WATCH: STOLEN BASE TARGETS


After four afternoon games, Major League Baseball has 11 games ready to roll tonight. Check out these two bargain pitchers (under $8K) and three bargain hitters (under $3.5K) who I think are set up to produce despite their low salaries.

Pitchers

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Sean Newcomb – ATL vs. SF – $6,500

Newcomb will make his third start of the season against the Giants at SunTrust Park tonight. The 24-year-old rookie dazzled in his MLB debut holding the Mets to just one unearned run in 6.1 innings allowing four hits and two walks while striking out seven. He took a hard-luck loss and still posted 24.7 DKFP.

His second start wasn’t quite as smooth as the Marlins scored three runs on five hits over six innings. He only struck out three in that start while handing out four free passes. It was still a quality start, though, and he finished with 8.1 DKFP. Tonight, Newcomb takes on the Giants who are 28th in the majors in runs scored and 27th in team batting average. Against lefties, the Giants are hitting just .247 as a team with only a .673 OPS against southpaws which are only better than the Padres. If Newcomb can limit his walks, he could be set up for a great start tonight as he looks to stick in the Atlanta rotation in place of the struggling Bartolo Colón.

Jeff Hoffman  – COL vs. ARI – $6,600

The risks with Hoffman are obvious: he’s pitching at Coors Field against the power-packed Diamondbacks’ lineup. However, I think he’s worth a look since he has been pitching so well lately. He did decently in his last start which came at elevation, and I think he’ll post another solid outing tonight.

Hoffman has allowed only one earned run in each of his last four outings going 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA and holding opponents to just a .185 batting average. He has a 0.94 WHIP over his six outings this season and is a perfect 4-0. He has yet to face the D-Backs this season, but he’s a solid affordable option coming in with excellent form for under $7K. He has more of a track record of success than Newcomb, but the matchup makes him riskier.


Hitters

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Alex Bregman – 3B – HOU @ OAK – $3,400

After scuffling early in the month, Bregman’s price dropped below $3K the last two nights, but he has started the Astros’ series against Oakland with a pair of good games and is set up for more success tonight as he faces lefty Sean Manaea. In the first two games of the series, Bregman has totaled 33 DKFP going 4-7 with three doubles, two RBI, a walk and a stolen base.

On the season, Bregman is hitting .254 with a .741 OPS, but his splits definitely favor him on the road where he is 31-114 (.281) with a .822 OPS. He also has hit southpaws well going 16-53 (.302) against lefties with a .902 OPS. The 23-year-old hasn’t had success against Manaea going 0-3 in his career, but he will look to stay hot and continue his success in Oakland where he has a 1.298 career OPS.

Odùbel Herrera – OF – PHI vs. STL – $3,100

While César Hernández is sidelined with an oblique injury, the Phillies have batted Herrera at the top of their lineup and he has continued to return to his breakout form from a year ago. Herrera had a miserable May hitting just .183 with a .453 OPS, but he has turned things around in June going 26-76 (.342) with an impressive .951 OPS.

Herrera has three multi-hit games in his last four contests and nine multi-hit efforts in his 17 games this month. Tonight, he’ll take on Michael Wacha who has been struggling recently. Herrera is 2-8 with a double and two walks against Wacha in their previous meetings, and he’s a very nice outfield option at this price hitting leadoff tonight.

Ryan Goins – SS – TOR @ TEX– $2,900

Since the Blue Jays don’t have Devon Travis, Goins is finally getting regular playing time for the Blue Jays and he is making the most of his opportunity. Despite an anemic .215 batting average on the season, Goins has at least seven DKFP in each of his last four games.

Goins is 5-16 (.313) over his last week with a double, triple, two runs scored and three RBI. He brings a little bit of pop to the Blue Jays’ order and has hit safely in each of his last five games where he has gotten multiple at-bats. Tonight, he and Toronto face Tyson Ross in the third game of their four-game set in Texas. Ross looked strong in his return from over a year off, but he has struggled at times in his career specifically with lefties. Since Goins is a lefty and should continue to get the starts against righties, look for him to be a solid sub-$3K play tonight.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Z.Thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on.  Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.