With only five games going tonight, we’ll have to be on our A game. Let’s get you set for tonight, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
LAD (-227) vs. SDP – Brandon McCarthy – The right-handed McCarthy was activated off the 60-day DL and started against the Rockies at home. He looks fantastic, as he pitched five innings allowing no runs on two hits with an 8:1 K:BB ratio. Tonight he faces another team that falls victim to the strikeout, the Padres. Against righties this season, the Padres own the fourth highest K% at 23.9% to go along with their .289 wOBA, a .290 OBP and a .382 SLG. McCarthy has never been a big strikeout guy to begin with, as he’s always hovered around a K/9 of 6 in his career. Nonetheless, on a slate like tonight he has to be considered.
PHI vs. COL – 12 runs – Believe it or not, this was just barely the highest projected run total of the night. Minnesota and Texas are projected at 11.5 runs with Ricky Nolasco taking on Kyle Lohse. In this Coors Field game, we have Jerad Eickhoff taking on Tyler Anderson. The Phillies continue to showcase just how bad of an offense they really are, scoring a total of seven runs in these first two games compared to the 14 of the Rockies. It won’t get much easier tonight, as Tyler Anderson has made four starts at Coors Field and has been at his best, owning a 2.50 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP. Eickhoff has been the Phillies best pitcher this season, but Coors Field is a very unforgiving spot. Anderson makes for an intriguing GPP play, but I’d be loading up on the Rockies in this one, as Eickhoff owns a .325 wOBA against lefties with six of his 13 home runs allowed coming in that platoon situation.
WAS vs. NYM (Citi FIeld) – Nothing overly concerning in this contest, although a thunderstorm may roll in late in the game. I wouldn’t let it deter your interest in this game, as the chances of a cancellation are low as of this morning.
Park Factors are rated on a scale of 1.000. Any category that favors hitters has a rating of 1.000 or higher, anything below 1.000 favors pitchers.
Coors Field – PHI vs COL – Coors Field checks in as the number one ballpark in all of baseball, with it’s favorable ratings in every offensive category.
- Globe Life Park – MIN vs TEX – Globe Life Park is home of the second highest projected run total for tonight and it’s easy to see why. It has a favorable rating in every offensive category except walks.
- * Dodger Stadium – SDP vs LAD* – Dodger Stadium ranks last in all of baseball as the Padres visit the Dodgers for a weekend series. Coming into tonight, it does not have a favorable rating in any offensive category.
- PNC Park – CHC vs PIT – PNC Park isn’t normally on this list, as it ranks 15th this season. It has a favorable rating in every offensive category except home runs.
Pitcher to Build Around
Max Scherzer – WAS vs NYM – $13,700 Scherzer has dominated the Mets twice now this season, and I have no reason to believe that will change tonight. Be prepared for Scherzer to seriously be 60-70% owned. In those two starts against the Mets, Scherzer has pitched 13.2 innings allowing two runs on five hits with a 20:4 K:BB ratio to average 32.4 FPPG. Scherzer has been on a tear lately and he is one of the most consistent pitchers over his last 10 games. During that span, he’s averaging 28 FPPG with an 89:17 K:BB ratio while owning a 2.49 ERA with a 0.82 WHIP.
Heavy Hitter to Pay For
Eduardo Nunez – MIN vs. TEX (Kyle Lohse) – $5,300 – Nunez is having an incredible season and is the person to face Kyle Lohse first in his return to the majors tonight. Lohse, who somehow is still pitching, has always been a gas can on the mound. Nunez owns a .344 wOBA against righties this season with a .350 OBP. Grabbing Nunez in the leadoff spot for this game is a great way to grab some major upside.
Save Big by Drafting…
Curtis Granderson – NYM vs. WAS (Max Scherzer) – $3,400 If you’re going to fade Scherzer tonight (not the worst strategy in GPP), Granderson could be a nice low owned pick. Aside from the BvP numbers I went over, Granderson is on a hot streak as of late, averaging 9.2 FPPG over his last 10. During that span, Granderson is 12-30 with two doubles, two home runs, six RBIs and seven walks with a .667 SLG. For the cheap money and low exposure, Granderson is a worthy option.
Stack Em Up
LAD vs. SDP (Luis Perdomo) – A stack that very easily could go overlooked tonight is the Dodgers going against Luis Perdomo. This is a starting pitcher that owns a 7.93 ERA with a 2.00 WHIP in 22 games this season, mixing between starting and pitching in relief. Sure, the Dodgers are not a very good offense, but they’ve been slowly climbing up the ranks against righties, owning a .313 wOBA with a .320 OBP and a .404 SLG. For what it’s worth, the Dodgers own a .330 wOBA over the past two weeks with a .426 SLG.