Not only is it Friday, but it’s May 1st (hope you’re enjoying all the awful Justin Timberlake jokes!) The weather is really going to start feeling like baseball weather, which I’m dying for. Coming off the worst winter Boston has ever had, I need some baseball weather, baby! Let’s start your weekend off right with all the info you need to create a successful lineup. As always, you can get me on the Twitter machine @SBuchanan24 I’ll also be giving away a couple of $5 DraftKings tickets this weekend. It’s my way of
gaining more followers giving back to you all. Let’s get to it.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Tom Koehler vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-168) – When I saw Koehler was the favorite tonight I was so confused. “How in the hell is this possible?” Then I realized, he’s facing the Phillies! Of course! Honestly, I’m not overly impressed with rostering him tonight. His K/9 is really low at 4.9 and his ERA sits at 4.50 this season. Meh.
Jon Lester vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-167) – The Lester experience hasn’t gone according to plan so far in Chicago. Lester owns a 6.23 ERA. But let’s talk about the good. His K/9 is at 10. Also, historically, April is the worst month for Lester. He has a 4.05 ERA while batters hit .257. It’s May, folks! Turn the page! (This game is the only afternoon game. It is available if you do the all day slate)
Jose Quintana vs. Minnesota Twins (-155) – Vegas has it easy this year. Always pick against the Twins and the Phillies. Quintana hasn’t had an easy going this year, sporting a 6.55 ERA. Again, not great numbers, but Vegas is always against the Twins. Pick your poison.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (Fenway Pahkkk) – 9 Over/Under – Welcome back to DraftKings, Red Sox! The Sox have been playing these crazy 6 pm games and missing all the events on DK. Anyways, wow. This game will have some runs. Slated at nine, CC Sabathia goes up against Justin Masterson. Two pitchers who have really looked like they’ve lost it. Get these hitters in your lineup. Really.
Oakland A’s at Texas Rangers (Ballpark in Arlington ) – 8.5 Over/Under – Scott Kazmir goes up against Colby Lewis. Vegas is liking Oakland in this one, as Lewis owns a 3.75 ERA thus far. He’s pitching better then expected, but this would be the perfect game to change that. This game comes in at 8.5.
Top Team Over/Unders
Oakland vs. Colby Lewis – Oakland has a team projected run total of 4.5 runs.
Seattle vs. Samuel Deduno – Seattle has a team projected run total of 4.5 runs.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Alex Colome vs. Baltimore Orioles- Colome comes into today as the toughest against lefties. Thus far, he has a 1.38 ERA against them. However, his K/9 is extremely low at 4.15. With strikeouts so valuable on DK, not exactly the type of number you want to see.
Carlos Carrasco vs. Toronto Blue Jays – Carrasco comes into today with a 2.51 ERA against lefties. Unlike Colome, Carrasco has a great K/9 at 9.05. Those are the type of numbers you’re looking for.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Max Scherzer vs. New York Mets – Scherzer takes the mound tonight doing what he does best, dominate. Aganist righties, he owns a 2.49 ERA while they only bat .227. His K/9 is always one of the most appealing stats, at 11.39.
Lance Lynn vs. Pittsburgh Pirates- Lynn is another guy I feel like stays under the radar in terms of talent. Against righties, Lynn has been getting it done. He has a 2.57 ERA while they bat .229. The K/9 is at 8.77.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Carlos Frias vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – Frias hasn’t particularly enjoyed facing lefties in 2015. They’ve brought his ERA against up to 9.22 while they bat .317 against him. Yikes.
Trevor Cahill vs. Cincinnati Reds– I’m telling you, everytime I showcase someone named Trevor, it’s not a good reason. Cahill owns a 7.63 ERA against lefties while they bat .338 against him. Apologies to anyone named Trevor.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Colby Lewis vs. Oakland A’s – And this folks, is a good reason why Vegas likes Oakland tonight. Lewis has a 5.77 ERA against righties while they bat .277 against him.
Anthony DeSclafani vs. Atlanta Braves – It seems as if righties have been giving DeSlafani the most trouble this year. He has an ERA of 5.71; however, they’re only batting .257 against him. I’m still liking him for tonight.
Hanley Ramirez ($5000) – Ramirez has been hot since day one, honestly. He’s 9 for his last 25 with five homeruns, ten RBIs, and six runs scored. Tonight would be a great night to get him into your lineup. Even more so, since it’s slated as the top scoring game of the night.
Chris Davis ($5000) – Davis has been heating up at the plate after a bit of a slow start. He’s 6 for his last 15 with three homeruns, nine RBIs and six runs scored. The high priced guys are getting it done right now.
Alex Gordon ($4500) – Added bonus for Gordon, he was batting lead off for the Royals last night. If he does indeed stay there, due to the Alcides Escobar injury, his value will skyrocket. He’s 9 for his last 22 with two homeruns, eight RBIs and six runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Anthony Rizzo vs. Wily Peralta – In 24 at bats against Peralta, Rizzo has 11 hits including 5 home runs and 7 extra base hits. That gives him a 1.685 OPS off the Brewers right-hander.
Evan Longoria vs. Chris Tillman – Longo has historically mashed Tillman, hitting .389 in 36 at bats against with 6 home runs and a 1.380 OPS against.
Jason Heyward vs. A.J. Burnett – Heyward has a pair of home runs in 16 ABs vs. Burnett to go along with a .483 average and 1.313 OPS off the right-hander.
Zero. Zero concern right now but as always, remember to check on weather reports as games get closer to starting.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Scott Kazmir vs. Texas Rangers ($7400) – I was torn between Kazmir and Anthony DeSclafani to start here. I went with Kazmir because the Rangers are striking out more than the Braves so, advantage Kazmir. He’s been on fire this season. Honestly, you could fit both pitchers in tonight. It could be a real doozy.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Evan Longoria ($4200) – Oh boy. Ohhhhhhhh boy. Longoria loves Chris Tillman. Are you even ready for this? Ok, against Tillman, Longoria is hitting .389 with SIX homeruns and eight extra base hits out of fourteen.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Mark Reynolds ($2700) – Make sure he’s starting. Reynolds is hitting .323 against A.J. Burnett with two homeruns. It’s a bit of a risky play, but in a GPP tournament, he won’t be owned. Advantage, you!
Good luck tonight! See you all on Monday!