WATCH: MLB TODAY AARON JUDGE VS. CODY BELLINGER


Tuesday night brings us a full 15-game slate of baseball. Let’s dive right into all the information, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Pitcher Favorite

New York Yankees vs. L.A. Angels – Michael Pineda ($10,600) – The Yankees enter this full 15-game slate tonight as the heavy favorites as they get set to take on the L.A. Angels in New York. Michael Pineda will be taking the mound for the second time against this club after they rocked him for five runs on 10 hits in six innings of work on the road. Unfortunately for the Angels this time around, Pineda has been his strongest at Yankee Stadium this season, averaging 26.1 fantasy points per game with a .273 wOBA and a .315 SLG. The Angels are one of the worst hitting clubs on the road this season, posting just a .290 wOBA with a .310 OBP and a .357 SLG. Pineda is the second most expensive pitcher on the night but still is at a reasonable $10,600 when you factor in his matchup and his performances at home.

Highest Totals

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers – 11 projected runs – The Blue Jays and Rangers have managed to tie the Rockies and Diamondbacks for the highest projected run total of the night at 11 runs. However, the Blue Jays own the highest team total of the evening as they currently sit at a projected 5.9 runs against Nick Martinez. Believe it or not, Martinez owns a very respectable .287 wOBA in four home starts with a .424 SLG and a .260 OBP. To be fair, they came against the Angels, Royals, A’s and Rays. While the Blue Jays haven’t exactly been an offensive juggernaut, the bats did come alive in the hot, humid Texas weather, scoring seven runs last night. Personally, the Blue Jays aren’t my favorite stack on the night, but I’ll certainly get some exposure to them.

Weather Concerns

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves (SunTrust Park) – Just like last night, Atlanta will have a threat of thunderstorms all throughout the night, so it’s worth checking this game out closer to first pitch.

Park Factors

Park Factors are ranked on a scale of 1.000. Anything above 1.000 is favorable towards the hitters. Anything below that mark favors pitchers.

  • Coors Field – Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies – Per usual, Coors Field is our number one ballpark for hitters tonight. All offensive categories are favored here.
  • Miller Park – Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Miller Park ranks as our number two ballpark for hitters tonight. Thus far in 2017, all offensive categories get the nod here with the exception of triples.
  • Camden Yards – Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles – Camden Yards ranks are our worst park for hitters tonight. So far this season, walks are the only category favored here.
  • Kauffman Stadium – Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals – Kauffman Stadium is our second worst ballpark tonight for hitters. Doubles have been the only category favored here.


Splits to Start

Pitchers vs. Left-Handed Batters

Worst vs. LHBOPSAVGBest vs. LHBOPSAVG
Matt Moore1.225.387Ervin Santana.503.168
Chris Tillman1.057.364Derek Holland.510.200
Chad Kuhl1.036.336Gio Gonzalez.511.194

Pitchers vs. Right-Handed Batters

Worst vs. RHBOPSAVGBest vs. RHBOPSAVG
Chris Tillman.934.340Chris Sale.554.207
Robert Gsellman.929.335Edinson Volquez.592.189
Derek Holland.897.282Brandon McCarthy.603.218

Batter vs. Pitcher Splits

HitterOpposing SPABFP/AB*
Brandon BeltJulio Teheran123.41
Adam JonesJosh Tomlin183
Carlos GonzalezZack Greinke362.55

*(Fantasy Points Per At Bat)


Lineup Starters

Pitcher to Build Around

Michael Pineda – NYY vs. LAA  – $10,600 – I think Pineda is the right call here tonight as he faces the Angels for the second time. As I mentioned earlier, the Angels are currently one of the worst hitting clubs on the road this season with a .290 wOBA. If you want to make those numbers even worse, when you take out Mike Trout, that wOBA drops to .277, which would, in fact, make them the worst hitting club on the road. Pineda has consistently been fantastic at Yankee Stadium, and I’ll be banking on that fact tonight. With a very lackluster list of pitchers to choose from, Pineda sticks out the most.

Heavy Hitter to Pay For

Brian Dozier – MIN vs. CWS – $4,600 – Dozier is someone that I think may go overlooked tonight, as we have 10 hitters tonight who are tagged with at least a $5K salary. He has a fantastic matchup tonight against Derek Holland, who is currently allowing a .385 wOBA against righties on the road with a .568 SLG and nine of his 14 home runs on the year. If that wasn’t good enough, Dozier has been crushing lefties, especially at Target Field. On the season, Dozier is posting a .456 wOBA with a .556 SLG.

Save Big by Drafting…

Chris Herrmann – ARI vs. COL – $3,800 – I can’t guarantee that he’ll draw the start tonight, but Herrmann could be a cheap way to get some exposure to Coors Field. He’ll take on German Marquez, who is allowing a .351 wOBA to lefties at Coors with a .475 wOBA. Herrmann is a sneaky power bat that’s hit six home runs over 48 games this season.

Stack Em Up

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (Derek Holland) – The Twins have beat on Holland in two starts already this season, so why not a third? In 11 innings, Holland has allowed 10 runs (five earned) on 10 hits with three home runs and an 8:5 K:BB ratio. I also like this stack a lot because it’s relatively cheap, as Brian Dozier is the most expensive hitter on the team at $4,600. To be quite honest, a mini Twins/D-Backs stack could be the top option tonight.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.