We have a full 15 game MLB slate today, Sunday May 10th… Let’s take a look at today’s info and please, if you have any thoughts, questions etc, hit me up on twitter! @Razzle11Grinds
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
– Clayton Kershaw ($6,500) vs. Colorado Rockies (-180): As I wrote yesterday, I am really intrigued by Kershaw pitching in Coors and I see his price actually went up after yesterday’s rain out. I think if you factor in price and the park bump, Kershaw is going to be under owned and that’s a rarity when we talk about the best pitcher on the planet.
– Felix Hernandez ($9,900) vs. Oakland A’s (-175): Hernandez is pitching lights out so far in 2015 but the one team to get to him so far this season has been the A’s. That game was in Oakland and this one is in Seattle, where Hernandez has been ridiculously dominant.
– Michael Pineda ($8,400) vs. Baltimore Orioles (-175): Pineda is striking out a batter per inning and has a 13 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio so far. I know this Orioles offense can be dangerous and they got to Whitley yesterday, but Pineda is pitching like a true Ace right now and I would not bet against him.
Highest Scoring Games
– Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – As of this writing, this game has an over/under of 10 however with yesterday’s rain out the pitching has been switched around and with Kershaw on the hill for the Dodgers, the over/under should drop slightly as it was not one of the highest two yesterday. I wanted to leave this here as I think the Dodgers offense could explode and near the 10 runs themselves.
– Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox (U.S. Cellular Field) – I was slightly shocked to see this game check in with an over/under of 9.5 runs today as I kind of like the Reds rookie right hander, Michael Lorenzen. Danks does get hit hard by righties and the Reds have some dangerous right handed hitters in the middle of their lineup.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
– Clayton Kershaw vs Colorado – Over the last 3 years lefties have hit Kershaw for an avg of .179 with an OPS of .509. Over those 3 seasons he has allowed lefties to hit just 7 home runs and steal 3 bases.
– Felix Hernandez vs Oakland – Lefties are hitting just .197 against Felix in 2015 with an OPS of .534 through 6 starts. Felix loves pitching at home so far in 2015 as he has an ERA of 0.78 over 3 home starts and an avg allowed of just .118.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
– Clayton Kershaw vs. Colorado– Right handed hitters have had better success against him than lefties over the last 3 seasons, but not a ton better as they have hit just .206 with an OPS of .555. Over the 3 seasons when pitching at Coors, Kershaw has an ERA of 3.05 in 6 starts.
– Jake Odorizzi vs. Texas– Odorizzi gets the start after experiencing the flu over the last couple of days and while that may be scary, his numbers against right handed hitters might be scarier. They are hitting just .148 against him so far in 2015 with an OPS of just .481.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
– Bud Norris vs. NY Yankees – So far in 2015 Norris has allowed left handed hitters to get to him at a .419 clip with an OPS of 1.151. With this game being in NY, this is not a recipe for success as the lefties should be able to visit the short porch in right field. One thing to pay attention to is that Norris has been battling an illness and may be a scratch.
– Jordan Zimmermann vs. Atlanta – This one might be surprise you as Zimmermann is one of the better starters in the game, however in 2015 lefties are getting to him at a .361 clip with an OPS of .859. I wanted to include him here as Atlanta certainly has some dangerous left handed hitters in their lineup and it will certainly be a tough test for Jordan today.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
– Clay Bucholz vs Toronto – Clay has been dominated by right handed hitters so far this year as they are hitting .353 and have an OPS of .914. Righties have 13 RBI’s on 18 hits against him so far this season and that sounds like a recipe for success today as the Blue Jays are very right hand heavy and like to swing away.
– John Danks vs. Cincinnati – Danks is allowing righties to hit .348 so far in 2015 with an OPS of 1.030. They have 11 extra base hits off of him through 5 starts this season. This game also offers the second high over/under today. Bombs away!
– At first glance it appears there are some slight chances of rain in Detroit, Colorado, Cleveland and Chicago. The %’s seem pretty small at this point in the morning, but I would certainly pay attention to make sure they do not increase as I am far from a weather man.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
– Bartolo Colon ($7,300) vs. Philadelphia Phillies – I have decided I am going to stop trying to figure out why the league can not hit Colon and I am just going to start using him as he just continues to defy logic. He throws a fastball 90% of the time and no longer throws 100 mph. We have always been told that professional baseball players can all hit a fastball no matter how hard you throw when they know it is coming, how come that doesn’t apply to Colon?
Superstar Worth Paying For…
– Russell Martin ($5,700) vs. Clay Bucholz – Martin may not be a superstar in terms of MLB but at the C position he is one of the studs and today is a day I would suggest paying up for him as he has 4 home runs against Bucholz in just 16 at-bats. Sustainable, probably not but the match-up is prime.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
– Eddie Rosario ($2,600) vs. Danny Salazar – I wrote about Rosario yesterday and he went out and went 2 for 5 with an RBI. After that performance against a lefty, his price dropped $300 and makes him even more of a bargain today. Salazar can certainly rack up the strikeouts but he has been known to implode over his short MLB career and the Twins are swinging it as well as anybody.