Friday is one of my favorite days to do this article. We always have a full slate of games on tap and we do our ticket giveaway. We have one game today that’s being played this afteroon, the Chicago Cubs taking on the Chicago White Sox. That game will not be featured in this article today.
As for the ticket giveaway, all you have to do is follow me on Twitter, @SBuchanan24, and I’ll tweet out the details on how obtain one of three $33 Slugfest tickets. Word to the wise, I’d read this article too.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
David Price vs. New York Yankees (-230) – A true powerhouse of a matchup today, has the Blue Jays taking on the Yankees. Even with both ball clubs getting it done offensively this year, Price is still your favorite on the day. The Yankess have actually done quite well against leftie pitching this season. On the season, they own a .334 wOBA, good for third in the league. Their strikeout percentage is also one of the lowest in the league against lefties at 18.8. Price has done well in his two stars with his new club, owning a 0.60 ERA with an over wOBA against at .191, but keep in mind this is just two starts, but one of those teams was the Yankees that he faced. In that start, Price went seven innings giving up no runs on three hits and striking out seven. Both parties have good stats against one another, so it’s a matter of who do you trust more tonight?
Dallas Keuchel vs. Detroit Tigers (-215)- Keuchel has been fantastic all season long. Coming into tonight, Keuchel owns a 2.41 ERA to go with a 1.01 WHIP and a K/9 of 7.8. Tonight, Keuchel gets a matchup against the Tigers, a team who has the second best wOBA against left handed pitching this season at .339. They do strikeout a bit against them as well, owning the 9th worst in the league at 22.2%. Overall, the Tigers have been stumbling a bit since the Trade Deadline, owning an overall wOBA of .295 since then and a .148 ISO, good for 16th in the league. Like the Tornoto New York game, this is another tough one to predict which side to lean toward. At least in the eyes of Vegas, they like Price and Keuchel in these ones.
Jaime Garcia vs. Miami Marlins (-200) – At least this game is easier to distinguish which side I’m going to be going for. Garcia comes into tonight with a 1.77 ERA to go along with a 0.91 WHIP and a K/9 of 6.2. Garcia is been money since returning from the disabled list, and quite frankly all season, when he’s not injured. His last start against the Brewers saw Garcia go seven innings, giving up no runs on two hits and striking out five. He should have a very similiar result tonight, going up against a weak Marlins team. The Marlins are 16th in wOBA since the trade deadline at .310, but it’s their power that’s been non existent. Coming in at second to last in the league, the Marlins own a .098 ISO since the deadline. Only the Angels are worse in that time span. It’s almost getting to the point where any pither going up against the Marlins has to be considered at least somewhat. Garcia is certainly in that conversation today.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 10 Over/Under- Well, get ready for about a week of a Rockies takeover in this section here. We start at homestand at Coors so it’s time to pile on the runs. Tyson Ross gets the start for the Padres going up against Yohan Flande. Ross has had it easy his last few starts, drawing the Mets, Brewers and Phillies his last three, but tonight is a whole new entity. The Rockies come into tonight stumbling a bit since the beginning of August, owning a .292 wOBA on the month and the highest strikeout percentage in the league during that span at 24.5%. As I mentioned, Ross has had a good stretch as of late, but those were against relatively easy teams. Even with the Rockies scuffling a bit, you’d have to be a brave man to start him at Coors tonight. As for Flande, he’s yet to make it past the fifth inning in any of his starts, but that’s more of a precaution measure and not because he’s been pitching poorly. But again, starting him isn’t a wise move, even with the Padres struggling offensively, with a .291 wOBA this month. Try and get some exposure to this one.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
I wanted to try something different in this section here this week. If you’ve read this article before, you know that I always profile the pitchers average against either a LHB OR RHB. For this week, I wanted to use the wOBA average to profile these pitchers, as Ryan Noonan did this in yesterday’s cheat sheet and I thought it worked well. Let me know what you think and if you like this better.
Dallas Keuchel vs. Detroit Tigers – If you have only one thing to say about Keuchel, make sure it’s how well he is against lefties. I’m convinced he could get them out with his eyes closed. Keuchel is holding them to a .163 wOBA on the season. That’s just filthy. Filthy, I say!
