Back to a full slate of games here on DraftKings as we continue Missions Week! We have quite a lot of info to get to, so let’s not waste your time. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
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Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Felix Doubront vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-221) – This…..is pretty crazy. It’s the Phillies, I totally get that, but I don’t know about this. Doubront comes into tonight as the heavy favorite and I’m a bit confused. As I’ve said before, Vegas is the best of the best and they know what they’re doing, but sheesh. Doubront owns a 4.34 ERA to go along with a 1.55 WHIP and a K/9 of 4.8. Not a lot to love here, right? But again, the Phillies are one of the worst offensive clubs in the league. Honestly, I feel like this game could go either way, Vegas could be right and they’ll laugh at me for doubting them, or the Phillies will have one of those rare games where the knock somoene around. I can’t decide. If anything, Doubront will save you a ton of cash, as he’s only listed at $5000. So yeah, I gave a positve thought here.
Jaime Garcia vs. Cincinnati Reds (-164) Vegas is really all over the place, huh? “For their second pick, in the July 28th, 2015 fantasy baseball draft, Vegas selects, Jaime Garcia!” Garcia gets a matchup against the power hitting Reds offense tonight. He’s coming off his second stint on the DL this season, as he’s only pitched 48 innings in 2015. He owns a 1.69 ERA to go along with a 0.88 WHIP and a K/9 of 6, so he at least has some good numbers coming into his start. If you’re wondering, he did have a rehab start prior to tonight, but it was against a Low-A ball club. Which basically means nothing in the grand scheme of things. Again, might be a bit of a risky pick, but at least you know Garcia has the stuff to have a successful night.
Hisashi Iwakuma vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (-163) – Vegas is killing me today. Iwakuma comes into tonight with a 4.50 ERA to go along with a 1.17 WHIP and a K/9 of 6.9. In all seriousness, he has settled down nicely since coming off the DL. He’s now thrown well in three straight starts against the Angels, Yankees and Tigers. In his last 21 innings, Iwakuma has allowed four runs on 14 hits while walking four and and striking out 18. The Diamondbacks are no joke this season, they rank 6th in batting avearge, 9th in runs scored, 10th in OPS and 19th in home runs. Iwakuma has let up a decent amount of home runs, 10 on the season, but they’re pitching in the pitcher friendly confines of Safeco Field. Iwakuma might have weak overall numbers, but he’s been pitching much better as of late. He could be a sneaky play tonight.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers (Ballpark in Arlington) – 9 Over/Under- This game should be a real doozy. Chris Capuano takes on Martin Perez in this one. Let’s start with Capuano. He’s not having a good year pitching in relief for the Yankees. He enters tonight with a 5.64 ERA to go along with a 1.55 WHIP and a K/9 of 8.9. The home runs have been a killer for him, as he’s let up five in 30 innings of work. Of course the other factor will be if he can go deep into the game or not, with the likey answer being no. The Rangers don’t have a great offense, but they can certainly handle Capuano. As for Perez, he gets one of the best offenses in the league with his 1.91 WHIP. Sense a problem here already? In his last start against Colorado, Perez put 10 men on base in six innings, but was able to limit the damage. You won’t be able to get away with that against a club that’s no higher then 9th in batting average, runs scored, OPS and home runs. This is a game you most definitely want exposure in.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Sonny Gray vs. LA Dodgers – The Dodgers will get a taste of the man they call Sonny. Gray continues to put on a stellar 2015, as he’s holding lefties to a .192 average.
Trevor Bauer vs. Kansas City Royals- Bauer always seems like such a good idea to start, and then he has to go and be inconsistent again. Coming into tonight, Bauer is holding lefties to a .206 average.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Chris Young vs. Cleveland Indians –Every five days, here he is! Young continues to baffle right handed batters this season, as he owns a .176 average when pitching to them.
Jake Odorizzi vs. Detroit Tigers – One of the few players Tampa Bay fans can be excited about. Odorizzi comes into tonight with a .190 average when facing a right handed batter.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitcher vs. Left Handed Batters.
