WATCH: IMPACT PLAYER MIKE TROUT


Monday night will bring us a short seven-game slate with a less than stellar group of pitchers to pick from. Let’s jump right into all the information, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Top Pitcher

L.A. Angels vs. Chicago White Sox – Jesse Chavez ($7,800) – Chavez and the Angels are the heavy favorites on this short seven-game slate tonight as they start a series with the Chicago White Sox. This is the same White Sox team that was only able to muster one run off of Jered Weaver before exploding for eight runs off the Padres’ bullpen. If they can make Weaver look good, who knows what Chavez can pull off tonight. The White Sox will come into this game owning a team .281 wOBA against righties with a .284 OBP and a .356 SLG. To make matters worse, this game takes place in LA, which certainly doesn’t help their chances. It’s crazy to think that Chavez is your guy tonight, but yeah, he’s most likely your guy tonight.

Highest Totals

New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – 9.5 projected runs – The Mets will visit Chase Field tonight as they play with the highest projected run total of the night. Zack Wheeler will take on Zack Godley with the D-Backs as slight favorites. It will be interesting to see how Wheeler performs tonight, as he’s spent the majority of the season pitching at Citi Field. Only two of his seven starts have come on the road with matchups against the Phillies and Nationals. Wheeler has struggled with his command as of late, walking 10 batters in his last three starts, upping his BB/9 to 3.9 on the season. This should certainly be a tough matchup for him as the D-Backs own the second best wOBA at home in the league at .372 with a .365 OBP and a .509 SLG.

Weather Concerns

No weather concerns!

Park Factors

Park Factors are ranked on a scale of 1.000. Anything above 1.000 is favorable towards the hitters. Anything below that mark favors pitchers.

  • Chase Field – New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – Chase Field checks in as our most favorable ballpark for hitters tonight. Last season, all offensive categories were favored here.
  • Rogers Centre – Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays – Rogers Centre is our second favored ballpark tonight as the Blue Jays host the Atlanta Braves. All offensive categories were favored here last season.
  • Marlins Stadium  – Houston Astros vs. Miami Marlins – The Marlins will host the Astros tonight as they earn the mark of the worst ballpark for hitters. Last season, not a single offensive category was favored here.
  • Angel Stadium of Anaheim – Chicago White Sox vs. L.A. Angels – The Angels will play host at an unfavorable ballpark as they welcome in the White Sox. Home runs were the only category favored here last season.


Splits to Start

Pitchers vs. Left-Handed Batters

Worst vs. LHBOPSAVGBest vs. LHBOPSAVG
Luis Perdomo1.071.409Sean Manaea.490.105
Bartolo Colon.887.301Dan Straily.601.180
Matt Cain.877.328Yovani Gallardo.602.220

Pitchers vs. Right-Handed Batters

Worst vs. RHBOPSAVGBest vs. RHBOPSAVG
Mike Pelfrey.939.345Luis Perdomo.424.177
Bartolo Colon.905.300Zack Wheeler.565.200
Joe Musgrove.887.293Matt Cain.613.220

Batter vs. Pitcher Splits

HitterOpposing SPABFP/AB*
Chase UtleyMatt Cain302.93
Yonder AlonsoYovani Gallardo281.96

*(Fantasy Points Per At Bat)


Lineup Starters

Pitcher to Build Around

Chase Anderson – MIL vs. SD – $6,600 – Jesse Chavez is a fine option for tonight, but I’m running with Anderson for the strikeout potential. I figure Anderson will be vastly popular across the board tonight with his matchup against the Padres. After a nice start to the season, Anderson hasn’t earned double-digit fantasy points in three straight starts, averaging just 7.4 in that span. He’s been his best on the road, however, owning a .303 wOBA to go with a .333 OBP and a .356 SLG to opposing hitters. Anderson will come into this start with a 7.7 K/9 on the year and face a Padres team that is second in the league with a 25.4 K% against righties.

Heavy Hitter to Pay For

Mike Trout – LAA vs. CWS – $5,400 – Trout is the most expensive hitter on this slate tonight, but I don’t mind that when you see he’s facing Mike Pelfrey. He’s only pitched 18.1 innings in the majors thus far, but Pelfrey is already back to his old ways. Right-handed batters own a .402 wOBA against him thus far with a .552 SLG and a .387 OBP. When you mix in the fact that Trout owns an insane .522 wOBA at home against righties with a .444 OBP and a .868 SLG, he’s an easy cornerstone to my lineup.

Save Big by Drafting…

T.J. Rivera – NYM vs. ARI – $3,200 – It’s insane how low the price for Rivera continues to be. Averaging over 10 FPPG over his last 10 games, Rivera will make a stop at Chase Field for a three-game series. Rivera has been hitting righties extremely well thus far, especially on the road. Rivera owns a .433 wOBA with a .559 SLG and a .447 OBP. Zack Godley has been great in the early going, but with the Mets tabbed for 4.8 runs tonight, it feels like that could come to a screeching halt.

Stack Em Up

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves (Bartolo Colon) – I believe we’re slowly watching the demise of Bartolo Colon and his major league career. He’s been getting pounded as of late, allowing 23 runs in his last four starts with a 40% hard hit rate to opposing batters. The Blue Jays are still scuffling a bit at the plate, but they have picked it up as of late, owning a .338 wOBA with a .459 SLG over their past seven games.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.