It’s the Monday edition of the MLB Cheat Sheet. We have almost every team going tonight with a lot of really good pitching matchups. Let’s jump right into things and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Clay Kershaw vs. Colorado Rockies (-209) – No real surprise here, as Kershaw always seems to be the favorite on whatever night he pitches. He had a real encouraging start his last time out against Atlanta where he pitched seven innings giving up no runs and striking out 10. One thing to keep in mind, is that Kershaw has given up the most amount of home runs in Coors Field then any other field other than Dodger Stadium.
Clay Buchholz vs. Minnesota Twins (-160) – Excuse me while I groan. Ok, maybe I’m being a bit unfair to Buchholz, who honestly, has been pretty good as of late. In his last four starts, Buchholz owns a 2.17 ERA. The Twins continue to hit as a team, at .257, and they’re at Fenway Park tonight. The rewards to starting Buchholz could be great, or a complete disaster.
Garrett Richards vs. Tampa Bay Rays (-159) Richards has a great matchup tonight against the Rays. In his eight starts this season, Richards has allowed more than three earned runs only once. The Rays are near the bottom of the league in hitting at .243 and runs scored, at 26th in the league. I’d trust Richards way more than I’d trust Buchholz.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
L.A. Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 8.5 Over/Under – This is the highest I’ve seen a game projected that features Kershaw. As usually a game at Coors is projected around 10 runs. If you’re into hot streaks, this could potentially be a good pitching matchup, as Kyle Kendrick for the Rockies as held opponents to a .198 batting average over his last four starts. While you digest that, remember that everthing changes once you step into Coors Field.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros (Minute Maid Park) – 8.5 Over/Under – Another game slated at 8.5 runs, the Orioles take on the surprising Astros. Believe it or not, the Astros actually lead the league in home runs, with 68. Ubaldo Jimenez for the Orioles, has only given up four on the year, but three have come on the road. The Astros send out Brett Oberholtzer, who’s coming off the DL with a finger inury.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Archie Bradley vs. Atlanta Braves- Bradley has been having a rough go around overall, but his one consistent achivement has been against lefties. They’re only hitting .161 against him on the season. But be warned, his numbers against righties aren’t pretty. He owns a 6.5 K/9 on the year.
Garrett Richards vs. Tampa Bay Rays- Richards hasn’t missed a beat this season, as he’s holding lefties to a .168 average on the year. His K/9 sits at 7.4 on the year.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jacob deGrom vs. San Diego Padres – deGrom has had no problems with righties. On the year, they’re only hitting.179 against him while his K/9 sits at a solid 9. In a lineup which is extremely right handed heavy, this could be a smooth sailing night for deGrom.
Jason Hammel vs. Miami Marlins- Hammel has been really surprising this season, as righties can’t seem to figure him out either. They’re only hitting .194 off of him, while his K/9 is at a very respectable 8.7.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Jordan Zimmermann vs. Toronto Blue Jays- Zimmermann has had his struggle against lefties, as this year is no exception. They’re hitting .319 off of him on the season. His K/9 is at 6.1
Ryan Vogelsong vs. Pittsburgh Pirates– Lefties are hitting Vogelsong at .299 on the year. He’s pitched very well in his last four starts, but the lefties continue to give him some trouble. His K/9 is at 6.7.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Archie Bradley vs. Atlanta Braves- As I mentioned earlier, Bradley has been great against lefties, but absolutely atrocious against righties. They’re hitting an astounding .346 off of him this year. Since coming back from his stint on the disabled list, Bradley owns an ERA of 11.84. Insert slanty emojii face here.
Alex Wood vs. Arizona Diamondbacks– What do you think, a righties stack of players from both these teams sound like a good idea? Wood is better againss righties, if you want to call it that. They’re hitting .311 off of him on the year.
Josh Donaldson ($4600) – The man just doesn’t stop hitting. Donaldson is 11 for his last 25 with six home runs, 11 RBIs, and 11 runs scored. Even more surprising, his salary has come down a bit.
Brian McCann ($3600) – McCann is on a bit of a power surge right now, at a really cheap price. He’s 7 for his last 17 with four home runs, eight RBIs, and six runs scored. Just remember, he will be in Safeco for his next three games.
Lucas Duda ($4300) – Duda has some fantastic numbers on the year, but he’s also on a nice hot streak. He’s 7 for his last 21 with four home runs, six RBIs, and eight runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Mark Teixeria vs. Felix Hernandez – One of my favorite things to showcase in this article is hitters who hit aces really well. It ususally means they’ll be low owned, which is a huge advantage to you, the smart reader. Tex is hitting .297 off Hernandez with six home runs, nine extra base hits and a .964 OPS.
Wilson Ramos vs. R.A. Dickey – Damn. That’s what I said when I saw what Ramos was hitting against Dickey. .692! He’s 9-13 against him with a home run and a 1.692 OPS. This is one of those dream matchups tonight.
Jhonny Peralta vs. Mike Fiers – Fiers can strikeout almost anyone out. He owns a K/9 of 11 on the season. However, Peralta has had huge success against him. He’s hitting .545 against him with a home run and a 1.402 OPS.
Two games are in real danger of at least a delay tonight. The Blue Jays and Nationals, as well as the Twins and Red Sox. Which these ones closely as the day progresses.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Jacob deGrom ($9700) – I have a lot of reasons to like deGrom tonight. San Diego is 3rd worst in the league in strikeouts and 20th in batting average. That’s a great place to start. They’re 26th in OBP at a .300 clip. deGrom is fantastic against righties and the Padres just so happen to have a very heavy right handed lineup. The cherry on top is it’s at Petco Park. I can’t not see myself rostering deGrom tonight.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Anthony Rizzo ($5200) – I honestly like Rizzo any night, espicially against a left hander, who he absolutely smashes. But tonight, he goes against a right hander in rookie Jose Urena. I’m going to pick on the rookie a bit here because that’s just the kind of guy I am. He’s hitting .287 against righties with eight of of his nine home runs having come against them. Bonus points, he’s hitting .310 on the road.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Wilson Ramos ($3500) – Ramos is a bit more expensive than I usually like to showcase hitters in this section, but the numbers are hard to ignore. As I mentioned, he’s hitting .692 off Dickey, who is always one pitch away from imploding. Just watch the weather in this one, which could bring his value up even more, as people may be shying away from this one. Be brave, tonight!