Julio Teheran vs. Baltimore Orioles – Lefties continue to be the thorn in Teherans side this season. They’re hitting .308 against him this season.
Charlie Morton vs. Minnesota Twins – This is the first time Morton has made the list. Congrats sir, you’re not very good against lefties! They’re hitting .301 against Morton this year.
Easiest Pitcher vs. Right Handed Batters
Mike Pelfrey vs. Pittsburght Pirates- Pelfrey has been having his issues against righties this season, as he’s the worst on the night. Righties are hitting .307 off of him.
Colin McHugh vs. LA Angels – It’s really been a disappointing year for McHugh, as righties continue to knock him around. McHugh is allowing a .306 average when facing them.
Carlos Gonzalez ($4400) – Gonzalez was here yesterday, but I have to showcase him again. Gonzalez is on FIRE right now. He’s 12 for his last 21 with seven home runs, 15 RBIs, and 10 runs scored. God damn, son!
Melky Cabrera ($3900) – I think it’s time to finally man up and admit it. Yes, the White Sox are swinging a hot bat right now with Cabrera being a big part of that. Cabrera is 12 for his last 29 with two home runs, 11 RBIs, and seven runs scored.
Nelson Cruz ($5000) – Oh yeah baby, Cruz is back to business. Cruz is 13 for his last 33 with four home runs, seven RBIs, and seven runs scored. Now if only he were playing on a good team this year…..
. Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Brandon Phillips vs. Jaime Garcia – I promised you better BvP for today and hopefully I’ll deliver the goods. We start with Phillips who’s 13-41 against Garcia with six extra base its, two home runs and a .878 OPS.
Brandon Moss vs. Chris Young- I don’t think Young likes facing Moss. Maybe he should just walk him tonight. If Young doesn’t, he has to face the man who’s 5-17 against him with four extra base hits, all of them being home runs, and a 1.368 OPS.
Jonny Gomes vs. Ubaldo Jimenez- Gomes hasn’t been getting many starts lately, but I have a funny feeling he’ll be in the lineup tonight. Against Jimenez, Gomes is 7-19 with four extra bases hits, three of them being home runs, and a 1.349 OPS.
Looks like a clear night across the board. As always, check for yourself.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
David Price ($12,800) – In what could potentially be the last start for Price in Detroit, depending on what side you believe, Price has a matchup against his former team, the Tampa Bay Rays. I loveeeeee this matchup tonight. The Rays are nothing special this season, as their offense is a mess. They rank 27th in batting average, 28th in runs, 25th in OPS and 15th in home runs. Well, Price and his 2.31 ERA and 1.09 WHIP is coming to mow you guys down. The Rays are also one of the easiest teams to strikeout, as they rank 4th in the league. Price and his 8.6 K/9 should have no problem with that. Price is the most expensive pitcher on the night, but he should be worth the price of admission. James Shield and Jose Fernandez are tied for my second choice. Both have good matchups against teams that strikeout at a good rate.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Freddie Freeman ($5000) –Freeman has quietly made his return to the Braves lineup the other night. He gets Ubaldo Jimenez tonight, who’s giving up just about a home run a start. Freeman has been crushing RHP this season, hitting .306 with 11 home runs and a .926 OPS. Playing in the hitter friendly Camden Yards, this could be a perfect night for Freeman to let everyone know he’s back, and park one of those suckers onto the streets of Baltimore.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Brandon Moss ($3500) – Yes, Moss has been slumping this entire month. It’s a bad one at that. But at least you know almost no one will be on him tonight. Now, does that make my advice bad? Yeah, it could actually. But I’m a BvP believer, so I’m rolling with this one tonight. As I mentioned, Moss is 5-17 against Young with four of those hits going for home runs and a 1.368 OPS. With how both of their seasons have gone, this is a perfect opportunity to hopefully sneak in a good game from Moss and get you some points that no one else will be on. Fingers crossed.