This has got to be, the strangest week of pitching I’ve ever seen in my entire life. I’ve never seen so many good quality pitchers get rocked they way they have this week. But nonetheless, we contiue to grind it out and this game of baseball will even itself out. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24. Good luck!
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Gerrit Cole vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-270) – Uhhhh, wow. I think this is by far, the biggest number I’ve seen since doing these articles. Cole is almost Clayton Kershaw level of in terms of being a favorite. Cole has been phenonmal this season with a 1.73 ERA to go along with 86 strikeouts in 78 innings pitched. The Phillies, as always, are at the bottom of the league in almost every offensive category. They’re 27th in batting average and last place in runs, OPS, and home runs. If Cole isn’t at least in the conversation as being one of your pitchers tonight, I think you may need to go back to bed or something.
Zack Greinke vs. San Diego Padres(-155) – An incredibly huge drop off from Cole to Greinkie, but don’t read into that a lot. Greinke owns a 1.92 ERA on the season to go along with 68 strikeouts in 79 innings and a 0.95 WHIP. This will be the fourth time Greinke will start against the Padres this season, where he’s gone 20 2/3 innings giving up only two runs. He leads the league with eleven quality starts this season and is a great bet to earn number twelve tonight.
Chris Archer vs. Chicago White Sox (-151)- It wouldn’t be a cheat sheet article on a day Archer is pitching without bringing him out. He has been a man posessed this season. He comes into this afternoon with a 1.84 ERA with 108 strikeouts in 83 inings pitched and a 0.95 WHIP. He gets the start against the White Sox today, who are basically the American League version of the Phillies. They’re 24th in batting average, 28th in runs, 29th in OPS and 27th in home runs. Archer is the most expensive pitcher on the day, but this should be a cake matchup for him.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers (Ballpark in Arlington) – 9 Over/Under- Mike Pelfrey and Colby Lewis take the mound for this one. Pelfrey comes in on a hot streak as of late, as he owns a 0.96 ERA in his last four starts. Lewis owns a 3.34 ERA at home, but has an overall ERA of 4.42. Both pitchers have done a good job at keeping the ball in the ballpark, but Texas is 11th in the league in home runs. I’m honestly quite curious as to why this game has the highest run total of the day, but Vegas knows why it does what it does.
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros (Minute Maid Park) – 8.5 Over/Under – Take your pick of a game that has 8.5 runs projected for today, but I wanted to highlight this one. Mike Montgomery takes on Colin McHugh in this one. McHugh has been giving up a TON of home runs this season. In fact, he’s given up ten since May 1st! Montgomery has pitched well in his first two starts this season, however, the Astros can clearly knock a pitcher around, espicially if your name is Felix Hernandez. Ugh, don’t remind me about that.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
CC Sabathia vs. Baltimore Orioles- Sabathia has such extreme splits when it comes to facing either a left or right handed batter. The lefties he has plenty of success against this season, as they’re only hitting 164 against him. Sabathia owns a K/9 of 8 this season.
CJ Wilson vs. Oakland A’s – Wilson has been regressing a bit his last three starts, as he’s allowed 12 runs during that time. However, he’s also struck out at least seven in each of those starts. Against lefties, they’re only hitting .197 off of him. He owns a 7.4 K/9 on the season.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Shelby Miller vs. New York Mets- Miller has been fantastic against righties this season, and overall to be quite honest. They’re only hitting .152 against him this season. But as always, the strikeouts are the missing piece of the puzzle for Miller to be a dominating pitcher, as his K/9 is only a 6.4.
Chris Archer vs. Seattle Mariners – It was only a matter of time before Archer made an apperence here. His splite are almost dead even, as righties are only hitting .194 off of him this season. Lefties, not much better at .198. Archer owns a filthy K/9 of 11.7 on the season. American League Kershaw?
