The Wednesday edition of the MLB Cheat Sheet brings you day 2 of a full game slate (except for Cleveland and the White Sox, they didn’t want to join the party and play this afternoon instead.) DraftKings once again has some massive prizes to give away tonight, so mae sure you reserve your spot early. After I take down one of these events tonight, I have my victory dance all planned out. As always, if you want to “get at me” you can always use the Twitter machine @SBuchanan24
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
– David Price vs. New York Yankees (-205) – Price is the heavy HEAVY favorite tonight against the Yankees. From a non statistical point of view, this could be a game of redemption for Price. His last start against the Yankees, Price gave up nine straight hits to the Yankees in what was by far the worst pitching performance of his career. That alone is an extra boost for Price tonight. Vegas thinks so too.
– J.A. Happ vs. Houston Astros(-168) – The nine year veteran gets the nod against the Astros tonight and comes in as the second most favored pitcher. The Astros roster has had an extremely small sample of Happ, only 29 at bats. However, in that time frame, they’re batting a combined .069. It’s small, but noteworthy.
– Jeremy Guthrie vs. Minnesota Twins (-165) – For a very short amount of time, I thought we were going to have our first article where the top three favored pitchers of the night wouldn’t be matched up against the Twins. I feel stupid for thinking that was possible. Current memebers of the Twins that have faced Guthrie are batting .284 against him, but the Twins just have trouble scoring (except last night.)
Highest Scoring Games
– San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – Get excited everybody, we have games at Coors Field again! This game comes in at a whopping 10 runs today! However, be warned that all hitters will be priced accordingly for what I like to call the “Coors effect.” However, you’d be crazy to NOT have some exposure to this game. Third day in a row. Whatever. I care about the environment and I recycle.
– Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (Rogers Centre) – Today’s second highest total comes in at 8.5 runs. With a matchup of Ubaldo Jimenez and Aaron Sanchez, this completely has the making of an offense heavy matchup. I’m still not convinced that Jimenez has found his second wind and continue to pitch like he has thus far. Vegas seems to agree with me.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
– Clayton Kershaw vs San Francisco Giants- Did you expect someone else? Kershaw leads us off today with a 0.96 ERA against lefties. I have a funny feeling he’s going to be showcased as being tough against righties. Just a hunch.
– Aaron Sanchez vs. Baltimore Orioles – Sanchez comes into today’s start with a 1.54 ERA against lefties. His 7.71 K/9 isn’t awful either. Just remember, Vegas has this game as one of the higher scoring games of the night.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
– Clayton Kershaw vs. San Francisco Giants – Looks like righties really give Kershaw a run for his money. His ERA against them is a whole run higher, at 1.96. Maybe you should really reconsider starting Kershaw. He’s starting to lose it! His K/9 is at 10.87. Ugh, send him down to the minors!
– Doug Fister vs. St. Louis Cardinals – Fister is second tonight with his 2.36 ERA. While that number is good, if you’re really looking to get the maximum value out of a pitcher, Fister is not your guy. His 4.71 K/9 is by far the lowest by a pitcher in this category.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
– Ubadlo Jimenez vs. Toronto Blue Jays – Is tonight the night Jimenez comes back down to earth and starts pitching like we’re used to? The Blue Jays don’t have many lefties in their lineup, but Jimenez struggles against them with a 5.43 ERA.
– Kyle Kendrick vs. San Diego Padres – Kendrick isn’t that much better against lefties, although I have a hard time thinking your lineup was going to be built around him to begin with. His 5.34 ERA against them is nothing to be impressed by.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
– Jimmy Nelson vs. Cincinnati Reds – Besides sounding like someone I could have a few beers with, Nelson is not a fan of facing right handed batters. His 5.03 ERA is the worst on the night. Facing an offense that put up 16 runs last night, it sounds like he’s going to need a few after the game tonight.
– Joe Kelly vs. Tampa Bay Rays – Kelly said in the beginning of the year that he was going to win the Cy Young award. That’s great and all, but first he’s going to have to work on getting righties out. His 4.86 ERA against them isn’t exactly a one way ticket to getting that award.
– Starling Marte ($4600) – Marte is coming off a disappointing 2014, so naturally, he’s trying to right the ship. He’s 7 for his last 22 with four homeruns, ten RBIs, and two stolen bases.
– Zack Cozart ($3500) – I love when these guys start heating up. They bring incredible value to your lineup in terms of price and potential low ownership. Cozart is 11 for his last 23 with four homeruns, seven RBIs and five runs scored.
– Josh Donaldson ($4800) – He’s still getting it done. Donaldson is 12 for his last 25 with three homeruns, eight RBIs, and seven runs scored. Donaldson is literally perfect in that Blue Jays lineup. He’s going to be a fantasy monster this year.
– Atlanta Braves at New Yor Mets – For this one, looks as if they’re expecting showers between 7-8 pm. After that, it should clear up. A delay is definetely in play here.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
– Madison Bumgarner ($9800) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers- The obvious choice is Kershaw, but it’s damn near impossible to build a competitive lineup with Kershaw taking up $12,500 of your payroll. That’s a whopping 25% of your salary! Anyways, Bumgarner has great numbers against the current Dodger lineup, they’re only hitting .217 against him. Vegas is projecting this one at 5.5 runs. It’s a pitching duel folks!
Superstar Worth Paying For…
– Nelson Cruz ($5200) – As I was scouring all the stats for tomorrow, none of the higher priced bats really had anything stellar against tonights starting pitchers. So I’m simply going to go the Cruz route because of the homeruns. He does have three against Hernandez. With his recent power surge, it heightens his chances of hitting another bomb.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
– Aramis Ramirez ($3200) – Ramirez has enjoyed his time against Johnny Cueto. Against Cueto, Ramirez is 16-45 lifetime with five homeruns, eleven RBIs, and a .778 slugging percentage. I can’t imagine myself making a lineup without him in it.