We have a full 15 game MLB slate today, Saturday April 18th. There are some interesting pitching match-ups today and we get to see what Kris Bryant can do in the major leagues, too bad he gets a second tough pitcher in Tyson Ross. Let’s take a look at today’s info and please, if you have any thoughts, questions etc, hit me up on twitter! @Razzle11Grinds
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
– Felix Hernandez ($11,200) vs. Texas Rangers (-220): This Rangers offense is not as bad as it was a year ago, however going up against the ace that is King Felix I think they are over matched from the start in this one.
– Jordan Zimmermann ($8,700) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-200): Zimmermann was lit up in Boston during his last start, however in his first start of 2015 went 6 innings while striking out 4 and allowing just 1 run. The Phillies lineup just does not have a lot of pop and I think that plays perfectly into what Zimmermann likes to do as he is not an extremely high strikeout pitcher but he is capable of getting you 7+ in a game.
– Zach Greinke ($9,600) vs. Colorado Rockies (-180): Greinke gets to face the Rockies at home and as we have learned, the Rockies just are not the same offense away from Coors. They certainly have a respectable lineup and offer as much pop as just about any major league lineup. With that said, the Dodgers offense should be able to feast on Lyles in this one and Greinke should be inline for the always important W.
Highest Scoring Games
– Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox (Fenway Park) – This game features two explosive offenses with an O/U of 9 runs. Bucholz and Tillman both have ERA’s to start 2015 at nearly 8.00 and if those numbers hold true, we could certainly see two teams nearing double digits.
– Atlanta Braves @ Toronto Blue Jays (Rogers Centre) – I was a little shocked at the 8.5 O/U for this game as Dickey can certainly hurl some gems and Alex Wood is not exactly terrible. With that said, the Rogers Centre is prime for hitting and there should be a few hit into the stands in this one.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
– Chris Sale vs. Detroit – Over the last 3 seasons, Sale has held lefties to an avg of .184 with a slugging % of .238 while striking out a lefty once every three at bats.
– C.J. Wilson vs. Houston – Over the last 3 seasons, lefties have hit just .195 against Wilson with just a .271 slugging %. Left handers strike out once every 3.5 at-bats against Wilson.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
– Felix Hernandez vs. Texas Rangers– Felix has held righties to a .220 avg with an OBP of just .267 while striking out one for every 3.3 at bats.
– Jacob deGrom vs. Miami Marlins– deGrom’s sample size is basically just one season but he has held righties to a .231 avg while striking out a batter every 3.5 at bats from the right side. He also only allows lefties to hit .224 against him.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
– Colby Lewis vs. Seattle Mariners- Over the last 3 seasons Lewis has given up an avg of .295 to go with a .480 slugging % while allowing a HR for every 28 at bats and an extra base hit every 10 at bats.
– Jordan Lyles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – Lyles gets hit to the tune of a .285 avg, an OBP of .366 and a slg % of .455 by lefties.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
– Phil Hughes vs. Cleveland Indians – Hughes allows a batting avg of .295 with a slugging % of .497 to right handed hitters over the last 3 years, while giving up a HR for every 23 at bats.
– Vance Worley vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Worley gets hit hard by both righties and lefties as he allows right handed hitters to hit .297, while lefties hit .303. He certainly could be listed in both spots as he allows base runners at an excellent rate.
– It doesn’t appear that there are any weather concerns at the moment for today’s games. Make sure to double check all weather conditions as it gets closer to the first pitch, however.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
– Felix Hernandez ($11,200) vs. Texas Rangers – Hernandez has 58 strikeouts in 241 at bats against this current Rangers team and he gets to face them in the pitcher friendly Safeco Park today. As the largest favorite on the board today, I think he is somebody you have to put in your SP1 slot and lock in what should be an excellent performance.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
– Freddie Freeman ($4200) vs. R.A. Dickey – It is tough to ignore BvP when the hitter is 10 for 21 with 6 extra base hits (2 of which are Home Runs) against a starting pitcher. I think this holds even more merit due to the knuckleball being Dickey’s pitch of choice and I think its easier to quantify success against that pitch type.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
– Jean Segura ($3,800) vs. Vance Worley – Segura looks to be the new lead off hitter for the Brewers while Gomez is on the DL and that is a great sign for what we can expect to see from Segura as this Brewers offense is too solid to be dormant for long and Segura is 3 for 5 with a Home Run against Worley in his career.