One of my favorite days to play fantasy baseball, Sunday’s. We have a few great pitching matchup today as well as some real doozys, that should score lots of runs. A perfect little mix of baseball. Let’s get you right into everything and as always, you can reach me on the ol’ Twitter machine, @Sbuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Madison Bumgarner vs. Colorado Rockies (-226) – Bumgarner is coming off one of the most dominating performances of his season, where he faced the Padres and stuck out 14 in 7 1/3 innings while giving up two runs. The Rockies are one of the best offensive clubs in baseball, as they rank in the top 10 in batting average, home runs, and runs scored. Bumgarner continues to see his salary rise, as he’s up to $10,600 on the day, the third highest salary for a pitcher. I don’t anticipate an implosion here, but I don’t see this being an easy start for Bumgarner.
Chris Archer vs. Boston Red Sox (-177) – After two lackluster starts against the Nationals and the White Sox, Archer seemed to right the ship against Toronto. Archer went eight innings giving up one run and striking out seven. This afternoon, he faces a very mediocre Red Sox team. The Red Sox are actually the hardest team to strike out, besides the Kansas City Royals. With that being the case, if Archer can’t match his 10.7 K/9, he may not reach his value.
David Price vs. Chicago White Sox(-170) – Price is the most expensive pitcher on the day, as he gets a matchup against the American League Phillies, the Chicago White Sox. The White Sox have actually moved up a bit in the rankings, as now they’re 26th in the league in batting average! What an accomplishment! Everything else, they are nearly dead last. Runs scored, OPS, and home runs. Even though Price is the most expensive pitcher of the day, he should have a dominating start against these White Sox.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Texas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays (Rogers Centre) – 9 Over/Under- Chi Chi Gonzalez takes on Drew Hutchison in this matchup, slated for the highest run total of the day. Gonzalez is coming off a real tough start against the Oakland A’s, in which he gave up six runs on eight hits in only five innings. Gonzalez is not a strikeout pitcher by any means, as his K/9 is at 2.8 on the seaon. He’s purely a contact pitcher, who will run into problems today when he faces the Blue Jays. Hutchison is a great example of why the win loss record in baseball is a joke, as he’s 7-1 on the season, but owns a 5.34 ERA. If you haven’t figured this out yet, this should be a high scoring game.
Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles (Camden Yards) – 8.5 Over/Under- This game has seen a pitching change, as Ubaldo Jimenez is now going to pitch for the Orioles, taking on Trevor Bauer. The Cleveland offense isn’t that great, but Jimenez has been a bit shaky in his control lately, as he’s given up 13 walks this month. Last month, Jimenez only issued six. Bauer has been as inconsistent as anyone this season, as he comes off a meltdown of a start against the Tigers. Bauer leades the American League in walks, which could really lead to trouble again tonight against Baltimore, who are in the top 10 in batting average, runs, OPS, and home runs.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Tommy Milone vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Milone has been great against lefties this season, but now so much against right handed batters. Against those lefties, they’re only htting .186 against him.
Hector Santiago vs. Seattle Mariners – Santiago continues to have a solid season for the Angels, and he brings his dominance against lefties with him today. He’s holding them to a .156 average this season.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Chi Chi Gonzalez vs. Toronto Blue Jays – Well, enjoy this fanfare while you can Gonzalez, I have a funny feeling you won’t be here next time around. He’s holding right handed batters to a .145 avearge, but he also hasn’t faced the Blue Jays yet.
Chris Archer vs. Boston Red Sox – Even after a couple of mediocre starts, Archer still remains one of the top pitchers on the day against right handed batters. They’re only hitting .189 against him on the season.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Severino Gonzalez vs. Washington Nationals – This is laughable. Gonzalez is coming up to sport start for the Nationals, as they have a double header today. Against lefties, they’re hitting .528 off of Gonzalez.
Kevin Correia vs. Washington Nationals – Boy, if you’re a leftie on the Nationals, you’ll love playing in the double header today. Correia is allowing a .351 avearge to left handed batters. However, compared to Gonzalez, his numbers look like Pedro Martinez.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Drew Hutchison vs. Texas Rangers– Another reason it’s laughable that Hutchison is 7-1 on the season, is that anyone who gets hit around by a right handed batter is not going to be successful. They’re hitting .325 off of Hutchison this season.
Stephen Strasburg vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Strasburg nightmare season continues, and could get a lot worse if the Phillies can handle him. He’s allowing a .322 average to right handed batters.
Chris Young ($3400) – Young has been making his way into the Yankee lineup again and he’s really been making it count. Young is 12 for his last 29 with two home runs, seven RBIs, two stolen bases and seven runs scored.
Jose Altuve ($4300) – Nice to see Altuve back in this section. He’s one of those players that can truly bring it all during a game. He’s 8 for his last 25 with a home run, two RBIs, four stolen bases, and seven runs scored.
Brian Dozier ($4800) – Dozier has been on a nice little run lately. He’s 10 for his last 24 with two home runs, five RBIs, two stolen bases and three runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Carlos Gonzalez vs. Madison Bumgarner -Gonzalez hasn’t been having the type of season we’d hope for, but boy can he hit Bumgarner. He’s 14-40 lifetime against Bumgarner with eight extra base hits, five of those being home runs. His 1.209 OPS against him isn’t too shabby either.
Yunel Escobar vs. Kevin Correia – I love doing this section because you can put guys in here you might not even give a second thought to rostering, unless you just love the Nationals. Escobar is 8-14 against Correia with three extra base hits and a 1.348 OPS.
Chris Johnson vs. Jeff Locke – See what I mean about rostering players you normally wouldn’t. Johnson is 5-12 against Locke with four extra base hits, two of them being home runs, and a 1.545 OPS.
The Cubs and Cardinals have a chance at some rain during their game, but other then that, it’s a mostly clear/cloudy day for baseball. Much better then that crap day we had yesterday. We didn’t even get to see John Danks implode!
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Zack Greinke ($10300) – If you haven’t heard the news already, Giancarlo Stanton is now on the 15-day DL with a left wrist hamate fracture. So guess what that means? START EVERY PITCHER AGAINST MIAMI! Ok, maybe not EVERY pitcher, but during this 4-6 weeks, the weak Miami offense is going to be exposed. When it comes to home runs, Miami has 62 on the season, take out Stanton and they’re down to 35, which would bring them dead last in the majors. I mean I could go on and on here but I think you get the point I’m getting at. Miami also strikes out a ton, as they’re 7th in the league in that category. Greinke has been seeing his overall K/9 rise this month, as it now sits at 7.9 on the season. This should be an easy start for Greinke.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Nelson Cruz ($4400) – Crazy to think how much Cruz has seen his price drop, as he’s been a bit quiet these past few weeks. Well guess what, this might be the perfect game for him to bust out of. He faces Hector Santiago today, who overall has good splits. However, when you dig a little deeper, you’ll notice that Santiago has given up 12 home runs to right handed batters. Wouldn’t you now, Cruz hits from the right side! For the price and the matchup, I’m firing up Cruz.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Chrs Johnson ($3200) – First, make sure he’s starting, as his playing time has been very sporadic as of late. Second, be at peace that you’re going to roster him. Third, be a fan of BvP. I love the BvP stats, as I’m sure you’ve come to know, as I’m utilizing them a lot in this section. As I mentioned, Johnson is 5-12 against Locke with four extra base hits, two of them home runs and a 1.545 OPS.