Today is a huge day for DraftKings. The Fantasy Baseball World Championship will be taking place here in beautiful Las Vegas! I’ll have you covered for all the games taking place tonight, so you can sweat along with all the lucky memebers of tonight’s huge event. Let’s jump right into it and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
John Lackey vs. Miami Marlins (-200) – Lackey has been pitching well, don’t get me wrong. However, I feel like this is more of an indication of just how BAD the Marlins offense really is. In the second half of the season, the Marlins have a team wOBA of .291. Which is good for 25th in the entire league. Nottttt exactly that impressive. Even worse, if you look at their “power,” their ISO is dead last at .099. Dead. Last. You think they miss Stanton yet? They only thing they have going for them, is that they are extremely tough to strikeout. In fact, they are the toughest to strikeout, second to only the Royals. So now it begs the question if Lackey is worth the price if it might be hard to tally up some strikeouts. To that I say, hell yeah. Normally, I’m against a pitcher who won’t have a high celing for strikeouts, but this Marlins offense is so bad, I don’t really think you’d have much to worry about here. Maybe Lackey isn’t your number one tonight, but he certainly is in consideration for a number two.
Brett Anderson vs. Cincinnati Reds (-180)- Maybe I just haven’t seen enough of Anderson to appreciate him, because everytime he’s favored on the night, I just kind of roll my eyes. Anderson owns a 3.43 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a K/9 of 6. Not exactly numbers that are blowing me over. He gets a Reds team that is smack dab in the middle of the league in wOBA at .317 and right in the middle in strikeouts as well at a 20.6% rate. The Reds have actually hit lefties farily well this season, owning a .320 wOBA, so I don’t know how confident I feel about this pick. On the flip side, Anderson is only going to run you for $6500, which that in itself is enticing. It’s not the most ideal matchup for Anderson, as his strikeouts are also limited, but he could help you out and save some salary.
Johnny Cueto vs. LA Angels (-179) – Cueto matches up with the Angels tonight, who have really been stumbling in the second half of the season. Since the All Star Break, the Angels are listed 27th in wOBA at .290. Their power has been down as well, with an ISO of just .133, good for 25th in the league. Cueto has been adapting quite well to the American League, giving up five runs in three starts and striking out 17 in 22 innings. The Angels have been a bit tough to strikeout, as they own a 19.8 K% in the second half, but at this point, Cueto has proved he can pitch in the AL. I like the fact that Cueto isn’t even the first or second most expensive pitcher on the night, coming in at $10,800.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 10.5 Over/Under- Andrew Cashner and Jon Gray go against each other in this one. Gray is doing the complete opposite of what Rockies pitchers are supposed to do and is actually pitching well in his short time here so far. Gray has a 2.70 ERA to go with a 1.00 WHIP and 9 strikeouts in his first two starts. I don’t think that’s enough of sample for me to get excited about, but going against the Padres isn’t something that exactly scares you off. But then again, it’s hard to trust anyone at Coors Field. As for Cashner, he’s really having an off year, as he’s struggled mightly against lefties this season, giving up a .388 wOBA to them. His strikeouts are still fairly good at 7.6, and with the Rockies striking out more than any other team in the league, I at least paused for a split second to think about if he would be a good pick or not. Nah. As always, try to get some exposure to this game if you can.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Johnny Cueto vs. LA Angels – Safe to say that Cueto can pitch, no matter what league he’s in. Coming into tonight, he’s the best against lefties, with a .220 wOBA.
Jake Arrieta vs. Chicago White Sox – Ah yes, the battle of Chicago makes it’s way into the night slate. Arrieta is one of the best against lefties tonight, as he owns a .237 wOBA aginst them.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jimmy Nelson vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Jimmy! Ya did it kid! You’re the toughest pitcher against righties tonight. Put it there, pal! Nelson owns a .252 wOBA against those right handed batters.
