Baseball is such a funny game. On a night where you had Corey Kluber, Francisco Liarino, Sonny Gray, Max Scherzer going, it ends up being Chris Heston who scored 54 points on DraftKings while throwing a no hitter. Or Chris Young who had a no hitter going all the way into the 7th. Baseball. Such a funny sport. At least we nailed with Will Venable. Let’s get to today as we continue to scratch our heads about last night. We got a split slate with four games this afternoon and eleven tonight. As always, you can get me on the Ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Brett Anderson vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (-174) – Can you tell we’ve moved on from all the aces? Anderson is the favorite from Vegas today as he comes into tonight with a 3.29 ERA to go along with 44 strikeouts in 63 innings. He takes on a good offensive club in the Diamondbacks, who are 7th in the league in batting average and 2nd in scoring runs. Personally, I think it could be a tough night for Anderson, espicially against lefties, who are hitting .333 against him. But what would I know, I didnt even roster Chris Heston last night.
Matt Harvey vs. San Francisco Giants (-161) – The Dark Knight takes the mound against the veteran Tim Hudson. Harvey is tonight’s most expsensive pitcher at 10,700. The Giants are surprisingly the second best team in the league in terms of batting average, but they seem to fall off in every other catergory. Harvey owns a 3.05 ERA to go along with 80 strikeouts in 73 innings pitched.
Trevor Bauer vs Seattle Mariners (-157)- So once again, we have an Indians pitcher who’s favored over the Mariners. It’s been well documented that the Mariners strike out a lot, however, Kluber was only able to get them for four last night. Bauer comes into tonight with a 9 K/9 average, so it will be interesting to see how he performs. One thing to watch that could sway in favor of Bauer, is that Nelson Cruz was removed last night for back spasms and he’s currently listed as day-t0-day.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 10.5 Over/Under- No one can escape the wrath of Coors Field! Well, maybe last night wasn’t as much of a slugfest as he expected because, of course, Jorge De La Rosa had a no hitter until the fifth and only gave up two runs. Naturally. This afternoon, Carlos Marinez takes on Chad Bettis. Honestly at this point, it’s starting to feel like it doesn’t matter how well or not you perform outside of Coors, as that’s it’s own animal. But as always, target those hitters.
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays (Rogers Centre) – 9 Over/Under – So this wasn’t originally at nine for projected runs, but the Blue Jays decided to make a pitching change and have Scott Copeland start instead this afternoon. He gets called up from the minors to take on Tom Koehler. While Copeland is an unknown in the majors, he was 4-1 with a 1.97 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP for Triple A. Koehler owns a 3.72 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP. Both offenses are so good here that the runs just keep piling on. Welcome to the bigs, Copeland! Enjoy this matchup.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Jose Quintana vs. Houston Astros- Quintana may not have great overall numbers, but his numbers against lefties are legit. Lefties are only hitting .172 against him this season. His K/9 sits at 7.9 on the season. He could be a sneaky play tonight as the Astros are second worst in the league when it comes to strikeouts. When thinking about last night, anyone can be an ace for a day!
Edinson Volquez vs. Minnesota Twins – Volquez continues to put on a decent performance every time he takes the mound this year. Against lefties, they’re only hitting .185 against him. His K/9 sits at 7.3 on the season.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jesse Hahn vs. Texas Rangers- Every time I see Hahn, I wonder if this is where rappers got their inspiration to make that noise during their songs. You know what I’m talking about. Say it out loud with me, HAHNNNNNNN. Get it? Anyways, righties are only hitting .181 against him this season. His K/9 sits at 6.1 on the season.
Shane Greene vs. Chicago Cubs – Greene gets a dose of interleague play today as he takes on the Chicago Cubs. Righties are hitting .219 against him on the season and his K/9 sits at 5.7. I’m curious to see how he fares agaist the strike out happy Cubs.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Nathan Eovaldi vs. Washington Nationals – Eovaldi should just call in sick every time a left hander comes to the plate. They’re mashing him to a tune of .377 on the season. 377, folks! His K/9 is at 6.6 this season.
Jeremy Hellickson vs. L.A. Dodgers– Hellickson doesn’t do much better. Lefties are hitting him to an average of .340 this season. I would love to see a pitching matchup of Hellickson and Eovaldi against lefties only. What do you think, 15 runs after one inning? His K/9 is at 6.5 this season.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jerome Williams vs. Cincinnati Reds – Williams will have to deal with Joey Votto today, who just hit three home runs last night. That can’t be something to loo forward to. Against righties, Williams has batters hitting .346 against him.
Kyle Lohse vs. Pittsburgh Pirates– Lohse continue to stuggle against righties this season. They’re hitting .329 against him. His K/9 sits at 7.2 on the season.
Jose Bautista ($5300) – Bautista continues to stay hot. He’s 8 for his last 21 with four home runs, seven RBIs, two stolen bases and nine runs scored. He takes on Tom Koehler this afternoon.
Joey Votto ($5100) – I mean, if you hit three home runs in a game, I’m going to showcase you here. I promise. Votto is 10 for his last 25 with four home runs, nine RBIs, and nine runs scored. You were stoked if you had him last night. He takes on Jerome Willams this afternoon.
Jose Reyes ($4900) – What’s nice about Reyes lately is that he’s getting on base and stealing a ton of bases. He’s 11 for his last 25 with a home run, six RBIs, five stolen bases and six runs scored. He takes on Tom Koehler this afternoon.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Andrew McCutchen vs. Kyle Lohse – McCutchen has had great success against Lohse in his career. He’s 14-45 against him with three home runs, six extra base hits, and a .931 OPS.
Dustin Pedroia vs. Wei-Yen Chen – Pedroia is in this section A LOT. Against Chen he’s 15-32 with six extra base hits and a 1.202 OPS.
Ryan Braun vs. Charlie Morton – Braun crushes Morton when he’s on the mound. He’s 8-18 against him with a home run, four extra base hits, and a 1.302 OPS.
The followng games have a chance of some rain at somepoint during their matchups.
Cardinals vs. Rockies
Cubs vs. Tigers (delayed start at the most)
Mariners vs. Indians
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Trevor Bauer ($8700) – I can’t really say that anyone was blowing me way today. I was considering Tyson Ross against Atlanta, and I still have him as maybe my second pitcher tonight, but his command has been shaky, which brings his pitch count up and thus makes his outings short. I decided to go with Bauer because once again, the strikeouts, Bauer has some nice splits and Safeco field. I also give him a bump if Cruz indeed out of the lineup, as that’s one less power threat he would have to encounter. Again, I’m not thrilled with the choices tonight, but Bauer seems to be the most sensible.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Andrew McCutchen($5000) – I really like the numbers that McCutchen has against Lohse tonight. Lohse gives up a ton of home runs, and with McCutchen already having three against him, I’ll take my chances. McCutchen has really busted out of his early season slump and seems to be locked in at the plate.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Ender Inciarte ($3600) – Inciarte gets a nice matchup against Brett Anderson today, who’s struggles against lefties to a tune of .333. Inciarte is again, a little more expensive then I’d usually showcase someone here, but he’s consistently getting you points if you roster him. Averaging 7.2 points a game for someone that only costs 3600, I can’t be a hater.