My favorite night of baseball. We have some good pitching going tonight as well as some good hitting matchups. So instead of me speaking about something you don’t care about, let’s get you right into things and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Jason Hammel vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-228) – A bit of a surprising pick for the Vegas favorite today, although the matchup does warrant the favoritism. Hammel has been solid this season, as he comes into today with a 2.82 ERA to go along with his 0.98 WHIP and K/9 of 9. His price is also extremely low for how he’s performed and this cake matchup. At only $8700, he’s an absolute steal. How he’s the 8th most expensive pitcher on the day is beyond me, but we should be stoked. This will totally allow us to roster some big bats and maybe even another expensive pitcher on the night. This is about a close as a must start as you can get.
Michael Wacha vs. Atlanta Braves (-195) Wacha comes into tonight as the second favorite pitcher according to Vegas, even with his recent struggles. His trips to Chicago weren’t kind to Wacha, as he allowed five runs in both of those outings. Overall, Wacha hasn’t seen that sort of struggle. He comes into today with a 3.21 ERA with a 1.10 WHIP and a K/9 of 7.5. What concerns me is that these five run games came against less than stellar offenses in the Cubs and White Sox. On paper, this shouldn’t happen again as he gets another weak offense in the Braves. But, it’s at least got me wondering. His price sits at $9700, which has to make you wonder if it’s worth it or not today. Personally, I don’t want to hit the panic button here, but give me a solid start to at least get my eyes off of the panic button. I’ll be skipping Wacha tonight because of the value and high tiered guys we have going today.
Andrew Heaney vs. Texas Rangers (-191) – Case in point, I could start Wacha at $9700, or I could start the stellar Heaney for $8600 and save myself $1100. See my point? Heaney has made five starts this season and has five quality starts to show for it. Heaney comes into today with a 1.57 ERA to go with his microscopic 0.82 WHIP and a 7.1 K/9. He’s let up three home runs in those five starts, which is a small concern, but the pitcher friendly Angels Stadium will help out the cause. The Rangers aren’t the worst offense by far, but they do have their share of struggles. Vegas keeps going against the Rangers, so maybe this isn’t the worst idea to roll with Heaney.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 11 Over/Under- Here’s the biggest shock of today, the Reds and Rockies have the highest projected run total of the day! I NEVER saw that one coming. Mike Lorenzen takes on Kyle Kendrick in this one. Let me tell you, if I had to bet, this game should have the highest run total of the series. Let’s start with Lorenzen. His issue is his command, as he’s throwing a ton of pitches early in the game and thus contributes to his short starts. He comes into today with a 1.51 WHIP, which is an obvious reason why. You want no part of Lorenzen today facing the Rockies offense. Then we have Kyle Kendrick, I’ll call him King Kyle because he’s the king of giving up home runs. He’s already given up 24 on the season. 24. Not all season, in the FIRST HALF. So, with the Reds ranked 7th in home runs, you think we have a good chance of seeing a couple of bombs today? Uhhhh, yeah! As always, try to get at least some exposure to this game.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Dallas Keuchel vs. Kansas City Royals – Keuchel has been a beast this season. Lefties must despise facing him. I can imagine them not wanting to get out of bed because they know they have an 0-4 day approaching. Keuchel has held lefties to a .140 average on the year.
Zack Greinke vs. New York Mets- The poor Mets, they face a pitcher who is riding a 43 2/3 scoreless inning steak. They can’t score runs, period. Greinke has been tough against everyone, as he’s holding lefties to a .182 average this season.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Andrew Heaney vs. Texas Rangers-Heaney has pushed himself into the rotation for the foreseeable future. He has been everything he was hyped to be and more. Heaney has been tough against righties, as they’re only hitting .169 off of him. God damn.
Jacob deGrom vs. LA Dodgers – Look at all the young kids showing up the major leagues! deGrom comes into tonight holding righties to a .180 average on the year.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitcher vs. Left Handed Batters.
Nathan Eovaldi vs. Minnesota Twins – You can always tell it’s been five days since Eovaldi last pitched because he’s ALWAYS on this list. He continues to be atricious against lefties, as they’re hitting .340 this year. Get it together man.
