We have a really short slate of games today. It was funny, I mentioned this just a few days ago that short slates should always be on Thursday.Why? Well, I’m so pumped that tomorrow is Friday that I can deal with this. When you have short slates on Monday, it’s just a punch to the gut. So let’s get to all the information! As always, you can get me on the Ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Scott Kazmir vs. Texas Rangers (-159) – Kazmir pitches this afternoon against the Rangers during the three game day slate. Kazmir had a bit of a rough outing his last time out against the Red Sox, as he only lasted 4 2/3 innings allowing four runs (three earned) nine hits and striking out only four. He was pitching for the first time in eight days after suffering from some shoulder pain. He should be good to go today, but it worries me if that shoulder starts to act during his start. The Rangers are in the top ten offensively in runs, home runs, and OPS.
Tsuyoshi Wada vs. Cincinnati Reds (-157) – Wada comes into tonight with a matchup against the Reds. The Reds are a bit all over the place when it comes to offense. They’re 21st in the league in batting average, but 5th in home runs. They do have some trouble scoring runs, as they’re 19th in the category. Wada has been extremely up and down this season as he owns a 4.19 ERA with 20 strikeouts in 19 innings pitched.
David Phelps vs. Colorado Rockies (-135)- The Marlins once again have a series against the Rockies, but this time it’s away from Coors Field. Phelps is the favorite in this one for some reason I will never figure out. He owns a 4.68 ERA with 39 stikeouts in 57 innings pitched. Going up against an offense that is 1st in the league in average, 7th in runs, 3rd and OPS and 6th in home runs, I’m just going to say Vegas was drunk and should go back to bed after making this pick.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians (Progressive Field) – 8.5 Over/Under- This game takes place this afternoon and has the highest run projection of the day. J.A. Happ takes on Shaun Marcum in this one. Marcum has been getting crushed by lefties this season, as they hit him to a tune of .347. Happ on the road has been brutal, wit a 5.33 ERA. I wouldn’t exactly be expecting a pitchers duel in this one, so especially in such a short slate, it seems like a great game to target for hitters.
Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers (Miller Park) – 8.5 Over/Under – Also targeted for 8.5 runs, the Nationals take on the offensively challenged Brewers. Of course, the Brewers woes have been very well documented, especially in this article. They’re last in batting average, 26th in runs and 28th in OPS. They are 12th in home runs, so at least they have that going for them. Tanner Roar goes for the Natioans in this one as he fills in for Stephen Strasburg. Matt Garza goes for the Brewers. Both pitchers have actually pitched quite decent as of late, but Garza, at the least, is always one bad inning away from an implosion.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Tim Lincecum vs. New York Mets- Lincecum has been having a good season, but not a dominating season like we were accustomed to. Against lefties, he’s been dominating. They’re only hitting .167 against him this season while his K/9 sits at 7.
Garrett Richards vs. Tampa Bay Rays – Richards is coming off the worst start of the season, and he also owns a 5.39 ERA in his last three starts. However, he still is performing well against lefties. They’re only hitting .212 against him with a K/9 of 7.4
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Shaun Marcum vs. Seattle Mariners- Marcum will be seen twice in this section of the article, but let’s at least celebrate the small victories first. Against righties, they’re hitting .149 against him. Marcum owns a 8.7 K/9 this season.
Michael Lorenzen vs. Chicago Cubs – Lorenzen has been great and seems to have solidified a spot in the Reds rotation. He’s holding batters to a .224 average this season while his K/9 is at 5.4. Just be warned, he does have some trouble with his command, as he’s issued 22 free passes in only 38 1/3 innings.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Shaun Marcum vs. Seattle Mariners – I mentioned it earlier in the article, Marcum is down right awful against lefties. They’re hitting .347 against him this season. That just isn’t right, dammit.
Julio Teheran vs. San Diego Padres– If you’re playing the afternoon slate, maybe it won’t be a bad idea to target all lefties from Seattle and San Diego? Lefties are hititng Teheran at a .333 clip this season.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jonathon Niese vs. San Francisco Giants – Niese has not been successful against righties.They’re hitting him to a tune of .317. Niese really hasn’t been successful at all these past five starts, as he owns a 7.96 ERA during that time.
Tim Lincecum vs. New York Mets– Mabe this is a good game to target right handed batters, you think? Righties are hitting .301 off of Timmy this season.
Todd Frazier ($5000) – Frazier may not give you the best average on the night, but once you think about it, you’re probably not rostering him for his average. He’s 13 for his last 30 with a home run, six RBIs, and seven runs scored. He faces Wada tonight.
Adam Jones ($4600) – Jones was slumping for awhile and even went on a complete power outage. But it looks as if he starting to heat back up again. He’s 9 for his last 24 with three home runs, five RBIs, and six runs scored.
Carlos Gonzalez ($4500) – Maybe all is not lost when it comes to Cargo. He’s 10 for his last 23 with two home runs, six RBIs, and four runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Michael Cuddyer vs. Tim Lincecum – Cuddyer is 7-18 against Lincecum with a home run, five extra base hits, and a 1.167 OPS. Just make sure Cuddyer is in the lineup as he’s been having some neck issues. Proubly too sore from watching all his hits off Timmy.
Robinson Cano vs. Shaun Marcum – Sometimes I forget Cano even plays, as he’s been so quiet this season. Well, perfect game to be the opposite. He’s 7-19 against Marcum with a home run, three extra base hits and a 1.113 OPS.
Juan Urbie vs. Andrew Cashner – Cashner has been anything but money this season, and he faces someone who’s smoked him in his career. Uribe is 8-20 aganst him with a .500 SLG % and a .929 OPS.
Looks as if we have a slight chance of thunderstorms, both during the afternoon games with the Mariners v Indians and the Padres v Braves. Watch these ones closely. Everything should be clear for tonight.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Wade Miley ($6600) – I can’t believe I have this here. Let me just stare at my screen for a second and make sure this is real life. Yup, still here. Ok let’s try and talk some “logic.” Miley has honestly been much better since April. During that month, he posted an 8.62 ERA and clearly inflated his numbers. But, if you look at that ERA from April and here we are on June 10th and its essentially cut in half, you know he’s been doing well since. In fact, he has a 3.33 ERA and five quality starts since May 2nd. While the Orioles aren’t the worst offensive team, they are in the middle of the pack in the league. In a short slate, I think I’m going to sleep well tonight with this pick, after a couple of beers.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Albert Pujols ($4800) – Pujols is on a tear right now, with eight home runs in his last 11 games. Tonght, he goes up against Alex Colome who is allowing a .299 average against righties. He’s given up seven home runs on the season, with four of those coming against righties. When Pujols is on, he’s one of the best. He’ll be in all my lineups tonight.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Danny Espinosa ($3100) – Espinosa goes up against Matt Garza tonight, who’s allowing a .280 average against righties. Espinosa is of course a switch hitter and has five of his seven home runs against righties. In a game that is projected to have one of the highest run totals of the night, Espinosa could be a great cheap play for you.