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Mat Latos vs. Colorado Rockies – Latos was having…..how do I put this…..a real bag of suck season before he landed on the disabled list. Today he comes back and has a matchup against the Rockies, not exactly an idea matchup to get back on your feet. Add on the fact that he’s given up 23 runs in only 20 1/3 innings at home, this could be a blood bath. Oh, lefties are hitting .389 against him.
Bud Norris vs. New York Yankees– Norris comes into today feeling like Latos. Against lefties, they’re hiting .375 against him. Between how poorly Norris is against lefties and how poorly Sabathia (spoiler alert) it could be a doozy in New York.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
CC Sabathia vs. Baltimore Orioles – As I mentioned, Sabathia has really extremely splits between to batters. Against righties, they’re crushing him to a .344 average.
Colin McHugh vs. Seattle Mariners– When McHugh isn’t to busy giving up home runs, he also enjoys long nights against righties. They’re hitting .302 against McHugh. His K/9 is at 7.2 on the season.
Todd Frazier ($4800) – When Frazier was last in this section, I said that if you roster him, you’re usually not doing it because of his batting average. Well, he continues to get into this section and the hits just keep coming. He’s 14 for his last 31 with two home runs, seven RBIs, a stolen base and 10 runs scored.
Mike Trout ($5300) – Trout is on a power surge right now. He’s 11 for his last 25 with four home runs, six RBIs, and seven runs scored. Between how hot Albert Pujols and Trout is, it’s a good time to be an Angels fans.
Joey Voto ($5500) – Votto continues to be on a hot streak along with his teammate Frazier. Votto is 8 for his last 25 with three home runs, five RBIs, and nine runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Chris Coghlan vs. Mike Leake – Well, I don’t see Coghlan and Leake going out for drinks anytime soon, unless Coghlan is buying. Coghlan is 9-11 against Leake. Nope, that’s not a typo. Coghlan has two home runs against us with five extra base hits to go along with a 2.455 OPS.
Angel Pagan vs. Josh Collmenter – Pagan goes up against Chef Collmenter. Why do I call him chef? Because of all the meatballs this guy serves up. I know, so awesome. Anyways, Pagan is a fan of meatbals as he’s 8-15 against him with two extra base hits. He also own a 1.229 OPS against the chef.
Adam Jones vs CC Sabathia – These division rivals have seen a lot of each other, with Jones getting a good piece of Sabathia. He’s 18-58 against Sabathia with four home runs, and a .964 OPS.
The follwing games have a chance of thunderstorms at some point during the game, so keep a watch on these closely.
Phillies at Pirates
Yankees at Orioles
Reds at Cubs
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Chris Archer ($11800) – Oh wow Steve, how did you figure this one out? Well, lots of research! But really, I know this pick is obvious, and I truly tried to find a better option but I just had to stick with the obvious. For what it’s worth, Cole and Greinke are the next three. Anyways, the White Sox are just an offensive mess. As I highlighted earlier, they’re the American League version of the Phillies. They’re also 27th in the league in on base percentage and dead last in total bases. I find it hard to believe, that the White Sox are going to take out Archer. While I wouldn’t expect the Astros to knock around Hernandez like they did last night, they at least had SOME numbers to show the potential. The White Sox truly don’t have any.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Corey Dickerson ($4500) – I love this matchup for Dickerson as he goes against Latos. Latos has been throwing up on himself whenever he takes the mound this season. He’s making his first start coming off the disabled list and lefties are hitting .389 against him. Surprise, Dickerson bats leftie. Since coming off the disabled list two games ago, Dickerson already has three hits in seven at bats and should have a field day with Latos.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
JJ Hardy ($2900) – Hardy costs next to nothing and has great numbers against Sabathia tonight. He’s 10-29 with six extra base hits, including a home run, with a .987 OPS. As I mentioned earlier, righties are hitting .344 against Sabathia and with those numbers going along with Hardy’s career numbers, I think he could be a real sneaky play tonight.