We dodged most of the weather issues yesterday, but it looks as if today might be another challenge. Damn you, weather. We got a split slate of games today so I’ll have you covered for both. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24. Good luck!
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Chris Tillman vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-185) – When I saw this, I had one phrase that came to mind. Yes, the Phillies are one of the worst offenses in the league, but Tillman has been going on the mound and throwing nothing but junk all season. He owns a 5.68 ERA on the season to go along with a 1.59 WHIP. If that isn’t bad enough, he’s only averaging 9.1 fantasy points per game. I mean, that’s just horrible. Look, can Tillman pull out a decent game? Of course, it’s the Phillies were talking about. I’m just not going to take the chance. He’s a GPP only play tonight, if even that. I’d love to hear an explanation on this, Vegas.
Michael Wacha vs. Minnesota Twins (-185) – Wacha has been great this season, as he comes into tonight with a 2.46 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP with 57 strikeouts in 77 innings. The strikeouts have been down a bit this season, but he’s still averaging 18.8 points per start. He takes on the struggling Twins today in a matchup he should be able to handle. Last time out, Wacha struck out 10 Rockies allowing four runs in seven innings pitched.
Garrett Richards vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (-170)- Richards has been inconsistent this season, which is hard to justify his 9400 price tag. He comes into tonight with a 3.98 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP with 55 strike outs in 65 innings pitched. The Diamondbacks are a good offensive team who rank 6th in batting average and 4th in runs scored. While I wouldn’t hate this pick during the late games tonight, I think you might be able to do better.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles (Camden Yards) – 9 Over/Under- Jerome Williams takes on Vegas favorite pitcher of the day, Chris Tillman in this one. Williams has been awful this season, as he’s only made it through six innings twice this season in six outings. He owns a 5.71 ERA with a 1.63 WHIP. Tillman has been much better, as I highlighted that above. While we all know how terrible the Phillies are offensively, the Orioles are a good offensive club that hit a ton of home runs, good for 6th in the league. Camden Yards is a very hitter friendly park and this would be a great game to target some O’s bats, especially righties.
Cincinnati Reds at Detroit Tigers (Comerica Park) – 9 Over/Under – We have two pitchers going today that cost less then 5000, so you know we either have rookies, or Jerome Williams again. Mike Lorenzen and Kyle Ryan take the mound in this one. Lorenzen has a tough matchup against the Tigers, as he’s struggled with his command since starting for the Reds. He currently had a 29:25 K:BB ratio. Ryan is only making his second start on the season. The Reds aren’t the best offensive club in the league, but they do hit a lot of home runs as they’re 6th in the league. Ryan struggled mostly in his time in Triple-A, boasting a 4.67 ERA with 31 strikeouts in 54 innings.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Jose Quintana vs. Pittsburgh Pirates- Quintana has some extreme splits when it comes to a left or right handed batter. When facing a left hander, Quintana is holding them to a .154 average. His K/9 on the season is at 7.5
Michael Wacha vs. Minnesota Twins – Wacha is justtttttt under the 200 mark when facing a left hander. They’re hitting .199 against him on the season. I mentioned his strikeouts are down this season, as his K/9 is at 6.7.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Chi Chi Gonzalez vs. LA Dodgers- He’s completed the three starts needed to be a part of this illustrious article, so his numbers can now be counted. Against righties, they hitting an absurd .105 on the season. Chi Chi owns a 3.3 K/9 on the year. Ugh. That’s just nasty.
Chris Young vs. Milwaukee Brewers – I’ll tell you, the Royals really caught lightning in a bottle with Young this season, he’s been fantastic. He’s holding righties to a .134 average. His K/9 sits at 6.2.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Nathan Eovaldi vs. Miami Marlins – Eovaldi, man, what are you doing against left handed batters? They’re crushing you to a .380 average this season. Go take a nap or something.
Brett Anderson vs. Texas Rangers– When you have the Eovaldi show to follow, your .333 average against left handers isn’t as bad is it would normally seem. But coming to my senses, it’s still terrible.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jerome Williams vs. Baltimore Orioles- Williams doesn’t seem to do many things right when he takes the mound, so don’t think facing a right hander is one of the things he DOES do right. They’re hitting .343 against him. The Orioles might have a hit parade today.
Jose Quintana vs. Pittsburgh Pirates– I told you, Quintana goes from one extreme to the other. Against righties, they’re hitting .311 against him this season. Jekyll and Hyde.
Paul Goldschmidt ($5000) – Goldschmidt is much more affordable then he was a few days ago, when he was almost 6000. Perfect timing too, as he’s starting to heat up again. He’s 14 for his last 24 with two home runs, six RBIs, a stolen base and five runs scored. Goldy does occasionally steal a bag, which I think is an under rated part of his game and a nice bonus when it happens.
George Springer ($4900) – Another player I love at the leadoff spot, Springer has been really turning it on lately. He’s 13 for his last 25 with two home runs, four RBIs, a stolen base and six runs scored.
Joey Votto ($5400) – Votto has really seen his price jump lately, but for a good reason. He’s 10 for his last 28 with four home runs, five RBIs, and six runs scored. The Reds really need to get guys on base, if they want to truly match the potential offensive outburts Votto and Todd Frazier can provide.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Nori Aoki vs. JA Happ – Aoki hasn’t seen a lot of Happ, hit he’s liked when he’s faced him. He’s 6-11 against Happ with a home run, three extra base hits and a 1.545 OPS.
JJ Hardy vs Jerome Williams – I’m surprised everyone doesn’t have great numbers against Williams, but that’s a story for a different day. Hardy is 7-19 against Williams with a home run and a 1.008 OPS.
Seth Smith vs. Tim Lincecum – Smith doesn’t actually have a great average against Lincecum, it’s the power against him that I wanted to profile. He’s 11-44 against Lincecum with three home runs, six extra base hits and a .821 OPS.
The follwing games have a chance of thunderstorm/rain at some point during the game, so keep a watch on these closely.
Twins at Cardinals
Braves at Red Sox
Phillies at Orioles
Dodgers at Rangers
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Scott Kazmir ($9400) – Kazmir is pitching in the short slate this afternoon, but he’s my pick on the day. He gets an always friendly matchup at Petco Park, which ranks in the top 10 for pitchers. The Padres do have the ability to score runs, as they’re 5th in the league in the catergory, but the problem is actually getting on base to do so, as they’re 24th in OBP. With Kazmir boasting an 8.5 K/9 on the season and the Padres third in the league in strikeouts, I think Kazmir walks away with a solid game for your team.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Adam Jones ($4900) – Jones goes up against my favorite pitcher to pick on today, Jerome Williams. As I mentioned earlier, Williams has been getting a beating from RHB, as they’re hitting .343 against him. Williams is also giving up a lot of home runs this year, as he averages almost 2 a start! Jones has been a bit light on the power this year, but if we ever had a time where he was going to take someone deep, this sounds like a perfect game. Jones has hit 7 of his 10 home runs off a right handers. I’ll be rostering him tonight.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Jung Ho Kang ($3400) – This really depends on the lineup postion for Kang, but he was batting cleanup yesterday and a great game. If that becomes a mainstay, it would boost Kang’s value immensely, as his price tag is too cheap to pass up. He takes on Jose Quintana tonight, who righties are hitting .311 against this year. Kang doesn’t possess a lot of power, but you can’t hate on someone who costs 3400 and will hit in the heart of the Pirates lineup.