Sunday has arrived and we have all 30 teams playing over the course of the day. This article will cover the entire day and get you ready for the all day sweat. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
WAS (-225) vs. MIN – Stephen Strasburg – – Any doubts about Strasburg coming into this season have quickly been put to bed. Strasburg comes into today’s start with a 3-0 record with a 1.25 ERA, a 0.92 WHIP and a K:BB ratio of 21:7. This afternoon he takes on a Twins team that is ranked fourth in the league in strikeouts, averaging nine per game. Strasburg will enter this game with an 8.7 K/9 and will look to build upon that. The Twins have been hitting much better as of late, owning a team .282 average with a .477 SLG over the past week. At this point though, I’d be firing up Strasburg regardless.
CHC (-168) vs. CIN – Jason Hammel –– Hammel has quite the friendly salary going into this afternoon for a pitcher that has an ERA of 1.00 and a WHIP of 1.11. Hammel has been fantastic in his three starts this season, averaging 20.6 DKFPPG. Hammel has already faced the Reds this season, going six innings allowing no runs on four hits with a 4:3 K:BB ratio. Even with all 15 games on the slate, Hammel should be in consideration here with how low his salary is.
LAD vs COL – 11.5 runs – Even with the wind blowing out, yesterday’s matchup in Coors Field only saw six runs. Today, we once again have a high run total, but this time the wind will be blowing from right to left at 16 mph. What makes this game enticing is the starting pitchers that will be going in this one. Jordan Lyles will take the hill for the Rockies while Alex Wood will be in for the Dodgers. Both of these starting pitchers have an ERA north of five. This game could feature some bullpen action early. Also, I have some stats on Wood pitching in Coors Field that you might be interested in reading later on in this article.
OAK vs. TOR – 9 runs – A bit surprising to see two teams that have been struggling offensively in the second highest scoring game of the day. Eric Surkamp will be taking on Drew Hutchison in this contest. Hutchison is being called up from Triple-A to get this start. His season has been decent down in the minors, owning a 4.11 ERA with a 20:6 K:BB ratio. I’m a bit on the fence with this matchup, and I don’t know if this is a game I will go out of my way to target.
1) TEX vs CHW (U.S. Cellular Field) – Winds will be blowing in from right field at 14 mph.
2) BAL vs. KCR (Kauffman Stadium) – In a huge boost to the hitters, we have wind blowing out to left field at 21 mph.
3) MIA vs. SFG (AT&T Park) – Once again, another wind factor for today. Winds at AT&T Park will be blowing out to right at 18 mph.
Park Factors are ranked on a scale of 1.000. If an offensive category has a rating of 1.000 or above, it favors the hitters. Anything below 1.000 favors the pitchers.
- Coors Field – LAD vs COL – It should come as no surprise that Coors was ranked the best ballpark for hitters in 2015. As I always say, it will also rank first in 2016. Last season, it had a favorable rating in every single offensive category you can think of.
- Great American Ballpark – CHC vs. CIN – The Great American Ballpark owned a favorable rating for hitters in every offensive category except triples in ’15.
- ATT Park – MIA vs. SFG -Ranked the worst ballpark for hitters in 2015, AT&T Park only favored hitters in triples.
- Angels Stadium of Anaheim – SEA vs. LAA – Ranked the second worst ballpark for hitters in 2015, LAA Stadium only favored hitters in walks for 2015.
Splits to Start
Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
|Worst vs. LHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs. LHB||OPS||AVG|
|Shane Greene||1.107||0.363||Drew Smyly||0.507||0.157|
|Mike Wright||0.919||0.322||Alex Wood||0.517||0.223|
|Wily Peralta||0.889||0.309||Stephen Strasburg||0.572||0.202|
Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
|Worst vs. RHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs. RHB||OPS||AVG|
|Drew Hutchison||0.906||0.33||Jerad Eickhoff||0.458||0.168|
|Mike Wright||0.855||0.258||Jacob deGrom||0.475||0.181|
|Derek Holland||0.848||0.264||Mike Leake||0.635||0.218|
Batter vs. Pitcher Splits
|Giancarlo Stanton||Matt Cain||20||2.95|
|J.D. Martinez||Carlos Carrasco||18||2.88|
|David Ortiz||Scott Feldman||18||2.83|
- Stanton does what he does best when he faces Cain, hits home runs. Stanton is 6-20 against Cain with three home runs, five RBIs and five walks.
- Martinez and Carrasco have matched up only 18 times, with Martinez certainly grabbing the upper hand. Martinez is 6-18 with two doubles, two home runs, seven RBIs and one walk.
- Finally, Ortiz has hit two bombs off of Feldman in his 18 at-bats. Ortiz is 5-18 with two home runs, eight RBIs and three walks.
Pitcher to Build Around
Stephen Strasburg – WAS vs MIN – $11,500 – He’s the most expensive starting pitcher on the slate today, but I have to roll with Strasburg over Carrasco in this one. Carrasco saves you only $500, and even though both of these pitchers have great strikeout potential and facing teams that strikeout often, the Tigers can hit the ball consistently while the Twins don’t. The Twins are striking out on average nine times per game, which jumps right into the wheelhouse for Strasburg with his 8.7 K/9 this season. We have a lot of options on this Sunday slate, but Strasburg feels like the safest one to me.
Also, if you’re looking to go to Jacob deGrom today, be aware that he’s on a very strict pitch limit of around 85 pitches today.
Heavy Hitter to Pay For
Anthony Rizzo – CHC vs CIN (Alfredo Simon) – $5,200 – Rizzo is only batting .185 on the season, yet he still averages 9.9 DKFPPG. While he may not be hitting for average at this point, he’s still been crushing the ball when he does make contact. With six home runs on the season, Rizzo owns a .430 wOBA against right-handed pitching in the early going ni 2016. He faces off against Alfredo Simon, who owned a .369 wOBA against left-handed batters last season. Simon is prone to give up home runs, and this is a prime spot for Rizzo here.
Save Big by Drafting…
Derek Dietrich – MIA vs SFG (Matt Cain) – $3,000 – Dietrich is a sneaky play on the day because of his extremely low price tag and his success against right-handed pitching. Dietrich hasn’t always been an everyday player, but he’s been drawing the start at third base the past three days. He would face off against Matt Cain, who has been really struggling against left-handed batters the past two seasons, posting a wOBA of .404 and .329 in his injury plagued seasons. Possessing some power and hitting sixth in the lineup, Dietrich could be more than just a money saving punt play today.
Stack Em Up
COL vs. LAD (Alex Wood) – I know it’s not easy to get a COL stack when they’re playing at Coors Field. However, the matchup today feels all too good not to do so. The Rockies face Alex Wood today, who hasn’t seen much success in the early going in 2016. In three career starts at Coors Field, Wood owns a 12.27 ERA allowing 15 runs on 21 hits in just 11 innings. All the Rockies today?