-friendly Chase Field.
Rougned Odor ($3,700) – Texas Rangers – There are some awesome bargains at second base, and that should allow a likely down order hitter like Odor fly below the radar. Over the last 30 days, Odor has been hitting like a man possessed by the spirit of Ted Williams racking up a .200 ISO, .406 wOBA and 159 wRC+ in 90 plate appearances. As a left-handed batter, Odor will hit with a juicy park factor of runs of 109, per StatCorner.
Kyle Seager ($3,700) – Seattle Mariners – Seager is another left-handed batter who will get a huge lift from the ballpark he’s playing in. Yankee Stadium has unreal park factors of 102 for doubles/triples, 149 for homers and 113 for runs. Seager is at his best against right-handed pitchers, and Masahiro Tanaka will likely be a semi-popular pitching pick tonight, likely depressing Seager’s as a result.
Brandon Crawford ($3,500) – San Francisco Giants – Crawford has become an above average hitter over the last couple of years, and the left-handed hitting shortstop has thrived against southpaws since the start of last year. In that time frame, Crawford has actually been better against southpaws than teammate Buster Posey. Since the start of last year, Crawford has a .183 ISO, .387 wOBA and 155 wRC+ in 250 plate appearances against lefties. As if his excellence against lefties wasn’t a compelling enough reason to use Crawford, park factors of 117 for doubles/triples, 115 for homers and 118 for runs awarded to lefties at Chase Field should seal the deal.
Justin Upton ($3,900) – San Diego Padres – Upton is a terrorizes left-handed pitching. Since 2013, he’s racked up a .229 ISO, .358 wOBA and 131 wRC+ in 203 plate appearances against southpaws. That lines up nicely with Jorge De La Rosa’s shortcomings against right-handed pitchers. The southpaw has coughed up a .333 wOBA to the 1,439 right-handed batters he’s faced since 2013. Furthermore, he’s a weird pitcher in the sense that he’s been better at Coors Field in his career than on the road. Since joining the Rockies in 2008, De La Rosa has a 3.91 FIP and 3.69 xFIP that swell to a 4.28 FIP and 4.12 xFIP on the road.
Others to Consider – John Jaso ($3,900), Kendrys Morales ($4,000), Jung Ho Kang ($3,600)