After a weekend full of horrible pitching, last night saw some truly solid performances. For tonight, hopefully we can get a nice mix of good pitching and some high scoring affairs. It’s the Tuesday edition of the MLB Cheat Sheet, folks! Also, don’t forget that tonight, DraftKings is running the Tuesday Slugfest contest. Someone will be taking home a cool $30,000 first prize! Good luck tonight, and as always, you can get me on the Twitter machine @SBuchanan24
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Stephen Strasburg vs. Miami Marlins (-177) – Strasburg comes into the night as the heavy favorite against a Marlins team that is 5th in the league in hitting at .271. His last time out, the Marlins got him for 4 runs in 6 innings pitched while striking out 6 times. If Strasburg can minimize the damage this time, he could have a very high scoring night on DK.
Shelby Miller vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-162) – Ah yes, back to picking on the Phillies. What’s really attractive about Miller is his price tag. At only $8,200, he has to be widely considered as a must start tonight. The Phillies are only batting .221 as a team and Miller has been fully capable of putting together good games this year. Earlier this year, Miller gave up 2 runs to the Phillies in 6 innings.
Scott Feldman vs. Texas Rangers (-160) – Vegas is really stretching who it likes today. Feldman makes the cut as he’s favored over the Rangers tonight. He isn’t striking out a lot of batters so far, as he only has 16 in 31 innings, but for the $5,900 price tag against a team who’s only hitting worse then the Brewers, might not be a bad gamble tonight.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 10 Over/Under – Get used to this one being here. The game last night was cancelled (and ruining my all ARZ/COL lineup, a pure YOLO move) but it doesn’t change anything for today. As always, you have to realize that when players are playing at Coors Fields, they will be priced accordingly.
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (Fenway Park ) – 8.5 Over/Under – It was a “take your pick” of which game to feature here, as 5 games are slated for 8.5 runs tonight. Drew Smyly takes on Rick Porcello at Fenway Park. Smyly has been good since coming back from an injury. In his two starts he’s complied a 3.38 ERA with 15 strikeouts. Porcello has been having trouble with the long ball, as he’s let up 6 already on the year.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Michael Pineda vs. Toronto Blue Jays- Pineda continues to find success against lefties this year. He owns a 1.33 ERA to go along with a 7.08 K/9.
James Paxton vs. L.A. Angels – Paxton has been very inconsistent this season, but he’s still having success against lefties. His 1.46 ERA against them shows he’s getting them out. The 10.22 K/9 however, is the most impressive.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Andrew Cashner vs. San Francisco Giants – Aww yeah, my man! Cashner owns a 1.71 ERA on the year against righties, which is best for today. He’s killing me though with the 6.39 K/9. C’mon man, I know you’re better!
Garrett Richards vs. Seattle Mariners – Don’t forget, before getting hurt last year, Richards with the real deal. He owns a 2.41 ERA against righties while his K/9 sits at 8.80. He’s priced at $9,500, but he certainly has the stuff to match his salary.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Trevor May vs. Oakland A’s – Here we go with another Trevor not having success in my article. May is a tough one here as his ERA against them is terrible, 5.57. However, his K/9 is fantastic, at 9. So, which May shows up?
Shelby Miller vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Miller has been great this season, just not so much against lefties. He has a 4.19 ERA against them and his K/9 is ok, at 6.17. It is the Phillies though.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Trevor May vs. Oakland A’s – Geez, May. It’s never good to show up in this article twice. His 9.85 ERA against righties is the absolute worst on the day. But again, that K/9 is great at 8.39.
Robbie Ray vs. Colorado Rockies – Trevor May and now Robbie Ray. I guess I have to pull this out again. Ray is terrible against righties in Coors field. Not a great place to be. He owns an 8.55 ERA and his K/9 is terrible at 5.40.
Nelson Cruz ($5000) – It’s almost getting comical how many homeruns Cruz has already. Today is May 5th and Cruz is sitting at 14 homeruns. Regardless, he’s 12 for his last 28 with 5 homeruns 5 RBIs, and 7 runs scored. I might just keep him in this section.
Stephen Vogt ($3900) – Everybody and their mother was rosterting Evan Gattis last night, while Vogt was like, “Hey guys! I’m good too!” He’s 9 for his last 20 with 3 homeruns, 11 RBIs, and 5 runs scored. He’s also super cheap.
Dee Gordon ($4400) – You won’t be expecting power from Gordon, but you can expect stolen bases. After a bit of a rough start on the basepaths in April, Gordon is back on track. He’s 11 for his last 18 with 4 stolen bases.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Howie Kendrick vs. Matt Garza – Kendrick loves facing Garza. He’s 7-12 against him with a homerun, and a 1.500 OPS!
Jonnny Gomes vs. Chad Billingsley – This is one of those sneaky plays you’ll be able to get away with tonight. Against Billingsley, Gomes is 6-11 with a homerun and a 1.318 OPS. Sneakyyyyyyy.
Giancarlo Stanton vs. Stephen Strasburg – It’s nice to find those hitters that hit an ace well, but Stanton is someone that’s always in a lineup, regardless. He’s 12-30 against Strasburg with 3 homeruns and a 1.386 OPS.
The following 2 games have at least a 50% chance of rain tonight:
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Coloradio Rockies. Watch this one closely.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Zack Greinke vs. Milwauee Brewers ($9800) – The Brewers are a complete mess right now. They are one of the worst hitting offenses in the league at .227 and they strike out A LOT at 216, which is 5th in the league. Greinke has the second highest salary tonight, but he should get you some big points tonight.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Giancarlo Stanton ($4800) – As I said just a moment ago, Stanton is almost matchup proof, but it’s nice when he has good numbers against that pitcher. Stanton does have great numbers against Strasburg and is always a threat to go deep.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Jonny Gomes ($3000) – Maybe I’m cheating a bit and taking material from earlier in my article, but both these guys that I’m showcasing have good reason to be in your lineup. At $3000, Gomes could be a steal tonight. But again, he’s priced low for a reason so he could put up a dud. How’s that for hard hitting analysis? Regardless, you have to roster some of these lower priced guys.
Good luck tonight!