Sunday always brings us a solid slate of games, as all 30 teams will be in action today. With some big name pitchers on deck for today and some big time stacks being considered, I’ll get you ready for this awesome slate of games. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
NYM (-240) vs. MIL – Noah Syndergaard – The Mets are the heavy favorites in this game with Thor taking the mound. Syndergaard gets the title as most expensive pitcher on the day, checking in at $13,300. Syndergaard has been solid this entire season, with the exception of two starts earlier this month against the Giants and the Padres. Aside from those starts, he’s averaged at least 20 fantasy points per start. He takes on a Brewers team that owns a 25.5 K% overall and a 26.6 K% against righties, which rank second and first respectively. Syndergaard owns a 10.9 K/9 this season that jumps all the way to 12.6 at home. Unlike Jacob deGrom last night, Syndergaard has looked impressive this entire season and should be in line for a solid start here today. He’s extremely expensive but should be worth the price of admission.
Kenta Maeda (-165) vs. SDP – Kenta Maeda – Any pitcher that goes up against the Padres immediately needs to have some consideration. Maeda pitches in the all day/afternoon slate today and comes into this start with a 2.87 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP. While Maeda has some nice overall numbers, a couple of things concern me. First, he doesn’t go very deep into games. In eight starts this season, Maeda is averaging just under six innings per start. For someone with an ERA and WHIP like he has with a 8.2 K/9, you’d think he’d be averaging more than 17 FPPG. In his last two starts, Maeda scored a combined 10.7 fantasy points, pitching 9 innings allowing eight runs on 11 hits with a 8:4 K:BB ratio. He certainly has a soft matchup on tap, but I can’t say I’m fully on board here.
CLE vs. BOS – 9.5 runs – I have to admit, I’m a bit surprised this is slated as the highest scoring game on the slate, figuring both of the starting pitchers in this game, Danny Salazar and Rick Porcello, have been pitching well. When looking at their weakness thus far this season, Porcello has been having issues with righties, owning a .345 wOBA with a .483 SLG and allowing four home runs. At home however, that changes to .276 wOBA with a .368 SLG. Salazar has been even better, owning a .185 wOBA against lefties and a .261 against righties. Even on the road, these numbers don’t change much. Both of these teams hit right-handed pitching well, with the Red Sox owning a .360 wOBA and the Indians at .326. Personally, I won’t be going crazy with the offense in this one.
COL vs PIT (PNC Park) – Chance of thunderstorms all throughout the day in this one, increasing more as the day goes on. I would not expect this one to be played.
We have some strong winds in a quite a few games as well today:
TBR vs DET (Comerica Park) 14 mph blowing out to right field
SEA vs CIN (Great American Ball Park) 11 mph blowing out to right field
CLE vs BOS (Fenway Park) 14 mph blowing in from right field
TOR vs MIN (Target Field) 15 mph blowing in from right field
NYY at OAK (Oakland Coliseum) 12 mph blowing out to right center field.
LAD vs. SDP (Petco Park) 11 mph blowing from right to left field.
CHC vs SFG (AT&T Park) 14 mph blowing to dead center field
Park Factors are rated on a scale of 1.000. Anything at or above 1.000 favors hitters, anything below it favors pitchers.
- Fenway Park – CLE vs BOS Fenway Park checks in as the number one hitters ballpark for today. In 2015, Fenway favored hitters in runs, singles, doubles and triples.
- Great American Ball Park – SEA vs CIN – Great American Ball park was the sixth overall hitters park in 2015 and checks in as number two for today. Last season, it had favorable ratings in home runs, runs, singles, doubles and walks.
- AT&T Park – CHC vs SFG – Last season was not a very fun place to play at this stadium. AT&T Park only favored triples in 2015.
- Angel Stadium of Anaheim – BAL vs LAA – One of the worst hitting parks in the league, LAA Stadium only favored walks in 2015.
Splits to Start
Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
|Worst vs LHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs LHB||OPS||AVG|
|Alfredo Simon||1.205||.400||Jaime Garcia||.390||.171|
|Max Scherzer||1.034||.308||Danny Salazar||.400||.126|
|Michael Pineda||.985||.346||Carlos Rodon||.543||.213|
Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
|Worst vs RHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs RHB||OPS||AVG|
|Chase Anderson||1.014||.340||Max Scherzer||.469||.148|
|Alfredo Simon||.957||.341||Noah Syndergaard||.518||.220|
|Michael Pineda||.919||.292||Jaime Garcia||.543||.186|
Batter vs. Pitcher Splits
|Martin Prado||Max Scherzer||22||2.27|
|Carlos Santana||Rick Porcello||39||1.97|
|Evan Gattis||Cole Hamels||16||1.87|
- The second day in a row where the BvP department hasn’t exactly been very stellar. We start off with Martin Prado who has some surprising numbers against Max Scherzer. Prado is 11-22 with two doubles, a home run and four RBIs.
- Carlos Santana has seen Porcello well in the 39 match ups they’ve had. Santana is 12-39 with two doubles, three home runs, four RBIs and four walks.
- Finally, the recently returned Evan Gattis takes on Cole Hamels today. Gattis is 5-16 with two home runs and two RBIs.
Pitcher to Build Around
Noah Syndergaard – NYM vs MIL – $13,300 I was debating between Chris Archer and Syndergaard for this section here, as both have match ups I like today. In the end, Syndergaard has been MUCH more consistent this season, so that’s who I’m going with. With the prospect of a huge strikeout game, Syndergaard is in a fantastic spot in Citi Field against this Brewers team. The Brewers hit right-handed pitching fairly well, owning a .322 wOBA this season, but the 26.9 K% is what is really enticing here. With Syndergaard averaging almost 11 strikeouts per start, it will be hard to fade this one.
Heavy Hitter to Pay For
Robinson Cano – SEA vs. CIN (Alfredo Simon) – $5,300 – Going up against Alfredo Simon in a hitters park like the Great Amrican Ball Park is what dreams are made of. So with a hitter like Robinson Cano, this is a fantastic spot for him. Against right-handed pitchers on the road this season, Cano owns an absurd .516 wOBA with an ISO of .406. Cano has displayed tremendous power on the road, hitting nine home runs with a .472 wOBA. So, what’s the best part of all of this? Simon is allowing a .507 wOBA to lefties with five home runs allowed this season.
Save Big by Drafting…
Jimmy Paredes – TOR vs. MIN (Phil Hughes) – $3,200 – If you’re interested in rostering someone that goes through some extreme peaks and valleys, look no further than Paredes. As of today, he’s going through one of his peaks, as he was just picked up off waivers by the Blue Jays. Rumor has it, he’ll be keeping the second base job warm until Devon Travis returns. In the mean time, he faces off against Phil Hughes who continues to give up home runs. Paredes hit 10 last season, all coming off a right-handed pitcher. Hughes is allowing a .368 wOBA at home this season with five home runs allowed. For cheap money, I’ll be very happy with 14 points.
Stack Em Up
SEA vs. CIN (Alfredo Simon) – It’s hard to look at another stack while ignoring the one that Seattle will have going today. Alfredo Simon has truly been THAT bad this season, and with the heavy hitting Mariners in town, this should go very well. Simon is averaging 1.8 FPPG in EIGHT starts this season. He’s been in the negative in points four times this season and owns a 6.33 ERA at home, allowing six home runs in four starts. Simon is coming off his worst start this season, pitching 4.1 innings to Cleveland allowing 10 runs on 14 hits with a 2:1 K:BB ratio.