Chris Archer vs. Texas Rangers – My man! Archer! But then again, a ton of people like him, so I’m not being very original here. Archer comes into his start tonight with a .254 wOBA against righties.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitcher vs. Left Handed Batters.
Mike Foltynewicz vs. Arizona Diamondbacks- If you’re a leftie and you’re on the Diamondbacks, how excited are you for this matchup? Foltynewicz is allowing a .402 wOBA against lefties. I mean, what the hell is that!?
Charlie Morton vs. New York Mets- Everytime I go to talk about Morton, I want to call him Chris Morton. Was someone named Chris Morton popular or something? Maybe it just flows better? Regardless, Chris or Charlie, whomever, is giving up a .384 wOBA against lefties.
Easiest Pitcher vs. Right Handed Batters
Jerome Williams vs. Milwaukee Brewers- Ah yes, it must be another five day cycle. Williams makes his usual appearance in the Cheat Sheet and it’s never for a good reason. Williams is allowing a .369 wOBA to righties, because why would you want to get them out?
Mike Foltynewicz vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – Maybe Foltynewicz should consider a new career. Against righties, he’s almost Jerome Williams level with his .364 wOBA.
Chris Davis ($5000) – Davis continus to hit the ball well for the Orioles as of late. Coming into tonight, Davis is 9-22 with four home runs, six RBIs, eight runs scored, and he also decided to steal a base. Why not?
AJ Pollock ($5200) – Truly, I feel as though we’ve had a rotation of Diamondbacks that have been on this list. They’re a good hitting ballclub. Pollock is 11/26 with a home run, three RBIs, eight runs scored and four stolen bases.
Eric Hosmer ($4300) – Hosmer has really been hitting well as of late. I feel like everytime I happen to catch a Royals highlight reel, he’s doing something. Hosmer is 8/28 with three home runs, 10 RBIs, eight runs scored, and a stolen base.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Today is a pretty light day in good BvP matchups, so I’m only going to showcase two here today, again.
Andrew McCutchen vs. Jon Niese – McCutchen has mostly hit extra base hits off of Niese, which is fine by us! Truly, keep doing that. McCutchen is 7-15 against Niese with four extra base hits, one of them being a home run, and a 1.422 OPS.
Shane Victorino vs. Johnny Cueto – What the….? Hey sure, I’ll run with it. Victorino is 5-10 against Cueto with two home runs (seriously?) and a 1.683 OPS (REALLY?)
Shocking, the Padres and Rockies have a threat of rain. Divas.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Johnny Cueto ($10,800) – With how much the Angels are struggling right now, I think Cueto has to be the safe bet here. Much could be said about Arrieta facing the White Sox, and on the surface I would tend to agree. However, when you go a little deeper into it, the White Sox have the best wOBA in the league in the second half. I’m not kidding, it’s at .340. Compare that to the Angels, sitting at 28th, and I think we can make this an easy one. As I did mention, the Angels aren’t the easiest to strikeout, but their lack of power and flat out hitting could make this a good one for Cueto. That’s my pick and I’m sticking to it.
Superstar Worth Paying For
JD Martinez ($4500) – $4500 for a guy with 30 home runs and huge power against righties seems like a bargain to me. Martinez gets Collin McHugh tonight, who’s allowing a .357 wOBA against RHB this season. Martinez has a .389 wOBA agaist RHP with a huge .279 ISO. McHugh has given up 15 home runs this season, with 1o of those coming from RHB. Truly, at $4500, you’d have to be crazy to not get Martinez in at least one of your lineups.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
David Peralta($3600) – Yes, Peralta is a bit expensive to be in this section, but he’s too cheap to be in the Superstar section, so here we are. Peralta gets Mike Foltynewicz tonight, who is horrible against everyone. Most imporant, he’s giving up a .402 wOBA to lefties this season. Jackpot. Peralta owns a .392 wOBA against righties this season with some good power, with an ISO at .227. As long as he starts, he’s a must for me.