Sunday’s are one of those perfect lazy days to get some fantasy baseball in. As all the teams now have their newly acquired players in their lineups, it’s time to start making some more money. Let’s jump right into things and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
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Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Jaime Garcia vs. Colorado Rockies (-179) – Seriously, Vegas LOVES going against the Rockies now. I think this is maybe, four day in a row now? Pretty crazy if you ask me. Garcia owns a 2.00 ERA with a 0.89 WHIP and a 37:9 K:BB ratio. Garcia was making his first start since coming off the disabled list for the second time this season against the Reds, where he went six innings, allowing three runs on four hits and striking out five. As I keep saying with all the other Cardinal pitchers that have been favored in this series, the Rockies are still one of the best offensive clubs in the league. They can certainly create some big innings, even with the loss of Tulowitzki. Maybe I’m the only guy in the room that feels this way, but I’m never exactly jumping at the chance at rostering a SP against Colorado. At $9700, Garcia might be a bit tough to roster today, especially with some of the other values on the board.
Jose Fernandez vs. San Diego Padres(-157)- This is one of those starts where when you see it on paper, you have to do a little dance inside. Fernandez, going up against the third easiest team in the league to strike out? Sign. Me. Up. Who cares if he’s the most expensive pithcer on the day, it’s Jose Fernandez! Since making his return from Tommy John surgery, Fernandez has been doing the complete opposite of Matt Moore, he’s having success. Fernandez comes into today with a 2.54 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP and a K/9 of 10.4. A K/9 of 10.4 against the team that strikeouts the third most in the league? Ugh, this start could a real doozy. The Padres have to be one of the biggest disappointments of the year, as they come into today’s game ranked 27th in batting average, 21st in runs scored, 29th in OPS and 18th in home runs. Fernandez has been fantastic with keeping the ball in the park as well, only allowing one since his return. Even though he’s expensive, you have to find a way to get Fernandez in your lineup.
Colin McHugh vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) – So, I only agree with one of Vegas picks out of the three here. If you skipped over my Fernandez blurb, I’m sorry, you haven’t found which pick I like. It’s certainly not McHugh. Coming in today at $7200, he could look like a real potential value play, I’m just not on board with it. McHugh enters today with a 4.43 ERA to go with a 1.32 WHIP and a K/9 of 7. The Diamondbacks do strike out a lot, as they’re 8th in the league, however, they also hit a lot. Coming into today the D-Backs rank 6th in batting average and runs scored, 8th in OPS and 17 in home runs. McHugh of 2015 has been too inconsistent to put my trust into today, but I will say the price on him is certainly a bit enticing. McHugh has been getting plenty of swings and misses this season, nine in his last start against the Angels, which does make me believe that the potential for a decent strike out game todays is a possibility. You’ll just be a better man than I am if you roster him.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (Rogers Centre) – 9 Over/Under- Ah yes, the battle of the big time offenses. Edinson Volquez takes on R.A. Dickey in this one today. Let’s start with Volquez and the visiting Royals. Volquez enters today with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Volquez has pitched quite well this season, as he’s been keeping his walks to a minimum, something that has plagued his career. He was a bit shaky in his last start against Cleveland, where Volquez walked five in six innings. Going against a Toronto team that ranks fourth in walks, this is certainly not the game to be having control issues. Overall, Volquez has been solid. As for Dickey, he comes into tonight with a 4.27 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Per the usual, Dickey is hard to predict because it all depends on the knuckleball that start. Dickey is going up against one of the best hitting clubs in the league, where they rank 4th in batting average and 9th in OPS. Overall, this game could be one that features a lot of fireworks, even though both pitchers are fully capable of pulling off a gem here and there. The problem is, these offenses are both so good, something is going to have to give here.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Sonny Gray vs. Cleveland Indians – Gray is by far, the best against lefties today. Gray enters todays matchup with the Indians holding lefties to a .181 average on the season.
Trevor Bauer vs. Oakland A’s – Well, it’s not going to be an easy game if you bat on the left side. If Gray with his .181 avearge wasn’t enough, Bauer is holding lefties to a .207.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jaime Garcia vs. Colorado Rockies –As I mentioned, when Garcia isn’t too busy spending time on the DL, he’s seen some great success this season. Garcia is holding right handed batters to a .190 average thus far.
Ivan Nova vs. Chicago White Sox – I don’t know about you, but I’m starting to see a trend here. Maybe being hurt during the year is the key to coming back and being successful. Unless you’re Matt Moore. Nova is holding right handed batters to a .207 avearge.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitcher vs. Left Handed Batters.
