Sunday brings us a six game afternoon slate of baseball. As always, I’ll get you set for this slate. Feel free to get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Biggest Favorites

CHC (-173) vs. OAK – Kyle Hendricks – Hendricks and the Cubs get the nod for the heavy favorites in this six-game slate today. Hendricks is our most expensive pitcher here at $10,900, which is $300 more than David Price. He’s coming off one of his best starts this season against the Marlins, where he threw a complete game shutout on seven hits with a 5:3 K:BB ratio. Hendricks overall has been better at home than on the road, but the Oakland Coliseum should certainly benefit him in this matchup. Entering this game, the A’s own a .309 wOBA against righties with a .304 OBP and a .416 SLG. Not exactly numbers that are going to scare you away. Personally, I think Hendricks is a bit pricey, but on this slate with this matchup, he’s a viable option.

Highest Totals

MIA vs. COL – 11.5 runs – Showcasing our daily Coors Field matchup, we have Adam Conley taking on Jon Gray this afternoon. Conley has been a solid pitcher to take the mound for the Marlins every five days, owning a 3.41 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and averaging 15.3 FPPG. He’s faced this Rockies team in Miami once already where he pitched five innings, allowing just one run on one hit with a 5:5 K:BB ratio. Without those walks, Conley would have had a fantastic line and most likely lasted at least another innings. While it’s unfair to expect the same type of results today, he’s at least an intriguing GPP option on this short slate for just $5,500. Nonetheless, 11.5 runs has been the normal projection for these games, and Coors is always full of fantasy goodness.

Weather Concerns

Doesn’t look to be any weather concerns as of writing this morning, but as always, make sure to check as we get closer to first pitch.

Park Factors

Park Factors are rated on a scale of 1.000. Anything at or above 1.000 favors hitters, anything below it favors pitchers.

  • Coors Field – MIA vs COL – I don’t need to remind you that Coors Field favors everything and anything that involves hitters, right?
  • Dodger Stadium – BOS vs LAD – Dodger Stadium has been dwelling near the bottom of the league all season, and is ranked 30th coming into tonight. It does not favor any offensive categories here.


Splits to Start

Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters

Worst vs LHB OPSAVGBest vs LHBOPSAVG
Archie Bradley.944.316Sean Manaea.533 .183
Jimmy Nelson.795.248Kyle Hendricks.629.231
Adam Conley.772.306Jarred Cosart.654.200

Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters

Worst vs RHBOPSAVGBest vs RHBOPSAVG
Sean Manaea.825.293Brandon McCarthy.431.136
Matt Shoemaker.784.281Kyle Hendricks.566.202
James Paxton.768.300Archie Bradley.666.219

Batter vs. Pitcher Splits

BatterOpposing SPABFP/AB
Nelson CruzMatt Shoemaker142.35
Dustin PedroiaBrandon McCarthy142.21

  • This afternoon doesn’t carry a vast amount of BvP stats; in fact, we don’t really have much at all. Nelson Cruz has gone 5-14 against Matt Shoemaker with a double, a home run and three RBIs.
  • The other BvP we have for today is Dustin Pedroia against Brandon McCarthy. Pedroia is also 5-14 with two doubles and five RBIs.


Lineup Starters

Pitcher to Build Around

David Price – BOS vs LAD – $10,600 – On paper, this is such a great start for Price that would one think he’s a steal at $10,600. Unfortunently for Price and anyone that’s rosterted him this season, we know that nothing is guranteed with him. Here we are on August 7th and Price owns a 4.30 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a K/9 of 9.3. The Dodgers remain one of the worst team against lefties, owning a .291 wOBA with a .303 OBP and a 20.8 K%. With this start being at Dodger Stadium, Price has one of the best pitcher’s parks to work with as he tries to get back on track. At $10,600, I think Price is priced fair enough that he’s worth taking a shot with.

Heavy Hitter to Pay For

Kris Bryant – CHC vs. OAK (Sean Manaea) – $4,600 – It feels like Bryant keeps getting fed good matchup after good matchup as of late. He takes on Sean Manaea today, who is allowing a .350 wOBA to righties with a .490 SLG and 12 of his 14 home runs allowed. Bryant continues to crush lefties on the road, owning a .435 wOBA with a .607 SLG and .452 OBP.

Save Big by Drafting…

David Dahl- COL vs. MIA (Adam Conley) – $3,000 – At just $3,000, playing in Coors Field and consistently batting in the heart of their order, Dahl continues to be a steal. Dahl has played in only 12 games this season, but he’s batting .380 with three home runs, seven RBIs and averaging 10.6 FPPG. It doesn’t matter what his matchup is right now, his price makes him him immensely valuable.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on.  Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.