With 14 games being played tonight, we have a huge night to look forward to. I’ll get you set for this slate, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Biggest Favorites

LAD (-203) vs SDP – Julio Urias – Urias is finally starting to look like he’s comfortable in the Major League, and it’s showing in his results. Over his past two starts against the Reds and Cubs, Urias has gone 12 innings, allowing one run on 12 hits with a 14:2 K:BB ratio. Tonight, he takes on a Padres team that struggles against left-handed pitchers and strikes out out a TON. The Padres enter this matchup with a .322 wOBA to go with a .336 OBP and a .405 SLG. The 24 K% is the third highest in the league, as they trail only the Rays and the Brewers. With Urias owning a 10 K/9 on the season, he should be in a prime spot to have his third straight solid start.

Highest Totals

ARZ vs. COL – 11 runs – – The Diamondbacks and Rockies matchup at Coors Field tonight has the highest projected total at 11 runs. Robbie Ray and Jorge De La Rosa will take the mound in this game. Ray is looking to continue his solid second half of the season, as he’s held opposing hitters to a .275 wOBA with a .341 SLG and a K/9 of 12.4. Ray is having some issues going deep into games, as he’s made it to the seventh inning in just three of his eight starts since the All-Star Break. Nonetheless, he’s an intriguing GPP option for tonight even at Coors Field, as his strikeout potential has been sky high this season.

We move onto De La Rosa, who has been better at home this season, but that really isn’t much of an endorsement. De La Rosa owns a .334 wOBA to opposing hitters since the ASB with a. 408 SLG and a very low 5.5 K/9. Home runs continue to be a big problem for him at home, as he’s allowed 11 of his 15 total. The D-Backs certainly have some power on this team, as their .487 SLG against lefties ranks highest in the league. While I think Ray is an interesting option for today, I will be staying far away from Jorge.

Weather Concerns

Somehow, someway, on a almost full slate of baseball, we have a clear weather forecast for tonight!

Park Factors

Park Factors are rated on a scale of 1.000. Anything at or above 1.000 favors hitters, anything below it favors pitchers.

  • Coors Field – ARZ vs COL – As always, whenever a series takes place at Coors Field, it’s the number one ballpark on our list. All offensive categories are favored here.
  • Progressive Field – MIA vs CLE – Progressive Field will host some inter league play this weekend, as the Marlins come to town. Heading into tonight, every offensive category except triples are favored here.
  • Dodger Stadium – SDP vs LAD – Dodger Stadium is always dwelling near the bottom of the barrel for offensive categories. In a shock to no one, all categories favor pitchers here.
  • Citizens Bank Park – ATL vs PHI – Citizens Bank Park is hosting the Braves tonight at their unfavorable ballpark. Only home runs and triples are favored here.


Splits to Start

Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters

Worst vs LHBOPSAVGBest vs LHBOPSAVG
Ariel Miranda1.209.360Danny Duffy.461.183
Chad Green1.014.296Carlos Rodon.614.230
Kyle Gibson.912.332Junior Guerra.641.201

Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters

Worst vs RHBOPSAVGBest vs RHBOPSAVG
Anibal Sanchez.879.312Anthony DeSclafani.481.178
Jorge De La Cruz.826.271Doug Fister.558.204
Ariel Miranda.814.254Junior Guerra.589.210

Batter vs. Pitcher Splits

BatterOpposing SPABFP/AB
Charlie BlackmonRobbie Ray143.57
Evan LongoriaMarcus Stroman163.25
Victor MartinezDanny Duffy311.98

  • Back to some BvP goodness on this Friday. We start with Charlie Blackmon taking on Robbie Ray. Blackmon has gone 9-14 with a triple, home run and three RBIs.
  • Next we have Evan Longoria taking on Marcus Stroman. Longoria is 8-16 with two doubles, two home runs and four RBIs.
  • Finally, we have Victor Martinez facing Danny Duffy. Even though it doesn’t look very impressive in terms of fantasy points per at-bat, Martinez has hit him fairly well. V-Mart is 10-31 with a double, two home runs and five RBIs.


Lineup Starters

Pitcher to Build Around

David Price – BOS vs OAK – $11,900 David Price seems like he’s actually pitching like, well, David Price. In the month of August over 40 innings, Price held opposing hitters to a .284 wOBA with a .399 SLG and a .270 OBP. He’s facing the Athletics in Oakland tonight, and it’s a much better start than you may think. The narrative about facing the Athletics is that they don’t strikeout enough to roster a pitcher more times than not. However, since the All-Star Break, the Athletics own a 21.1 K%, which ranks 11th in the league. Not only that, the A’s own a .298 wOBA during that span with a .296 OBP and a .391 SLG. With the cozy comforts of the Oakland Coliseum behind him, you have to believe Price can pull out another solid start here. Over his last five starts, Price is averaging 22.5 FPPG with a 30:8 K:BB ratio.

Heavy Hitter to Pay For

Chris Davis – BAL vs. NYY (Chad Green) – $4,500 – We have A LOT of expensive hitters on this slate tonight, headlined by Paul Goldschmidt and Mookie Betts at $5,700. I like Davis in this spot at a “discounted” $4,500 taking on Chad Green. Since his call up, Green has been getting pummeled by left-handed batters, owning a .421 wOBA with a .654 SLG with a horrific eight home runs allowed. Those numbers sound like a prime matchup for Davis, who has a .341 wOBA at home against right-handed pitchers with 12 home runs.

Save Big by Drafting…

Brad Miller – TBR vs. TOR (Marcus Stroman) – $3,600 – Brad Miller is really trying to defy the logic that Tropicana Field is not a good spot for hitters. Coming into tonight, Miller owns a .375 wOBA at home with a .587 SLG with 17 of his 25 home runs. He faces off against Marcus Stroman tonight, who is allowing a .337 wOBA to lefties on the road with five of his 18 home runs allowed. I’m certainly not against getting some decent power out of someone who will only run me $3,600.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on.  Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.