Matt Moore vs. Baltimore Orioles – Moore might be wishing the timetable to return from Tommy John is five years instead of a year and a half. The way he’s been pitching, it seems like he’s a first timer. Lefties are hitting .333 against him thus far.
Easiest Pitcher vs. Right Handed Batters
Matt Moore vs. Baltimore Orioles- Well at least one thing is consistent, Moore is equally bad against both types of hitters. So if you took a wild guess and said he also allows a .333 average against righties, you’d be correct!
Nick Martinez vs. LA Angels- Martinez has had quite an inconsistent season, but he continues to get crushed by right handed hitters. They’re knocking him around to a tune of .311.
Ian Desmond ($3100) – After a disappointing first half, it looks like Desmond is on his way to a solid second half of the season. It doesn’t hurt that he has the cheap price tag attached to him either. Desmond is 10 for his last 22 with four home runs, seven RBIs, eight runs scored, and a “what the hell, why not” stolen base.
Ian Kinsler ($4600) – Everyone really seems to be stepping up over in Detroit to compensate for the loss of Miguel Cabrera. Kinsler certainly has, as he’s 13 for his last 31 with two home runs, five RBIs, seven runs scored and a “what the hell, why not” stolen base.
Alex Rodriguez ($4600) – I must say, Rodriguez is really doing quite the job silencing all his critics this season. Most of this production came from last night, but still, not a easy feat to accomplish. Rodriguez is 6 for his last 22 with four home runs, six RBIs, and five runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Mark Trumbo vs. Mark Buehrle – It feels like Trumbo has become a forgotten man since he was traded to Seattle from Arizona earlier this season. Hopefully today will be the day that things can change for him. Trumbo is 6-12 against Buehrle with five extra base hits, three of those being home runs, and a 1.917 OPS. One time Trumbo!
Alexi Ramirez vs. Danny Salazar- I still don’t like Ramirez. He cost me a good chunk of change in the Midsummer Classic the other night. So for that, I’ll never roster him again……..after today. Ramirez is 9-13 against Salazar with three extra base hits, one of those being a home run, and a 1.769 OPS.
Adam Jones vs. Matt Moore- Jones is looking to build upon his success against Moore today, as Moore just hasn’t looked the same since coming back from Tommy John surgery. Jones is 9-19 against Moore with three extra base hits, two of them being home runs, and a 1.342 OPS.
The following games could have some issue with rain today.
Yankees at Twins (small chance of rain)
Braves at Cardinals
Reds at Rockies
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Andrew Heaney ($8600) – Yup, I’m going with the kid today. Maybe I’m finally buying into the hype of the Rangers not being as good as they seem and riding my riches on a 24 year old. The more I was looking into the start, the more I liked it. First, it’s in the pitcher friendly confines of Angels stadium, so that eliminates some of the threat of the long ball, which Heaney has given up three thus far in his five starts. Next, Heaney owns a 7.1 K/9 on the season, which doesn’t blow you away, but the Rangers strike out the 8th most in the majors. That’s high enough to peak my interest in that deparment. The Rangers don’t walk a ton, as they’re 15th in the league in walks, and Heaney has only allowed four free passes so far. Truly, a lot of factors fall in Heaney’s favor. Add on the fact that he’s only going to cost $8600 and im sold.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Joey Votto ($5800) –Second time in a matter of three days I’m throwing Votto in this section. Why again today, well, he get’s that tasty matchup against our buddy King Kyle Kendrick. Kendrick gives up an absurd amount of home runs, 24 thus far this season. The Reds are 7th in home runs, don’t you think something is going to happen here!? Votto, as we highlighted big time on Friday, hits .309 against righties with 16 home runs. He’s expensive today, but I think he will be worth the price going against King Kyle.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Alexi Ramirez ($3000) – Ramirez is going to continue to haunt my dreams, and yet here I am saying you should roster him today. I must have bad karma coming from somewhere. I showcased earlier that Ramirez has good numbers against Salazar, it’s a smaller sample then usual, which is why I’m sure Ryan Noonan won’t roster him, but Ramirez has been heating up at the plate as well. Ramirez is 8 for his last 24 with a home runs, five RBIs, three runs scored and three stolen bases. For $3000, you have a lot in your favor today.