The Contrarian Corner will provide a list of players that can separate your MLB lineups from the rest of the pack. We’ll take a look at those players that will likely be low-owned, who have high-upside for the day. Here is the list of today’s daily fantasy baseball picks in the Contrarian Corner at DraftKings.
Dallas Keuchel ($11,000) – Houston Astros – While I’m certainly not basing this pick solely on his dominance of this lineup in their only meeting this season (9 IP, 6 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 12 K on June 25th), that certainly helps his case. The other (more important) factors are his 59.6% GB rate, incredible 20% Hard-Hit rate, and 4.9% BB rate. He is also a -130 favorite on the road at Yankee Stadium. This is a daunting lineup, but Keuchel excels in all the right areas to navigate it.
Josh Tomlin ($5,700) – Cleveland Indians – Tomlin has been impressive in two starts since his return (13.1 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 11 K), and now draws an ideal matchup against a struggling offense. Over the last 30 days, the Brew Crew are 29th in team wOBA, 28th in ISO, 26th in runs scored, and have the 10th-highest K rate. They also face a dramatic park shift from Miller Park to Progressive Field. Throw in the fact that Tomlin is a -150 favorite, and you just may have the best cheap play on the board.
Others to Consider – Charlie Morton ($7,100), Wade Miley ($6,800), Ervin Santana ($4,700)
Josh Donaldson($6,400) – Toronto Blue Jays – First off, I know what you’re thinking. “Josh Donaldson as a contrarian play against a lefty? Has this guy lost his mind?”. While “DONGaldson” is always a popular play against a southpaw, given his price tag tonight (only 2 hitters are priced within $1,000), he’ll be used sparingly. These are the perfect scenarios to roster one of the best hitters on the planet. His numbers against LHP? Oh yeah, here you go: .368 ISO, .468 wOBA, 206 wRC+. Pretty good, right?
Denard Span ($4,200) – Washington Nationals – Span is expected to be activated from the DL today, and that means you can be certain of one thing: low ownership. Span tore the cover off the ball during rehab, hitting .414 with 2 homers in 9 games, while not striking out a single time in 33 PA. Tonight he squares off with James Shields, who has had massive problems with LHB this season (332 BF, .375 wOBA, 17 HR allowed). I expect Span to jump right back in to the leadoff spot tonight and provide a solid value with upside.
Stephen Piscotty ($4,400) – St. Louis Cardinals – Piscotty has shown some flashes of brilliance in a small sample size against LHP thus far, posting a .250 ISO, .458 wOBA, and 198 wRC+. He already had his breakout game with 2 HR, a triple and 44 total DK points on Sunday. Tonight he’ll be facing a LHP in Robbie Ray who allows a hard contact at a 30.5% clip. Piscotty has a ton of raw power that plays well at Chase Field.
Hanley Ramirez ($3,800) – Boston Red Sox – Remember him? The guy who used to mash LHP, but has been awful since the break? Well, Hanley still owns a solid .215 ISO against southpaws this season, and although Jose Quintana is a fine pitcher, US Cellular Field is an ideal spot for power hitters. Han-Ram has been painfully average since a hot start to the season, and hasn’t homered since Jully 11th. With that being said, he has doubled in 2 straight contests and tonight could be the night he finds the seats.
Starling Marte ($5,000) –Pittsburgh Pirates – Marte has been mashing LHP once again, to the tune of a .220 ISO and .372 wOBA this season. Opposing pitcher Brad Hand has allowed a .331 wOBA to RHB in 2015, and the Pirates are in a great spot to be a sneaky stack tonight at spacious Marlins Park.
Others to Consider – Freddie Freeman ($4,600), Eric Hosmer ($4,500), Danny Valencia ($3,300)