A HUGE night on DraftKings tonight has me excited it’s Wednesday. As I’ve mentioned earlier this week, DraftKings is awarding $100,000 to someone for the price of a large coffee, $3 dollars! I’m super excited to play tonight and you should be as well. So, to help you out, because that’s just the kind of guy I am, I have this little cheat sheet article we’re going to jump into. Good luck tonight, and as always, you can follow me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Joe Kelly vs. Texas Rangers (-161) – So I just want to make something clear before we start. This section here, is used for who VEGAS likes the most. These aren’t my picks. Anyways, yeah, Kelly is tonight’s favorite! The Rangers are having a tough go around at the plate and Kelly does have some extremely hard stuff to throw at them. I just don’t know how I feel about this yet. However, Wade Miley, who’s been struggling big time lately, did have a great game against them last night.
Jeff Locke vs. Minnesota Twins (-148) – The Twins brought their bats last night against Francisco Liriano, as many of us fell victim to that. Vegas likes Locke tonight, who’s also struggled some this year. Again, this pick carries some risk in my opinion, I just report the information as I see it. Locke owns a 5.40 ERA on the year with 30 strikeouts in 40 innings.
Jordan Zimmermann vs. New York Yankees (-144) – Ok, I like this one. Zimmermann hasn’t really been struggling like the past two pitchers mentioned, as he owns a 3.66 ERA with 30 strikeouts in 46 innings. The Yankees are hitting .245 as a team and I believe Zimmermann should be able to handle them tonight.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 10.5 Over/Under – Ah yes, the “Coors Effect” is alive and well. Once again, two less than stellar pitchers go up against each other tonight. Severino Gonzalez for the Phillies and Eddie Butler for the Rockies. Butler gets hit hard by lefties, at a .318 clip, so keep that in mind if you’re throwing the Phillies in your lineup.
Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox (Fenway Pahhkkk) – 9 Over/Under – Vegas’ favorite pitcher is also included in the second highest run total of the night. Both teams aren’t exactly hitting right now and yet, both pitchers are happily giving up runs. Klein owns a 7.71 ERA and Kelly a 5.58. If you rostered both pitchers tonight, it would cost you a grand total of 8,900. So maybe Kelly carries value? Regardless, Fenway Park is extremely nice to hitters, a big factor.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Dallas Keuchel vs. Oakland A’s- Keuchel has been fantastic this season, and even more so against lefties. They’re hitting a whopping .150 against him with his overall K/9 sitting at 6.6.
Tim Lincecum vs. L.A. Dodgers – The Freak seems like he’s back track after a really shaky 2014. Against lefties, they’re only hitting .156 aganst him. Lincecum is looking at an overall 7.1 K/9.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Shane Greene vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Greene has been great against righties thus far. For the year, they’re only hitting .150 against him. However, spoiler alert, you’ll see Shane Greene again on this list, and not in a good way.
Jake Odorizzi vs. Atlanta Braves – Maybe I don’t pay enough attention to Tampa Bay baseball, but I didn’t realize Odorizzi was this good. Against righties, they’re only hitting .165. His K/9 is at 7.4 on the year.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Shane Greene vs. Milwaukee Brewers- Remember what I said about Greene? He gets crushed by left handed batters. Currently hitting .348 against him, it’s a big downfall of Greene this year.
Brett Anderson vs. San Francisco Giants – Do these two teams play anyone else other than each other? I feel like they’re always facing each other! Anyways, Anderson also isn’t a fan of lefties, as they’ve been hitting him to a .340 average.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jason Marquis vs. Kansas City Royals- I’m starting to think Marquis has seen better days. Going against the best hitting offense in the league, righties have been hitting him to a tune of .368. Short night tonight, Jason?
Drew Hutchison vs. L.A. Angels – Normally, Hutchison would be the worst against righties, with his .348 average. He can thank Marquis for that one. But I have a feeling next time around, he’ll be top dog. Not that you’d want to be.
Bryce Harper ($5700) – Yup. He’s still here. He hit another home run last night. I mean…..yeah, he’s absolutely on fire. That’s all I’m going to say. He’s a God amongst God’s right now.
Miguel Cabrera ($5400) – This one I can go a little more in depth with. If you don’t like my analysis on Harper, I suggest you go on Twitter, search Bryce Harper, and that will be a perfect way to see how he’s doing. Cabrera on the other hand is 11 for his last 28 with four homeruns, nine RBIs, and seven runs scored.
Ryan Braun ($5000) – Braun was slow out of the gate, but he’s picked it up in a big way lately. He’s 7 for his last 22 with three homeruns, nine RBIs, a stolen base and three runs scored. The Brewers are one of the worst hitting teams right now, so the RBI chances may be fewer then usual, but Braun is still getting it done.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Andrew McCutchen vs. Mike Pelfrey – Another player who was slow out of the gate but is turing it around, McCutchen is batting a perfect .500 against Pelfrey. The ever important OPS stat is also a pretty sight to see, at 1.071.
Miguel Cabrera vs. Kyle Lohse – I realize I’m profiling a lot of high priced hitters, but the pitching is honestly fairly priced tonight, so you should be able to roster a couple of these guys. Cabrera would be a good place to start as he hits Lohse to a .308 average with two home runs and a 1.246 OPS.
Juan Uribe vs. Tim Lincecum – Ok, here’s a lower priced guy for everyone. Uribe has seen great success (Borat voice) against Lincecum. He’s hitting .303 against him with two home runs. Five of the ten hits he has against Lincecum have gone for extra bases.
Oakland at Houston has a high chance of thunderstorms as well as the Phillies at Colorado. Both games show the threat being higher as the game progresses. Montior these ones closely
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Tyson Ross ($9000) – We nailed it last night with the James Shield pick. When I say the Cubs strikeout out a lot, I meant it. Shields had 11 last night in 7 innings pitched, getting us a 29.55 score. I’m thinking more of the same from Ross tonight. His splits are good against hitters. Righties only hitting .226 against him and lefties at .277. The Cubs only had 3 lefties in the lineup last night, which bodes well for this pick. He’s the most expensive, but 9,000 really isn’t bad tonight.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Miguel Cabrera ($5400) – No, I’m not giving you Harper. Pretty soon, he’s going to have a bad game and everyone is going to act like the world is ending. I won’t be apart of that. I’m sticking with obvious choice number 2. But, Cabrera, as I said earlier, has good numbers against Kyle Lohse so I’m sticking with the stats.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Mark Reynolds ($2800) – He’s popped up in this section before. Each time I do it, he has a great game the NEXT day. So maybe, I’ll hit on one of these. First, make sure he’s starting (like you are with everyone.) Next, consider these numbers against Bartolo Colon are from earlier in his career, when he hit.353 against him. Next, tell me another hitter tonight that has a good chance to go deep that costs $2800 or less? Did I mention all Colon throws is fastballs?