We have a full 15 game MLB slate today, Saturday May 16th… Let’s take a look at today’s info and please, if you have any thoughts, questions etc, hit me up on twitter! @Razzle11Grinds
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
– Zack Greinke ($10,700) vs. Colorado Rockies (-250): Greinke is a big time home favorite tonight against what can normally be a very potent Rockies offense. Greinke has become basically match-up proof in his career and is capable of shutting anybody down when he takes the hill. I think he makes a great cash game option and certainly has GPP upside as well.
– Felix Hernandez ($11,600) vs. Boston Red Sox (-175): King Felix gets to take on the Red Sox who were just shut down by J.A. Happ. After hearing that, you have to think that Felix is in a great spot tonight against the struggling Sox offense. If I had to guess, I would say that Felix is going to go under owned thanks to Greinke being the bigger favorite and cheaper.
– Jacob deGrom ($8,900) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-150): This line really caught me off guard as the Mets just are not playing good baseball right now and the Brewers are heating up a little bit. Their bats really came out against Colon yesterday and if deGrom is not sharp, they can certainly do some damage tonight. I think deGrom makes an interesting GPP play but would definitely avoid in cash games right now.
Highest Scoring Games
– Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles (Camden Yard) – Bud Norris taking on Matt Shoemaker should be all you need to hear to want to target bats in this game. This one offers an over/under of 9 runs with 2 struggling starting pitchers.
– Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros (Minute Maid Park) – This game also offers us an over/under of 9 with a couple of pitchers who are known to give up some big stat lines to opposing hitters. Estrada gives up a lot of home runs and the Houston Astros are certainly capable of hitting a handful of them. On the other side, Feldman is never going to remind anybody of an ace and should give up a few home runs himself.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
– Zack Greinke vs Colorado – Greinke is holding LHB to an average of just .186 so far this season while allowing an OPS of just .592. This makes Greinke a great option against a left handed power lineup like the Rockies.
– Felix Hernandez vs Boston – LHB’s are hitting just .183 against King Felix so far in 2015 while allowing an OPS of just .488.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
– Zack Greinke vs. Colorado– If you thought he was tough against lefties, he is even tougher against righties so far in 2015 as they are hitting just .183 against him with an OBP of just .198 so far.
– Max Scherzer vs. San Diego– Scherzer is dominating righties and holding them to an average of .182 with an OBP of .214 while striking out one out of every 2.7 righties he faces. This is bad news for the likes of Kemp, Upton and Norris.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
– Bud Norris vs. LA Angels – Norris is allowing left handed batters to hit a ridiculous .421 so far in 2015 with an OPS of 1.174 so far. He is allowing an extra base hit every 5.7 at bats. I think that plays well into the hands of guys like Calhoun, Joyce and even Krauss. NORRIS HAS BEEN SCRATCHED DUE TO BRONCHITIS, UBALDO JIMENEZ WILL START IN HIS PLACE
– Ryan Vogelsong vs. Cincinnati – Left handed hitters have an average of .321 with a whopping OPS of 1.163 so far in 2015. He has given up 7 home runs in just 53 at bats to left handed hitters. Joey Votto and Jay Bruce have to be licking their lips.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
– John Danks vs Oakland – Righties are hitting .333 with an OPS of .953 so far in 2015 off of Danks. They have 12 extra base hits and accounted for 29 runs (RBI + RS) over his 6 starts so far. These numbers speak favorably for guys like Semien, Butler and Lawrie.
– Jorge De La Rosa vs. LA Dodgers – Right Handers are hitting .345 in 2015 against De La Rosa with an OPS of 1.010. While he has managed to K 20 right handed hitters over 58 at bats, he has also given up 20 hits to them. If you take away the 20 K’s, you get righties going 20 for 38 when they put the ball in play. Scott Van Slyke anybody?
– At first glance, there appears to be some rain today in places like St Louis, Cincinnati and New York. Make sure you monitor the weather leading up to those lock times. If I had to predict (my prediction shouldn’t carry much weight) I would assume all games are a go today/tonight.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
– Danny Salazar ($9,300) vs. Texas Rangers – Salazar offers huge K potential in a match-up where he started out as just a -115 favorite but that has moved all the way to -140 early this morning. Salazar is striking out 1.4 batters per inning so far in 2015 and looks like he has taken the next step. The safer option in my eyes would be Scherzer as he gets to pitch in Petco for the hot hitting Nationals, but his price tag is nearly $3K higher.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
– Joey Votto ($4,400) vs. Ryan Vogelsong – Vogelsong gets lit up by lefties and loves to give up the long ball to them. Enter in Votto, who hits left handed and happens to enjoy hitting the long ball. Votto has always been a great cash game play as he gets on base at one of the best clips in all of baseball and this year he seems to be driving the ball a lot better and offers you two home run upside.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
– Preston Tucker ($2,000) vs. Marco Estrada – This one you want to make sure he is in the lineup and as long as he is, look to plug him in everywhere. Tucker has 4 doubles and a single over his last 2 games while serving as the team’s DH and finds himself in a great spot against a right hander who elevates his change up a little too often. Not many know much about Tucker as he is an un-talked about prospect in the loaded Astros system, but he has great minor league numbers and seems to be one of those guys that will just hit anywhere he goes.