We have a full slate of games AND it’s ticket giveaway day! Ok well, we actually have 14 games going today because for whatever reason, the White Sox Cubs game is at 4:05. So that won’t be included here. As for the ticket giveaway, follow me on Twitter, @SBuchanan24, as I’ll be tweeting out the details on how to potentially win a ticket! Good luck!
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Madison Bumgarner vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-159) – God damn, the Phillies just can’t catch a break lately. In the past three days, they will have faced Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, and now Bumgarner. The baseball gods just aren’t Phillies fans. Neither is anyone else. Anyways, Bumgarner is the most expensive pitcher on the night, but once again, it should be worth it to pay up for him. Bumgarner enters tonight with a 3.34 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and a 9.1 K/9. The Phillies have looked atricious the last two nights against Kershaw and Greinke, so I have no reason to believe tonight would be the night they’ll bust out offensively.
Mike Bolsinger vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-146) – Bolsinger comes into his start tonight against a suddenly tougher Brewers team. The Brewers have always had the potential to be a decent ball club, and now it seems as if things might be clicking. Once a team at the bottom of the league in almost every offensive category, the Brewers are now 18th in batting average, 17th in runs scored, 20th in OPS and 13th in home runs. While these numbers aren’t staggering, it honestly might be enough to scare me off. Bolsinger has been decent this season, nothing spectactular. Add on the fact that Bolsinger hasn’t pitched longer than 5.1 innings in his last five starts, and I think you can’t really trust him tonight. Incredibly, this might be the first time I didn’t like a pitcher going against the Brewers. Please mark this on your calendar.
Gerrit Cole vs. St. Louis Cardinals (-141) – For someone that has been one of the best pitchers in the National League this year, I was surprised that he’s the fourth most expensive pitcher on the night. Cole gets a start against the St. Louis Cardinals tonight, a team that can hit, but has trouble scoring runs. The Cardinals are ranked 7th in batting average but fall to 19th when it comes to scoring runs. Cole has been having a dominat season for the Pirates, as he enters tonight with a 2.28 ERA to go along with a 1.12 WHIP and a K/9 of 9.2. The Cardinals strikeout at a decent clip, as they rank 9th in the league in strikeouts, so Cole certainly has the potential to have a high scoring game here.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 10 Over/Under- The problem with these games lately is they keep getting saddled with rain! They did finally end up getting their game in last night but the delays have been a killer lately. Of course, this game is projected to have the highest run total of the night, although this game in particular is the “lowest” projection of the series. I’m sure it’s because the Braves are sending Shelby Miller to the mound. Miller has been fantastic for the Braves all season, as he comes off a solid start against the Phillies the last time out. Of course, the Rockies are one of the best offensive clubs in the league, however, at the price of just $7100 for Miller, I have to at least consider rolling the dice with him in a lineup. That price is too good for a pitcher with his talent. As of this morning, the Rockies haven’t offically announced who will be starting tonight. Just be aware that almost every Rockie starter sucks anddddd this is always a game you want to target pitching. How’s that for analysis?
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Hector Santiago vs. Seattle Mariners- Everyone talks about great pitching like Kershaw, Felix Hernandez, Cole Hamels. Santiago has every right to be sitting in the corner saying, “Hey guys, don’t forget about me.” He’s been fantastic this season and he’s been smoking lefties, as they’re only hitting .152 off of him.
Cole Hamels vs. San Francisco Giants- Certainly have the potential for a pitchers duel tonight. Hamels has been great against lefties, as they’re hitting .169 off of him this season.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Shelby Miller vs. Colorado Rockies- Honestly, the more I think about it, I really think I’m down with the idea of Miller as a sneaky play tonight. Not a ton of exposure to him, but a couple lineups for sure. Miller is holding right handed batters to a .170 average.
Mike Montgomery vs. L.A. Angels- Montgomery is basically one of the only things Seattle fans can be excited about this season, aside from Hernandez. Montgomery is holding righties to a .184 average in his rookie season.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitcher vs. Left Handed Batters.