Daniel Norris vs. Baltimore Orioles – Norris was the centerpiece of the trade for David Price, and he gets put right into the Tigers rotation. He had started five games for the Blue Jays, but didn’t see any good results from facing lefties. They’re hitting him to a .375 avearge on the year.
Julio Teheran vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Norris has started five games this year and isn’t very good against lefties. Teheran has been here all year and still isn’t good against lefties. They’re hitting Teheran to a .309 avearge this year.
Easiest Pitcher vs. Right Handed Batters
Martin Perez vs. San Francisco Giants – Sorry Martin, you’ve stated the minimum amount of games to be showcased in this section, so I have to spill the bad news to everyone. Folks, Perez is horrific against right handed batters, they’re hitting .463 when facing Perez.
Kyle Lohse vs. Chicago Cubs – Still trying to figure out how teams end up being interested in Lohse. If you’re looking for someone to give up a ton of home runs and pitch like you actually play on the opposing team, Lohse is your guy. He’s allowing a .319 avearge to right handed batters this season.
Carlos Gonzalez ($4400) – I’m thinking maybe I should just leave him in this section for the reest of the season. Gonzalez is just on fire right now and he continues to hit on a daily basis. Gonzalez is 11 for his last 26 with five home runs, 12 RBIs, and 10 runs scored.
Lucas Duda ($3900) – Duda likes hitting home runs. In his last 21 at bats, Duda has eight home runs. Duda is 7 for his last 18 with six home runs, eight RBIs, and six runs scored. If only the rest of this team could get on base…..
Eric Hosmer ($4500) – Hosmer is starting to go on another one of his hot streaks. He’s quietly having a really nice season for the Royals. Hosmer is 13 for his last 25 with two home runs, nine RBIs, and eight runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Daniel Murphy vs. Jordan Zimmermann- Murphy has seen a lot of Zimmermann in his career, and the only one complaining is Zimmermann. Murphy is 19-56 against Zimmerman with eight extra base hits, three of those being home runs, and a .940 OPS.
Todd Frazier vs. Charlie Morton – A bit of a smaller sample size, but Frazier has made Morton feel bad after every start. Frazier is 7-15 against Morton with five extra base hits, two of those being home runs, and a 1.633 OPS.
Victor Martinez vs. Ubaldo Jimenez- Martinez likes to talk Jimenez yard, and is hoping to do so again today. I called and asked Martinez and he confirmed my thoughts. Martinez is 9-27 against Jimenez with five extra base hits, four of those home runs and a 1.148 OPS.
Can’t get any better than this, another clear day of baseball is upon us.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Jose Fernandez ($12,300) – After two days in a row of going for some mid priced pitchers, who have gotten us some decent numbers, it’s time to go back to the big fish. Jose Fernandez gets a cake matchup against the Padres today, and I’m sitting here drolling all over my iPad as I write this. Thankfully, I have a water proof case. As I mentioned earlier, the Padres are a mess offensively. They rank 28th in batting avearge, 21st in runs scored, 29th in OPS and 19th in home runs. Add on the fact that they strike out more than any other team except the Cubs and Astros, and god damn this matchup is sweet. Fernandez has been his typical lights out self since returning from Tommy John surgery, owning a 10.4 K/9 and some nice splits against RHB and LHB, .210 and .238 respectively. He’s the most expensive pitcher on the day, but I think it would hurt you more to fade him.
Superstar Worth Paying For
Anthony Rizzo ($5000) –Rizzo is starting to heat back up and at a perfect time. How’s a nice matchup against Kyle Lohse sound? Lohse seems as if he enjoy giving up home runs, as he’s already done so 24 times this season. He’s even been nice enough to distribute it almost evenly, with 13 to RHB and 11 to LHB. Rizzo comes into today hitting .272 against RHP with 15 home runs and a .902 OPS. Rizzo has as great of a chance of going yard today then any other day. I realize they’re in the pitcher friendly Miller Park, but that still doesn’t stop hitters, as 15 of his 24 home runs have come at home.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Ketel Marte ($2000) – Who? Not familiar with Marte? Let me give you a quick run down. Marte has been called up to the majors in Seattle to fill in for Robinson Cano while Cano mans DH duties for a few games. Marte is a really nice cheap option for steals, as he stole 20 in 65 games at Triple-A. Doesn’t hurt that he was hitting .314 while he was down there either. This is strictly a punt play that can get you some points where no one will be on this kid at all. He matches up with Mike Pelfrey today, not exactly someone who’s going to scare you.