Friday night brings us a 14-game slate of baseball. Let’s dive right into all the information, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Top Pitcher

Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox – Corey Kluber ($12,600) –  Kluber and the Indians are massive favorites tonight as they host the Chicago White Sox. Kluber is the most expensive pitcher on this slate at $12,600, which is $1,600 more than Ervin Santana. This will only be his second start since returning from the disabled list, but he looked back to form against the Oakland A’s. In that start, Kluber posted 35.7 fantasy points, pitching six innings, while allowing no runs on two hits with a 10:1 K:BB ratio. As you may have read before, the White Sox own one of the lowest wOBAs in the league against righties at .295 with a .292 OBP and a K% of 23.7. With so many mid-tier pitchers taking the hill tonight, I fully expect Kluber to be highly owned in all formats, especially when the White Sox have the lowest projected run total at 3.3.

Highest Total

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox – 10 projected runs – Not only is this game the highest projected run total of the night, but the Red Sox are tabbed for a massive 5.7 projected runs against Jordan Zimmermann. If you haven’t heard, Zimm has been a huge disappointment this season averaging only 4.6 FPPG in five road starts with a .402 wOBA, a .605 SLG and nine of his 16 home runs allowed. In the same breath, it’s worth pointing out the struggles the Sox offense has experienced as of late as well. Over the past two weeks, the Red Sox own a .294 wOBA with a .294 OBP and a SLG of .386. I’m by no means fading the Red Sox in this matchup, but I think it’s worth noting how poorly they’ve been hitting and maybe setting the right expectations.

Weather Concerns

No weather concerns tonight!

Park Factors

Now that we’ve entered the month of June, I’ll be switching over to the 2017 Park Factor stats.

Park Factors are ranked on a scale of 1.000. Anything above 1.000 is favorable towards the hitters. Anything below that mark favors pitchers.

  • SunTrust Park – New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves – SunTrust Park checks in as our most favorable ballpark for hitters tonight. So far this season, all offensive categories except triples have been favored here.
  • Yankee Stadium – Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees – Yankee Stadium checks in as our number two favorable ballpark for hitters tonight. All offensive categories except singles and triples have gotten the nod here in 2017.
  • AT&T Park – Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants – The Twins will visit AT&T Park tonight to start a series with the Giants. No offensive categories are currently favored here.
  • Busch Stadium – Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals – From one unfavorable ballpark to another, the Phillies will be visiting Busch Stadium starting tonight. Triples are the only category favored here.


Splits to Start

Pitchers vs. Left-Handed Batters

Worst vs. LHBOPSAVGBest vs. LHBOPSAVG
Matt Moore1.128.385Ervin Santana.491.147
Tyler Glasnow1.050.324Brad Peacock.546.157
Jhoulys Chacin.988.330Andrew Triggs.553.194

Pitchers vs. Right-Handed Batters

Worst vs. RHBOPSAVGBest vs. RHBOPSAVG
Amir Garret.906.260Brad Peacock.415.138
Zach Davies.894.331Joe Biagini.568.221
Jordan Zimmermann.886.283Tanner Roark.570.231

Batter vs. Pitcher Splits

HitterOpposing SPABFP/AB*
Jose AltuveMatt Shoemaker262.57
Jose AbreuCorey Kluber362.19

*(Fantasy Points Per At Bat)


Lineup Starters

Pitcher to Build Around

Brad Peacock – HOU vs. LAA – $7,900 – Peacock sees a massive bump in salary for tonight, but he still sits at a very reasonable $7,900. He’ll take on the Angels, who without Mike Trout, currently own the lowest wOBA in the league against right-handed pitchers. He’s been fantastic in the rotation thus far, owning a .278 wOBA through 15 innings with a 25:4 K:BB ratio against the Tigers, Twins and Rangers. The Angels don’t strike out a ton, which is a bit of a hit to Peacock tonight, but for his salary, he holds tremendous upside.

Heavy Hitter to Pay For

Jake Lamb – ARI vs. MIL – $5,500 – Chances are, you’ll have some salary to spend on hitters tonight with how cheap pitching is. So why not load up on someone like Jake Lamb? He’ll take on Zach Davies tonight, who has struggled immensely against left-handed batters. At Miller Park, Davies is allowing a .364 wOBA with a .518 SLG and four of the ten home runs he’s given up. Lamb has been his best on the road against righties, owner of a .462 wOBA with six of his 15 home runs.

Save Big by Drafting…

Asdrubal Cabrera – NYM vs. ATL – $3,400 – Cabrera is a solid play at shortstop tonight as he’ll match up against Julio Teheran. As you may expect, Teheran has been struggling against left-handed batters, but it’s been REALLY bad at home. In just 14.1 innings, lefties at SunTrust have tagged him for a .488 wOBA with a .726 SLG with seven of his 14 home runs. Cabrera has some pop and could sneak one out in a matchup like this. If you want to go really off the board, Curtis Granderson is another name to consider.

Stack Em Up

Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers (Andrew Cashner) – The Nationals will be well rested tonight as they head into their matchup with Andrew Cashner. Besides the fact that they are one of the best offenses at home, Cashner has been average at best on the mound. At Nationals Park, Washington is sporting a .360 wOBA with a .497 SLG and a .360 OBP. Cashner has yet to allow a home run on the road this season, but I have a hunch that will change tonight against this dynamic Nationals’ offense.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.