WATCH: IS MAX SCHERZER THE TOP PITCHING OPTION TONIGHT?
Tuesday brings us the monster 15-game slate of baseball. We have a lot of decision to make and such little time, so let’s dive right into all the information for tonight. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Chicago Cubs (-181) vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Brett Anderson ($6,600) – Brett Anderson would hardly put a dent into your salary cap tonight, as he and the Cubs are the heavy favorites for tonight. Anderson has faced this Brewers team once already and posted 15.2 fantasy points, allowing one run on five hits in 5.2 innings with a 4:1 K: BB ratio. Facing one of the top strikeout prone teams against right-handed batters, Anderson certainly has some upside with his price range and could be a nice cheap SP2 on the night. I’m not going crazy with exposure to him, as I think we should be cautious. It should also be noted this game has the highest projected run total of the night.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs (9.5 Runs) – The Brewers are projected at 4.1 runs tonight, which isn’t usually a number that gives me all the feels when I’m looking to select a pitcher. I think Anderson has some upside with his price as I mentioned, but it certainly goes without saying to be cautious.
As for the Cubs, they have the highest projected run total of the night at 5.5 runs. They’ll face Jimmy Nelson, whose gotten off to an excellent start in 2017. Nelson has allowed two runs on nine hits in 13 innings with an impressive 13:2 K: BB ratio. One of those impressive starts did come against the Cubs team, striking out eight of them in six innings. I certainly will have some Cubs exposure tonight, as I don’t think Nelson will continue at this rate, especially with pitching at Wrigley tonight.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds (9.5 Runs) – The other game projected at 9.5 runs is the Orioles visiting the Reds. Kevin Gausman will take the mound opposing Bronson Arroyo in this matchup. The Orioles are projected at 5.1 runs tonight, which feels completely doable when looking at Arroyo’s performance thus far. In two starts, he’s allowed 11 runs on 13 hits in just 10 innings with only a 5:3 K:BB ratio. While it’s still very early in the season, it truly looks as Arroyo has nothing left in the tank and opposing hitters have been feasting. Arroyo has always had issues with lefties in his career, so names like Seth Smith and Chris Davis should be headlining your Orioles stack tonight.
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves (SunTrust Park) – Atlanta will have a chance of thunderstorms all throughout the night until the very late evening. It looks as if they can squeeze this game in, but as always keep a close eye on this one.
Park Factors are ranked on a scale of 1.000. Anything above 1.000 is favorable towards the hitters. Anything below that mark favors pitchers.
- Kauffman Stadium – San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals – Kauffman Stadium checks in as our number one ballpark for hitters tonight. In 2016, all offensive categories were favored here except home runs.
- Rogers Centre – Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays – Rogers Centre gets the nod as our number two ballpark for hitters tonight. All offensive categories were favored here in 2016.
- Minute Maid Park – L.A. Angels vs. Houston Astros -Minute Maid Park was one of the worst ballparks for hitters last season. Triples were the only category that got the nod in 2016.
- Dodger Stadium – Colorado Rockies vs. L.A. Dodgers – Dodger Stadium has always been cruel to hitters and last year was no different. No offensive categories got the nod at this ballpark.
Pitcher to Build Around
Michael Fulmer -Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays – $8,900 -I don’t think this is a slate where we should be paying top-shelf prices for pitching. I think Fulmer at $8,900 is a nice price point, facing a team that owns the highest K% against righties so far this season at 28.1%. Fulmer certainly as the strikeout potential, owning a 7.8 K/9 since he landed in the majors last season. Fulmer has been great at Comerica Park, posting a .279 wOBA with a .341 SLG and a .289 OBP to opposing hitters since last season.
Heavy Hitter to Pay For
Chris Davis – Baltimore Orioles vs. Bronson Arroyo – $4,700 – As I mentioned earlier, Davis is one of the headliners in a potential Orioles stack with how poorly Arroyo has pitched against lefties. Davis owned a .362 wOBA against righties last season with a .487 SLG and a .341 OBP. With how poorly Arroyo has been pitching, I can envision a scenario where the Orioles won’t be able to pounce and get to him early.
Save Big by Drafting…
Michael Conforto – New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies – $3,500 – I love this spot for Conforto tonight with his cheap salary to boot. He’ll face off against Zach Eflin, who in his short time in the majors owns a .388 wOBA against lefties with a .603 SLG and a .336 OBP. Conforto at home owns a career .379 wOBA with a .531 SLG and a .358 OBP. At just $3,500, Conforto should fit nice and snug in your lineup.
Stack Em Up
Kansas City Royals vs. San Francisco Giants (Matt Cain) – I don’t think this is necessarily a sneaky stack, but I think it’s completely plausible to think it can go a bit more overlooked on a 15-game slate. With this game taking place at Kauffman Stadium, I can’t see how Cain comes out of this game unscathed. Granted, Cain hasn’t been healthy much over the past few years, but since 2014, he’s posted wOBA on the road of .361, .412, and .365. The Royals hit extremely well at home, and the majority of their hitters are priced under $4K. I think this will be a successful group of hitters on this monster 15-game slate.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.