Danny Duffy vs. Toronto Blue Jays- Duffy is going to learn today that any struggles against any type hitter when playing Toronto is a bad play. Duffy is allowing a .321 avearge to lefties.
Justin Verlander vs. Minnesota Twins – How the mighty have fallen. Verlander comes into tonight, the second worst pitcher against lefties tonight. They’re hitting Verlander to a .319 average. At least if Verlander has a quick night, he can jump on his phone and play Game of War.
Easiest Pitcher vs. Right Handed Batters
Colin McHugh vs. Tampa Bay Rays – McHugh has been having a decent season, but he’s been having issues with right handed batters. They’re hitting McHugh to a .297 clip.
Ian Kennedy vs. Texas Rangers – It still baffles my mind that Kennedy was once a 21 game winner. True strory. Righties are hitting .296 against him in 2015. No 21 wins for you.
Lorenzo Cain ($4700) – Cain has been on fire lately, doing a little bit of everything. He’s 9 for his last 17 with two home runs, eight RBIs, two stolen bases and seven runs scored. Five tool player, baby!
Carlos Gomez ($4800) – A big reason the Brewers are hitting lately is because of Gomez. He’s 7 for his last 17 with three home runs, 10 RBIs, and four runs scored.
Kris Bryant ($4900) – Remember when we were wondering if Bryant would every hit his first major league home run? 12 home runs later, Bryant is getting on another hot streak. He’s 7 for his last 24 with two home runs, seven RBIs, two stolen bases and five runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Ian Kinsler vs. Ervin Santana – Kinsler faces a man he’s seen a lot of in his career. Kinsler is 20-57 against Santana with eight extra base hits, one of them being a home run and a .957 OPS.
Billy Butler vs. Danny Salazar -Butler has crusheddddd Salazar in his career. He’s 7-12 against Salazar with four extra base hits, a .643 OBP and a 1.560 OPS!
Joe Mauer vs. Justin Verlander – What I like about these stats is that they came while Verlander was in his prime. Now that he’s far from it, let’s see what Mauer can do now. Mauer is 24-65 against Verlander with eight extra base hits, three of them home runs, and a 1.052 OPS.
After dodging so much god damn weather this week, it’s nice to see a slate where the only threat is the Blue Jays and Royals game. Of course, watch the weather closely when building your lineups but so far, looks pretty clear.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Hector Santiago ($7700) – You had to know that after picking the two obvious choices the past two nights, being Kershaw and Greinke, that I had to finally be a bit bold. Well, tonight could be that night. On a slate where Bumgarner, Hamels and Cole are all starting, dammit I’m going Santiago. First, his price is insanely good. At $7700 with his numbers, 2.20 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and a 8.1 K/9, what’s not to like? He’s pitching in Safeco, which is of course one of the top parks for pitchers. Then of course, the Seattle offense has been terrible this season! They come into tonight dead last in batting average, 29th in runs scored and 26th in team OPS. Sure, they have some power, as they’re 9th in home runs, but that’s the beauty of Safeco. Santiago has given up 13 home runs on the season and averages about one a start, but I think he has a lot more going for him then this one blemish. If anything, rostering Santiago will give you some nice wiggle room to fill in the rest of your roster.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Prince Fielder ($4700) – Price Fielder has been smashing right handed pitching this season. No really, I’m not kidding. Fielder is hitting .393 against right handed pitchers with seven home runs on the season. Tonight, he gets a matchup against Ian Kennedy. Kennedy has given up 18 home runs on the season, split evenly between right and left handed batters. With the way Fielder is crushing RHP and the potential power, I’m getting Fielder on my roster tonight.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Billy Butler ($3,200) – Another BvP special baby! Aside from the numbers Butler has against Salazar, I really like the fact that he will mostly be ignored when building lineups tonight. Again, against Salazar, Butler is 7-12 with 4 extra base hits and a 1.560 OPS.