First and foremost, Happy Father’s Day to all the Dad’s today. Hopefully, you can build your lineups in peace, and not in between doing some chores around the house. Second, it’s Sunday, which of course means a full slate of games today starting at 1 this afternoon. So let’s get you right into things. As always, you can follow me on Twitter @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Michael Wacha vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-221) – Vegas loves anyone against the Phillies, so it’s no surprise here that Wacha is the heavy favorite on the day. Wacha has been phenonmal this season as he comes into today with a 2.48 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP to go along with 62 strikeouts in 83 innings. In his last seven starts, he’s fanned 43 batters in 44 2/3 innings. With his price at 9100, Wacha is going to be a real popular pick this afternoon.
Masahiro Tanaka vs. Detroit Tigers (-158) – Any worries anyone had about Tanaka coming off the disabled list and not pitching like himself have quickly been put to rest. He’s only allowed four runs while striking out 21 in 21 innings pitched since returning. Tanaka is taking on the Tigers today, who suprisingly have been quiet in the power department, as they’re ranked 24th in the league in home runs. Tanaka is basically at the point now, where no team has really given him any issues. Starting Tanaka is not something I’m against today.
Brett Anderson vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (-151) – Now, onto a pitcher that has good Vegas odds going for him, but I personally am like “ehhhhh.” Anderson really hasn’t been doing that bad this season, as he comes into tonight with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. I’m just not really thrilled with his matchup tonight, as the Diamondbacks are a much better offensive club then you’re used too. One thing you do have going for you, is that this game is the 8:08 game, so we will be extremely low owned.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 11 Over/Under- 11 runs. Oh boy, this is the highest run total I’ve seen in awhile. Matt Garza takes on Chris Rusin in this one. As always, games at Coors Field have the highest run totals of the day so this one is no surprise. Targeting the hitters in this would not only be a great idea, but it has the Steve Buchanan seal of approval. Both pitchers come into today with ERAs north of five.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays (Rogers Centre) – 9.5 Over/Under – These two teams continue to be featured in this section and today is no different. Chris Tillman takes on Scott Copeland, who is making another spot start for the injured Aaron Sanchez. Tillman has been having a rough go of it this season, as he comes into today with a 5.58 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. Against a team that is in the top 10 in team batting average, runs scored, OPS and home runs, Tillman is going to have nightmares about this game. Copeland is only making his second start, but I really wouldn’t recommend him, as he owns a career 3.2 K/9 in the minors.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Jose Quintana vs. Texas Rangers – If Quintana could be this great against right handed batters, he’d be fantastic. But he’s not, so we’ll settle for his numbers against left handers, as they’re only hitting .154 off of him.
Michael Wacha vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Wacha has been tough against both batters, but more so with left handed batters. Lefties are only hitting .195 against him this season.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Chris Young vs. Boston Red Sox – Every time Young is pitching and he comes out as the top against right handed batters, I have to double check. It’s crazy how well he’s doing. Right handed batters are only hitting .137 off of Young.
Masahiro Tanaka vs. Detroit Tigers – Tanaka is having another dominating year for the Yankees, as he takes those numbers for his start against Detroit tonight. Righties are only hitting .172 against him.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Julio Teheran vs. New York Mets– It’s crazy to see how poorly Teheran is pitching this season, after having such a solid one last year. Lefties have been knocking him around to a .326 average.
Jeremy Hellickson vs San Diego Padres- I have a small gripe with Hellickson. Doing these articles to much, my iPads now likes to auto correct the word “hell” to “Hellickson” now. So he will forever haunt my moments of dispair and I simply want to say “what the hell.” I guess my only revenge is watching lefties hit him to a .311 average.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jose Quintana vs. Texas Rangers– I told you, Quintana and right handers are not a good match. They’re hitting .316 against him this season.
Alex Colome vs. Cleveland Indians- Colome has really been having a rough go of it lately, as righties have been smacking him around. They’re hitting .304 against him this season.
Ben Zobrist ($4200) – His overall numbers may not reflect it, but Zobrist has been swinging a hot bat lately. He’s 10 for his last 23 with two home runs, eight RBIs and 12 runs scored!
Billy Burns ($4200) – It seems like were having an Oakland A’s outfield sale for only 4200! Burns has also been great for Oakland as of late as he’s 13 for his last 33 with five RBIs, four stolen bases and eight runs scored.
Randal Grichuk ($3600) – Grichuk has been making starts and making them count when he does. He’s 9 for his last 20 with three home runs, six RBIs, a stolen base and six runs scored. Just make sure he’s starting if you’re thinking of playing him.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Yasiel Puig vs Tim Lincecum – Puig has had good numbers against Lincecum, but surprisingly no home runs. Regardless, Puig is 10-17 against Lincecum with four extra base hits and a 1.591 OPS.
Chris Carter vs. J.A. Happ – Carter basically hits home runs, and that’s about it. So it’s nice to see that he at least has some good numbers against a pitcher. Against Happ, Carter is 4-10 with two home runs and a 1.500 OPS.
Lucas Duda vs. Julio Teheran – Duda comes into today 7-20 against Teheran with four extra base hits two home runs and a 1.208 OPS.
Should be a pretty quiet day in terms of weather today. The Marlins and Reds might have a chance of a thunderstorm during the game, but other then that, should be a nice one.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Michael Wacha ($9100) – The price of Wacha against the Phillies is almost too good to pass up. As the 5th most expensive on the day, against the Phillies, it’s basiclly a must start. As I’ve mentioned many many times before, the Phillies are basically last in almost every offensive category and Wacha has been basically lights out the entire season. He’s been striking out almost a batter an inning since May 1st which is the final nail in the coffin for me. Wacha will be in all of my lineups.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Manny Machado ($5400) – It’s hard to deny how well Machado has been hitting lately. He’s 11 for his last 27 with three home runs, six RBIs, three stolen bases and nine runs scored. He goes up against Scott Copeland, who is only making his second start. Machado will get plenty of chances to see Copeland, as Machado has been manning the lead off positon for the Orioles. Don’t forget, besides the Rockies game, this is the highest run total of the day.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Mark Reynolds ($3300) – Reynolds is such a cheap power option that I love to get on my roster when I want to save some money but have some great upside. He goes up against a rookie pitcher, Adam Morgan, who owned a 4.74 ERA in the minors. Reynolds may not be the sexiest pick I can give, but the upside with him is well worth the price.