It’s the Monday edition of the MLB Cheat Sheet! Hopefully everyone had a successful weekend. Mine was less than stellar. I picked basically every pitcher that did not have a good night on Saturday. I even had one that got ejected (thanks Yordano Ventura) Today seems like a great day to right the ship. As always, you can get me on the Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
– Hisashi Iwakuma vs. Houston Astros (-172) – Iwakuma, in my opinion, is still an underrated pitcher in the majors. With a career ERA at 3.15, you’d think he’d be talked about more than he is. Regardless, current Astros players that have faced him are hitting a combined .245 against Iwakuma.
– Edinson Volquez vs. Minnesota Twins (-162) – Another Cheat Sheet, another pitcher favored against the Twins. Believe it or not, the Twins are slowly making their way up the ranks in terms of team batting average, but they still aren’t good. Currently sitting at .223, you still can’t trust them to really take on any starting pitcher.
– Matt Shoemaker vs. Oakland A’s (-135) – After Volquez, most of the starting pitchers are bunched together in terms of who’s favored. So don’t necessarily take Shoemaker as a big favorite tonight. Shoemaker has had limited exposure to the current A’s roster, so treat this as what could be a decent value pick tonight.
Highest Scoring Games
– San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – Get excited everybody, we have games at Coors Field again! This game comes in at a whopping 10 runs today! However, be warned that all hitters will be priced accordingly for what I like to call the “Coors effect.” However, you’d be crazy to NOT have some exposure to this game.
– New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers (Comerica Park) – Today’s second highest total comes in at 8.5 runs. Looking at a matchup of CC Sabathia and Alfredo Simon, this game has the potential to get out of hand. I’d bank on Sabathia losing it before Simon. Sabathia has a 4.00 career ERA at Comerica.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
– Jake Arrieta vs. Pittsburgh Pirates- Arrieta, like Iwakuma, is underrated in my opinion. Someone who doesn’t have the big name presence just yet. Lucky for you, you get this top secret information and know he owns a 2.18 ERA against lefties.
– Jorge De La Rosa vs. San Diego Padres – While De La Rosa does have a great ERA against lefties, a 2.77 ERA, I want you to remember a couple of factors for today. He’s coming off the disabled list today, he’s facing a much better Padres team and its at Coors field. Just saying.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
– Wily Peralta vs. Cincinnati Reds – Peralta always seems to make this list when he starts. His ERA against righties is still stellar, currently sitting at 2.08.
– Matt Shoemaker vs. Oakland A’s – Shoemaker surprised me with this number. His 2.78 ERA is second best for today. I’m starting to like him more and more today’s against the A’s.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
– Anthony Desclafani vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Yikes. If you’re a left handed batter, you’ve had this game circled on your calendar. Desclafani really struggles against lefties, as he owns a 6.89 ERA.
– A. J. Burnett vs. Chicago Cubs – Burnett is someone you truly don’t know what you’re going to get from him when he takes the mound. Just going by the numbers, his 5.22 ERA is the second worst on the day.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
– Anthony Desclafani vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Good lord Tony, how can you feel good about today?! Besides having horrible numbers against lefties, he has horrible numbers against righties! His 5.71 ERA is a brutal number. Brewers stack, anyone?
– John Danks vs. Cleveland Indians– Danks comes into today with a 4.96 ERA against righties. The Indians aren’t exactly crushing the ball right now, but it’s stil worth noting.
-Nelson Cruz ($4900) – Cruz is on an absolute tear right now. He’s hitting .354 with eight homeruns and 14 RBIs on the year. Five of those RBIs came last night in another monster game in which he also hit two homeruns. No one is hotter than Cruz.
– Lorenzo Cain ($4700) – Cain, along with the rest of the Royals lineup, can hit. But more specifically, Cain is 9 for his last 22 with a homerun, six RBIs and three stolen bases. Cruz might be the hottest hitter, but Cain is doing it all.
– Alex Rodriguez ($4600) – Don’t look now, but Rodriguez is having a stellar 2015. He’s 6 for his last 18 hitting three homeruns and knocking in five. Might not hurt to roster the aging Yankee, he apparently can still hit.
– Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates – Well folks, we had a good run. We made it through four straight articles where we had no weather concerns. Here I was thinking it was my doing. Tonight, we have a 55% chance of rain in this one. Plan accordingly.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
– Hisashi Iwakuma ($8800) vs. Houston Astros- I’m really liking Iwakuma tonight, I think I’ve stated it about four times now. The Astros are a less than stellar offense, and quite honestly, at $8,800, you can certainly roster some prolific hitters tonight.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
– Nelson Cruz ($4900) – I’m going to be very honest here, I didn’t look at any numbers that Cruz has against Wojciechowski (not a typo) At this point, I don’t think it really matters. Cruz is playing out of his mind, and it’s hard to not roster him. His ownership will be high, but for good reason.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
– Marwin Gonzalez ($2700) – I know, I know. I’m recommending a hitter that is going against the pitcher I said to use. But, it’s hard not to let you know about Gonzalez. His batting average against Iwakuma is .583 with a homerun. For that money, it’s hard to pass it up. Even if they’re dueling against each other in your lineup.