The long weekend is inching closer and closer. While you get everything prepped for a weekend of cookouts and some fireworks, take a minute to go over today’s info for some fantasy baseball action. Let’s get right into things and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Oh, and Happy Jose Fernandez Day!
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Max Scherzer vs. Atlanta Braves (-216) – Scherzer is by far the favorite pitcher on the night, as he takes on the Atlanta Braves. His price tag tonight is actually higher than last week, as he’s going to cost you a hefty $14,500. Reason being? He’s been pitching unbelieveable baseball lately. It’s funny to see his scores as of late and see a 29 against the Philles and I consider that a “bad game” from Scherzer. He’s averaging 30.8 points a start right now, hence the extremely high price tag. The Braves don’t strike out a lot, but Scherzer seems to be mowing down everyone lately. I don’t know if he’s exactly worth the $14,500, but you know you can expect a solid game out of him.
Chris Young vs. Minnesota Twins (-162) – Here we go again, everytime Vegas was putting a team against the Phillies, the Phillies seemed to pull off a good game. So let’s go to the next best thing and pick on the Twins again. Young has been having an odd season this year for the Royals. He comes into tonight with a 2.71 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP, but he doesn’t have that dominating stuff that will blow you away. Instead, he’s quietly having a great year while simply making outs. The Twins are a weak team for sure, but don’t expect huge numbers if you roster Young, as he only averages 12 points per start. Young only owns a 5.8 K/9 on the season, so he’s going to have to get you points by simply having clean innings. Something that he’s certainly able to produce, but is honestly hard to rely on.
Scott Kazmir vs. Seattle Mariners (-152) – Kazmir is another guy who I feel like isn’t getting the attention maybe he deserves. Is he having an amazing season? Not really. However, Kazmir is coming into tonight with a 2.79 ERA to go along with a 1.20 WHIP and a K/9 of 8.5. Seattle strikes out a lot, as they’re currently 7th in the league in strikeouts and they’re dead last in team batting avearge at .230. They do have some pop in that lineup with 79 home runs, but of course a good chunk of that has come from Nelson Cruz, who’s really cooled down with his power lately. Pitching at home, Kazmir has been really strong with a 1.63 ERA giving up zero home runs. I’d give a serious look at Kazmir tonight.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (Chase Field) – 9 Over/Under- This one could really see some runs tonight. Chris Rusin takes on Jeremy Hellickson in this one. Rusin has been getting knocked around by almost everybody, as his splits are quite ugly RHB are hitting .306 against him while LHB are hitting .311. Sprinkle in that he’s giving up about a home run every start and I’d say the Arizona lineup should be in a good spot today. Hellickson has been having some weird starts lately, as he owns a 21:2 K:BB ratio in his last three starts, and yet he’s still giving up a ton of hits, 20 in those last three. While it shows he may finally be starting to figure things out, I’m still going with the premise that he’s Jeremy Hellickson going up against one of the best offenses in the league.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Jake Arrieta vs. New York Mets- Arrieta is in a great pitching matchup today against Jacob deGrom. He comes into his start this afternoon holding lefties to a .208 avearge.
Max Scherzer vs. Atlanta Braves- No one seems to be able to figure out Scherzer lately. Lefties for one sure can’t. Scherzer is holding lefties to a .213 avearge on the season.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Max Scherzer vs. Atlanta Braves- The Braves are in for a tough night at the plate huh? Scherzer is great against lefies and even more so against righties. RHB are only hitting a microscopic .148 against Scherzer.
Chris Young vs. Minnesota Twins- We’re almost half way through the baseball season, and Chris Young is still getting a ton of outs when it comes to right handed batters. They’ve only managed a .163 average against Young.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Jeremy Hellickson vs. Colorado Rockies- What the Hellickson? Jeremy can’t seem to figure out how to get a leftie out. They’re hitting .329 against him. This will be a fun game for lefties.
Chris Rusin vs. Arizona Diamondbacks– Rusin just enjoys getting knocked around apparently. Lefties are hitting .311 against him this season.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Chris Rusin vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – Rusin, this is the section of my article where you don’t want to make two appearances. Please, don’t be excited you’re getting this much coverage. Rusin is letting up a .306 average to righties.
Wade Miley vs. Toronto Blue Jays- I wouldn’t be too upset about this, Miley. You just happen to make it on here because everyone else seems to do quite well against righties tonight. Miley is allowing a .279 avearge to righties. Not even that bad.
Nolan Arenado ($5700) – This man just doesn’t stop hitting. Arenado is 8 for his last 27 with six home runs, 10 RBIs, and six runs scored. Good Luck Hellickson.
Cesar Hernandez ($3000) – It’s not about his hitting as it is about what he’s been doing on the base paths. Hernandez is 11 for his last 26 with two RBIs, six runs scored and six stolen bases. Stolen bases are such a clutch stat to get. Love those five points.
Matt Duffy ($3500) – Unless your a San Fran fan, you proubly don’t realize Duffy has been on a hot streak lately. Good thing you read this article. Duffy is 11 for his last 27 with two home runs, four RBIs, 10 runs scored and a stolen base.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Curtis Granderson vs. Jake Arrieta -Here’s one of your potential sneaky plays of the day. Granderson is 9-26 against Arrieta with five extra base hits, three of them being home runs and a 1.208 OPS.
Victor Martinez vs. Francisco Liriano – V-Mart and Liriano are no strangers to each other. Martinez is 13-28 against Liriano with seven extra base hits, one of them being a home run, and a 1.317 OPS.
Alcides Escobar vs. Kyle Gibson – Escobar has seen some nice success against Gibson. He’s 8-17 against Gibson with a .529 SLG and a 1.029 OPS.
Rain doesn’t exist today. Word.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Scott Kazmir ($9200) – I really like Kazmir tonight, if you couldn’t tell by my gushing I had up above. To recap, his matchup tonight favors him a lot. The Mariners strike out a lot, as they’re 7th in the league in that category. On the flip side of that, they also aren’t exactly that patient either, as they’re 18th in the league in walks. Combined with the fact that they have the lowest batting avearge in the league and Kazmir is pitching in pitcher friendly Oakland, it’s hard to pass up on Kazmir tonight. His price point is fantastic and will help you roster a few big bats or maybe even another solid starting pitcher. The picks are a bit slim tonight so fully expect to see a but of an up tick in Kazmir’s useage.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Nolan Arenado ($5600) – Yeah I’m going to go with Arenado for a few reasons tonight. First, he’s on a complete tear right now. Now I fully believe that what he did last night has nothing to do with what he can do tonight, but you also have to believe a bit in his confidence level as he approaches the plate right now. Next, he goes up against Hellickson, who has been able to handle RHB fairly well this season, except for the fact that he’s given up nine home runs to that. Hellickson is averaging 1.4 HR per start, and with Arenado hitting 22 home runs off a RHP, chances are he’s got a good chance to go deep tonight.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Franklin Gutierrez ($2700) – BvP life. Make sure Gutierrez is starting, but he’s got some good numbers against Kazmir. He’s 7-18 against him with three home runs and a 1.278 OPS.