Sunday is my favorite day to play fantasy baseball. You always have a full slate of games, day and night, and it’s the perfect way to spend a Sunday. Light up the grill, get me a couple beers and we got a special freindship forming. Today’s Cheat Sheet will cover the entire day’s worth of games, so let’s get to it. As always, you can get me on the Ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Johnny Cueto vs. San Diego Padres (-174) – Cueto is today’s favorite pitcher according to Vegas. He goes up against a Padres team that’s really fallen short of it’s expectations this season. Cueto owns a 2.90 ERA on the season with an 8.1 K/9. Cueto has been fantastic at home this season, as he owns a 1.55 ERA and giving up three of his eight home runs on the season.
Zack Greinke vs. St.Louis Cardinals (-157) – Well, of course. If Greinke is pitching, he’s most likely going to end up in this section. He takes on a good Cardinals offense, who are 7th in the league in hitting. While that may scare you off a bit, the Cardinals have a little trouble scoring runs, as they’re 18th in the league. They’re also near the bottom of the league in home runs, at 26th. Greinke owns a 1.97 ERA on the season.
Carlos Carrasco vs. Baltimore Orioles (-156) Carrasco goes into today with an early matchup against the Orioles. They’ve been scuffling a bit this season as they’re 17th in team average and 19th in runs scored. If Carrasco can contain the Orioles, it could be a high scoring affair for him. Carrasco has a 10 K/9 on the season and the Orioles are 7th in the league in strikeouts.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 11 Over/Under- Of course. Rookie Jose Urena takes on Kyle Kendrick in this one. These teams have been living up to the hype and scoring a TON of runs this series. Problem is, everyone and their mother knows this too. So because of this, they’ve been highly owned in every contest. But, it’s hard to not roster at least a couple of the hitters in these contests. The Coors Effect, baby!
San Francisco Giants vs. Phildelphia Phillies (Citizens Bank Park) – 8.5 Over/Under – We had five games with 8.5 projected runs, but I wanted to highlight this one in particular. Ryan Vogelsong goes up against Sean O’Sullivan. Vogelsong has been decent this season, with a 4.26 ERA on the season. O’Sullivan is atrocious when it comes to left handed batters, as they’re hitting .377 against him. He’s given up 11 runs in his last 11.1 innings.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
CC Sabathia vs. L.A. Angels- Sabathia has really been struggling this season, but he’s still able to keep lefties in check. They’re only hitting .179 against him this season. However, righties are a different story, as you’ll learn in the very near future. Sabathia has a 7.8 K/9 on the season.
CJ Wilson vs. New York Yankees – In the battle of pitchers with initials for first names, lefties will be having a tough time. Just as Sabathia is great against lefties, so is Wilson. They’re only hitting .188 against him. His K/9 sits at 7.1.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jacob deGrom vs. Arizona Diamondbacks- Well first of all, I’m just happy somebody actually has a full name in this section. deGrom has been money this season, and he’s especially tough against righties. They’re hitting only .175 against him this season. His K/9 is at an even 9 this season.
Chris Archer vs. Seattle Mariners – Oh yes, my man Archer. Want to talk about someone who’s been killing it this season, Archer should be one of the first names to come up. Righties are only hitting .184 against him. His K/9 is at a ridiculous 11.5 on the seaon.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Bud Norris vs. Cleveland Indians – Norris, pal, what’s up with this? He’s throwing beach balls to lefties and lefties only it seems. They’re hitting .421 against him! C’mon man, that just isn’t right. The only person that is really happy about this other than Cleveland is…..
Sean O’Sullivan vs.San Francisco Giants– “I owe you one!” That’s what I’d imagine O’Sullivan would say, because any other day, O’Sullivan would be at the top of the list. Lefties are hitting .377 against him on the season.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
CC Sabathia vs. L.A. Angels – Great against lefties, not so much against righties. On the season, they’re hitting .348 against Sabathia. He’s been extremely inconsistent this season, so it’s really hard to predict which Sabathia shows up.
Mike Pelfrey vs. Milwaukee Brewers– This really could have been two or three other guys, as they’re all clumped in together. Righties are hitting .301 against Pelfrey on the season. However, keep in mind he’s going up against the Brewers today. They’re…….not good.
Freddie Freeman ($4300) – Freeman is really really cheap today. For someone who has the production going like he has lately, he’s a real bargain. He’s 10 for his last 21 with four home runs, nine RBIs and eight runs scored.
Brandon Phillips ($4000) – Phillips has been batting lead off, and boy has it been working out well. He’s 12 for his last 27 with a home run, six RBIs, two stolen bases and seven runs scored. Phillips has been running again this season, as he’s 8-8 on the season. If he’s truly running again, his price is a steal.
Jose Reyes ($4400) – When he’s not on the DL, Reyes can certainly get it done. He’s 10 for his last 26 with a home run, seven RBIs, three stolen bases and three runs scored. When healthy, he has plenty of run opportunities with the hitters he has following him.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Prince Fielder vs. Jeremy Guthrie – I don’t think anyone really struggles against Jeremy Guthrie, but Fielder does hit him exceptionally well. He’s 12-24 against him with a home run, four extra base hits, and a 1.336 OPS.
Matt Kemp vs. Johnny Cueto – Kemp has been quite disappointing this season, but he’s got good numbers against Cueto. He’s 6-13 against him with two home runs, a .533 OBP and a 1.456 OPS.
Anthony Rizzo vs. Jordan Zimmermann – Rizzo would have great numbers against Zeus, if Zeus decided to pitch. Against Zimmermann, who does pitch, he’s seen his share of success. He’s 4-10 against him with a home run and a 1.300 OPS.
The Tigers and White Sox along with the Rangers and Royals both have a chance of seeing thunderstorms during their games. Watch these ones closely.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Chris Archer ($10,400) – Honestly, if I gave you someone else, I know in the back of my mind I should have picked Archer. He’s been completely lights out this season, with a 2.01 ERA and 97 strikeouts in 76 innings. He’s up against Seattle, who he scored 40.8 points against the last time out. He has a 50% ground all rate on the season and the game is once again at Safeco Field. Truly, nothing to hate here.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Prince Fielder ($4800) – Fielder is on a tear this season, as he’s elevated his average to .356 on the season to go along with ten home runs, 40 RBIs and a .957 OPS. He’s got a cake matchup against Jeremy Guthrie, who I showed he has excellent numbers against. Just make sure to watch the weather here.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Nick Swisher ($3000) – I’m taking a stab in the dark here and rolling with Swisher. He’s a switch hitter going up against Bud Norris, who I said is giving up a .421 average to lefties. Swisher isn’t a big bat anymore but he does still have some power and will be extremely low owned. For the price, it’s worth the gamble. If anything else, it will help you afford other players.