Martin Perez vs. Tampa Bay Rays – Pitching against lefties may be the only thing Perez does well. Sure, he’s holding them to a .230 wOBA on the season, but he certainly doesn’t do much else. I’d only start him in a strictly left handed batter lineup. Soooooo, never.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Max Scherzer vs. San Francisco Giants – Scherzer has been stumbling a bit as of late. Justtttt a little bit, with tonight not being much easier. However, when it comes to righties, he’s been nasty. Scherzer owns a .201 wOBA against righties this season. Yeah, goodnight.
Jaime Garcia vs. Miami Marlins – Garcia does two things really well. Spending time on the diabled list and pitching against righties. When he isn’t too busy being hurt, Garica is holding righties to a .219 wOBA on the season. Please stay healthy. Thanks.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitcher vs. Left Handed Batters.
Matt Cain vs. Washington Nationals- When Cain came back from injury, I’m sure the Giants had in mind that he could mentor the younger pitchers on the staff. Unless the point they want him to get across is to suck against lefties, I don’t think this was the plan. Cain owns a .421 wOBA against lefties this season.
Alfredo Simon vs. Houston Astros- The sauce man has been having his struggles against lefties this season as well. He’s allowed a .387 wOBA against them. I’m thinking this wont exactly go down tonight against the Astros.
Easiest Pitcher vs. Right Handed Batters
Joe Kelly vs. Seattle Mariners- You can tell the Red Sox season is basically over, as no team in their right mind would be trotting Kelly out to the mound every five days. Kelly owns a .383 wOBA against righties this season, which according to my caculations, is horrific.
Adam Morgan vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Morgan owns a .371 wOBA on the season against righties. However, with the Phillies playing the Brewers tonight, I don’t think many people will notice.
David Ortiz ($5000) – Well, at least Ortiz starts the heat up with the Red Sox are completely out of it. Better late than never, right? Ortiz is 10-19 with four home runs, eight RBIs, and seven runs scored. He has not stolen a base in a long time, in case you were wondering.
Andrew McCutchen ($4800) – Pittsburgh really has some talented players on their team, it’s just too bad they can’t figure it out and get it together. McCutchen is 10-24 with two home runs, nine RBIs, and eight runs scored. Oh, he has stolen a base recently.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Today is a pretty light day in good BvP matchups, so I’m only going to showcase two here today.
Brian McCann vs David Price – McCann has really had some huge success against Price in his career. I was honestly surprised by the numbers. McCann is 9-19 against Price with three extra base hits, all of them being home runs, and a 1.447 OPS. Let me go roster McCann now.
Kendrys Morales vs. Jered Weaver – Morales has only seen Weaver in a small sample, but he doesn’t seem to mind getting on base when he faces him. Morales is 8-12 against Weaver with a two extra base hits, one of them being a home run, and a 1.714 OPS.
Of course, we have a threat of rain for the Padres Rockies game. Befeore going crazy with your Coors stack, keep an eye on the weather.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Corey Kluber ($10,600) – The majorety of the top pitchers going tonight have tough/fairly tough matchups. Then we have Kluber at 10,600, the 4th most expensive pitcher on the night, against the Twins. Bingo. The Twins haven’t done much against RHP this season, with a .302 wOBA, ranked 24th in the league. Then, they rank 8th in strikeout percentage against RHP, at 20.7. It also doesn’t help that they aren’t very patient either, ranking 23rd in BB% at 6.7. The Twins continue to struggle offensively, and they were a mess the last time out against Kluber, who pitched a complete game, giving up one run on three hits and striking out 10. Granted, you can’t anticpiate another start like that, but Kluber was in control that entire start and should be again tonight.
Superstar Worth Paying For
Nelson Cruz ($5800) – Cruz is expensive tonight, but he SHOULD be good to go tonight against Joe Kelly. Kelly has been a mess this season, giving up a .383 wOBA to RHB on the year. He’s also given up 12 home runs, with 8 of those coming against righties. Cruz has been mashing RHP, owning a .402 wOBA with an ISO of .266. Add on the fact that this game is in the hitter friendly Fenway Park, and I feel like we have a lot to love here. If you can afford the high price tag, throw Cruz into that lineup. Just make sure he is indeed starting.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Chris Young ($2800) – Want to seperate yourself from the crowd tonight? How about taking Chris Young against David Price. On the surface, not the best idea. But I’m in Vegas right now and we’re going to go mix it up a bit. It’s been well documented that Young crushes LHP. On the season, he owns a .446 wOBA against them with an ISO of .304. .304! It will certainly be tough against Price tonight, but the ceiling is high for Young. In the words of Michael Keaton as Batman….