As we approach the long weekend (unless you work in retail, no weekend is a long weekend, ever) we have a full slate of games on tap tonight. Also since it’s Friday, I’ll be giving away a $5 DraftKings ticket, so make sure you study this article from top to bottom, take lots of notes, and follow me on Twitter (@SBuchanan24) to find out how you can win one. Good luck tonight!
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Max Scherzer vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-260) – With extreme odds like these, Scherzer must love that fact he’s over in the National League. He’s a huge favorite tonight against the Phillies and rightfully so. However, he’s going to cost you a TON. He’s priced as $12,700, which is going to be tough to fit him in. If you can do it though, he’s sporting a 1.75 ERA with 66 stikeouts in 56 innings pitched.
Michael Pineda vs. Texas Rangers (-188) – On a normal day, Pineda could easily be the heavy favorite tonight, according to Vegas. But he can settle for second. He owns a 3.31 ERA with 55 strikeouts in 51 innings pitched. He had a tough time against the Royals his last time out, who are still the best hitting team in the majors, but now he get’s a much easier one in one of the worst in the majors.
Zack Greinke vs. San Diego Padres (-166) – Greinke has been fantastic this season, as he prepares for his start against the Padres. He owns a 1.52 ERA with 44 strikeouts in 53 innings pitched. The Padres are in the middle of the pack in terms of hitting, but Greinke really hasn’t had any struggles yet this season, including only giving up one run against the Colorado Rockies his last time out.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 10.5 Over/Under – Two pitchers, who are struggling, are facing each other at Coors Field. I’m starting to think it’s a common theme when it comes to games here. Ryan Vogelsong with his 5.31 ERA against Kyle Kendricks, with his 6.70 ERA. Kendricks only costs 4,000 on DK, which is insane to think about (and not in a good way). Hitters, as always, should be looked at here.
L.A. Angels at Boston Red Sox (Fenway Park) – 8.5 Over/Under – The Red Sox host the Angels in this one, where Garrett Richards takes on Rick Porcello. Porcello has pitched better lately, but he’s been having trouble keeping the ball in the park, as he’s given up eight on the year. At Fenway Park, that doesn’t exactly help those numbers.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Garrett Richards vs. Boston Red Sox- Lefties are only hitting .188 against Richards. His K/9 is at 8.56 which is always a great number when rostering your pitchers for the night. Those K’s will make or break your night.
Carlos Carrasco vs. Cincinnati Reds – Carrasco is looking at a .197 average against lefties. His K/9 is also very niceeeee at 9.68. A lot of pitchers going tonight have great K/9 numbers. But don’t look past Carrasco.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Felix Hernandez vs. Toronto Blue Jays – The King is certainly pitching like the King. Against righties, they’re only hitting .196 against him. In a shock to no one, his K/9 is also high at 10.21.
Colin McHugh vs. Detroit Tigers- I’ve fallen in love with McHugh every time I roster him. I have his poster hanging on my wall (not really) (well….maybe.) Righties are hitting .211 against him with this K/9 at 10.15. The Tigers will be a good test for him tonight.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Colby Lewis vs. New York Yankees- Lewis has been struggling some against lefties, as they hit him to a tune of .305. His K/9 against them isn’t that great either, at 6.04. I bet you could do better tonight.
Wily Peralta vs. Atlanta Braves– Peralta is starting to become my buddy, because he’s always on my list. Against lefties, they hit hit .303. His K/9 is 7.07, so that’s not too shabby. He just has to make sure no one is knocking him around first.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Phil Hughes vs. Chicago White Sox – Ok, Hughes is making me happy today. Against righties, they’re hitting .289 against him. While that isn’t good, I’ve seen guys on here with averages in the 400’s. I’ll walk on the mound and let righties hit 400 off me for 20 million bucks. .289? Not great, but not the worst.
Rick Porcello vs. L.A. Angels – Porcello is certainly a contact pitcher. Just hopefully, contact to a fielder. Righties are hitting .267 against him, which again, isn’t horrible. I respect the starting pitchers today against righties.
Brandon Belt ($4900) – Belt has been a force to be reckoned with lately. He almost costs 5000 now, which honestly blows my mind. He’s 9 for his last 20 with three homeruns, seven RBIs, and nine runs scored. He’s at Coors Field tonight, so that jacks the price up as well. But still, Brandon Belt is almost 5000.
Yoenis Cespedes ($4400) – Cespedes is starting to get into a groove, which is always dangerous for opposing starting pitchers. He’s 12 for his last 25 with a home run, four RBIs, three stolen bases and six runs scored. He literally can do no wrong right now and in such a power lineup, it was only a matter of time.
Kris Bryant ($5000) – Many years of schooling told me, that when Bryant hits his first home run, he’s going to go off. So I hope you just enjoyed that hot take. He’s 7 for his last 19 with two homeruns, seven RBIs, two stolen bases and six runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Adrian Gonzalez vs. Andrew Cashner – Cashner continues to get bullied by Gonzalez. I really wish he’d leave Cashner alone. But my job is to inform, so here it is. Gonzalez is 10 for 28 against Cashner with four home runs and a 1.201 OPS. However, with my love for Cashner, I think Gonzalez deserves a day of rest.
Wellington Castillo vs. Marco Estrada – With these numbers, you have to wonder if Seattle made the trade for Castillo knowing this matchup was coming up? Againist Estrada, Castillo is 6 for 21 against him. Four of those six hits, are home runs. He also owns a 1.143 OPS against Estrada.
Jose Bautista vs. Felix Hernandez – Now it’s time for the “hitter hits an ace well” segment. Bautista is 7 for 21 against Hernandez with two home runs. He also has a 1.128 OPS against the King.
You know who has weather concerns tonight? No one.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Garrett Richards ($9600) – The Red Sox are really struggling to score runs right now. They only managed to score six total runs against the Rangers the past three games, they’re hitting .234 as a club, so on and so on. Richards has been fantastic this season with a 2.29 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 39 innings. I think this is going to be a pretty easy night for Richards and even though he’s a bit expensive tonight, I’m going for it.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Adrian Gonzalez ($4800) – Ugh, you’re making me go through this again. Yes folks, Gonzalez is great against Andrew Cashner. We get it! But truly, aside from the numbers against Cashner I gave you, he’s having a monster season for the Dodgers. Hitting .345 overall with nine home runs and 32 RBIs with a 1.075 OPS. Four first basemen are priced higher then him, but for tonight, I think he’s the most valuable.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Ben Revere ($3300) – Why on earth am I suggesting a Phillies player. A Phillies player who’s going up against Max Scherzer? Well my friends, he’s got some good numbers against him. For 3300, Revere hits Scherzer to a .353 average. He doesn’t have a home run against him, but for someone that you KNOW won’t be owned tonight, he’s worth a gamble. Truly, he’s not going to kill your salary cap dollars either. If it doesn’t work out, well, yell at me on Twitter if that makes you feel better.