With a full 15 game slate tonight, we have a fantastic night of baseball ahead of us. With nine pitchers priced over $10,000, it’s going to take A LOT to fill out our rosters tonight, so I’ll do my best to point you in the right direction. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
LAD (-270) vs. PHI – Stephen Strasburg – This has to be the top matchup on tap tonight. Strasburg isn’t coming off his finest performance in his last game against the Reds, where he lasted only five innings allowing three runs on four hits with a 10:2 K:BB ratio. It was said that Strasburg had injured his calf during this start, but he was already at 97 pitches at that point anyways. The consensus seems to be that Stras will be fine to make this start, and it’s a juicy one. The Phillies remain near the bottom of the league in team wOBA against righties at .288, which ranks 28th in the league. The appeal with Strasburg is always the strikeouts, which should come with ease today, as the Phillies own a 21.7 K%. Strasburg should be an extremely popular option across the board tonight.
CHC (-270) vs. ATL –Jason Hammel – From one poor hitting team to another, we have the Cubs facing off against the Braves tonight. Taking the mound tonight is Jason Hammel, who has been solid on the mound this season. Coming into this game, Hammel owns a 2.14 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP, averaging 16.1 FPPG. The Braves remain at the bottom of the league in almost every offensive category with a 19.9 K%. Hammel owns a K/9 of 8 this season, but they may be a bit tough to come by tonight, one factor that always comes up when rostering against the Braves, Nonetheless, Hammel will be a fantastic option tonight against this Braves team that really cannot hit anything. Even with his high price tag of $11,000, Hammel is still a nice discount from Clayton Kershaw, who owns a price tag of $13,900.
BOS @ MIN This game features a 50% chance of thunderstorms threatening all throughout the night. This is certainly a game to keep an eye as we get closer to game time.
Park Factors are rated on a scale of 1.000. If an offensive category has a rating of 1.000 or higher, it favors the hitters. Anything below 1.000 favors pitching.
- Coors Field – SDP vs COL – Ah yes, we have Coors Field back in our lives. As if you didn’t know already, Coors favors every offensive category in the early going of 2016.
- Rogers Centre – BAL vs TOR – On this 15 game slate, Rogers Centre checks in as the second best hitters park. Coming into this game, it currently favors runs, singles and doubles.
- Tropicana Field – HOU vs TBR – Tropicana Field currently ranks as the worst hitting ballpark on this slate. So far this season, it doesn’t have a single favorable category for hitters.
- U.S. Cellular Field – KCR vs CHW – U.S. Cellular currently ranks 25th overall in 2016 for hitters but ranks 2nd on our list. It currently favors hitters in home runs, triples and walks.
Splits to Start
Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
|Worst vs LHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs. LHB||OPS||AVG|
|Bud Norris||.968||.300||Clayton Kershaw||.334||.135|
|Matt Harvey||.912||.328||Chris Sale||.422||.182|
|Mike Pelfrey||.902||.350||Derek Holland||.481||.214|
Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
|Worst vs RHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs. RHB||OPS||AVG|
|Sonny Gray||.968||.284||Clayton Kershaw||.461||.178|
|Andrew Cashner||.955||.320||Jason Hammel||.472||.167|
|Mike Pelfrey||.873||.304||Johnny Cueto||.533||.203|
Batter vs. Pitcher Splits
|Brian McCann||Mike Pelfrey||43||2.93|
|Matt Carpenter||Gerrit Cole||24||2.87|
|Lorenzo Cain||Chris Sale||46||2.02|
- Brian McCann against Mike Pelfrey is certainly one of the best BvP we have going tonight. McCann is 20-43 with eight doubles, two home runs, 11 RBIs and seven walks. Damn, son.
- Matt Carpenter checks in next with BvP tonight with his numbers against Gerrit Cole. Carpenter is 9-24 with a double, three home runs and five RBIs.
- Lorenzo Cain against Chris Sale is our “oh no kidding he hit’s that guy well?” BvP for today. Cain is 16-46 with four doubles, three home runs and eight RBIs.
Pitcher to Build Around
Johnny Cueto – SFG vs. LAD – $13,100 With a slate like this one tonight, it’s very easy to overlook Cueto in my opinion. If you’re going high on pitching pricing for tonight, you’ll be looking at Cueto or Strasburg. This is one of the reasons I like Cueto against a weak Dodgers offense. This offense owns a .302 wOBA against righties this season with a .379 SLG and a 20.6 K%. Cueto has faced this Dodgers team twice this season with mixed results. In those starts, Cueto pitched a combined 14 innings allowing seven runs on 14 hits with a 15:4 K:BB ratio. These numbers look worse combined, but when you split them, one of those games had six runs with the other having one. At AT&T Park tonight, I think Cueto will be a solid option.
Heavy Hitter to Pay For
Editor’s Note: Anthony Rizzo has been scratched from tonight’s game against Atlanta.
Anthony Rizzo – CHC vs ATL (Bud Norris) – $4,800 – Fitting some expensive bats into your lineup tonight is certainly going to be a challenge, so we really need to pick our spots here. I like this matchup for Rizzo because he’s really been showing signs that he’s breaking out of this slump, and has a great matchup to boot. He faces off against Bud Norris tonight, who is allowing a .411 wOBA to lefties, which jumps up to .479 at home. On the road against righties this season, Rizzo owns a .411 with a .527 SLG. With how poorly Norris has pitched this season, Rizzo should be a fine play tonight.
Save Big by Drafting…
Nomar Mazara – TEX vs SEA (Hisashi Iwakuma) – $3,400 – Mazara, I suspect, will be quite popular tonight on people’s rosters. For just $3,400, you’re getting someone that is batting .320 with 10 home runs, 28 RBIs and averaging eight fantasy points per game. He’s hitting in the unfriendly Safeco Field, but I’m willing to put that aside for his price. Facing Iwakuma, who is allowing a .326 wOBA to lefties overall and .351 at home, Mazara will certainly be a nice relief in salary that many of us will so desperately need tonight.
Stack Em Up
NYY vs. DET (Mike Pelfrey) – Any stack that is not the Braves is going to be tough to put together tonight. I do like the Yankees against Pelfrey tonight, who continues to struggle immensely. On the season, he owns a 4.76 ERA with a 1.72 WHIP. This will be the second time Pelfrey faces the Yankees, where he lasted only three innings allowing six runs (two earned) on seven hits with a 3:1 K:BB ratio. With this game taking place at Yankee Stadium tonight, it should be more of the same for Pelfrey tonight.