SWISH ANALYTICS: BEST VALUE PLAYS APRIL 7-21


Friday night is a great night for fantasy baseball players with all 30 teams in action. If you stock up on ace pitchers or big bats, though, you may need to balance out your roster with some cheaper options. That’s where today’s Bargain bin can help you out. Each Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, you can find my top two starting pitchers under $8K, and my top three hitters under $3.5K here in the Bargain Bin on DraftKings Playbook. Let’s jump right into today’s bargain picks:


Pitchers

Dylan Bundy – SP – BAL vs. BOS – $6,900

Bundy has started the season 2-1 with a pair of great outings against the struggling Blue Jays sandwiched around a loss in Boston. In that game against the Red Sox, he only allowed three runs on seven hits in 6.1 innings. He had actually only allowed two runs before his bullpen let him down. He’ll face Boston again tonight in a rematch, but this time he’ll be at home at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

In each of his two good starts this season, Bundy has produced over 25 DKFP allowing a total of one run in 13 innings and striking out 14 to go with just one walk.

CC Sabathia – SP – NYY @ PIT – $7,400

The Yankees have gotten a throwback season from CC so far this year as the former Cy Young winner has returned to great form after a few disappointing seasons. Sabathia is 2-0 in his first three starts of the season with a 1.04 WHIP and 1.47 ERA. He has picked up 11 strikeouts to go with seven walks, but four of those walks came in his one less spectacular start in Baltimore. He bounced from that outing with his best start of the year last Saturday, holding the Cardinals to just one run on three hits in 7.1 innings and piling up an impressive 27.5 DKFP.

Tonight, he and the Yankees start a new series in Pittsburgh as they take on the offensively struggling Pirates. Pittsburgh has scored the third-fewest runs this season and only scored a total of three in their series sweep at the hands of the Cardinals. Sabathia should be able to keep them under wraps tonight, and he makes a solid option even though he isn’t the strikeout pitcher he was earlier in his career.


Hitters

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Ryon Healy – 1B/3B – OAK vs. SEA – $3,300

After a sluggish start, Healy has been heating up and comes into tonight’s game with a modest four-game hitting streak, which has boosted his average from just .170 to its current level of .268 (15-56). Last night, he went 3-3 with a double, run scored, two RBI and a walk for 19 DKFP.

Healy has gone 7-9 over his last four games with a pair of doubles and a pair of walks. The A’s offense has found a little bit of a groove and scored nine runs in back-to-back games. Healy and Oakland will look to keep things rolling tonight against Hisashi Iwakuma who has a 5.40 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in his first three starts of the year. Healy has gone 2-8 with a RBI against Iwakuma in the past, and he’ll be a nice value play from the middle of the Oakland batting order tonight.

César Hernández – 2B – PHI vs. ATL – $3,400

Hernández has cooled down a little bit over the last two games going 0-9 against the Mets but still chipping in seven DKFP thanks to a walk and a stolen base. However, the Phillies’ leadoff man continues to be a good option since he gets lots of ABs and can produce value a number of ways. He’s still hitting a robust .299 with an impressive .855 OPS. He’s 3-for-4 in stolen base attempts and has hit three homers to go with his 13 runs scored and eight RBI.

Tonight, the Phillies come home to take on an easier matchup than Noah Syndergaard, who shut down Hernández last night. The Braves come to Citizens Bank Park tonight with Bartolo Colón getting the start. Hernández is 6-22 (.273) against Colon in their past meetings including a double and three RBI. He won’t qualify for the Bargain Bin much longer, so get him in your lineup tonight at this discounted price.

Kevin Kiermaier – OF – TB vs. HOU – $3,400

The Rays’ Kiermaier has been on fire over the past week, and his spot near the top of the order for Tampa allows him plenty of opportunity like Hernández in Philadelphia. Over the last week, Kiermaier has gone 10-27 (.370) with two doubles, a home run, two stolen bases, and four walks. He has at least 14 DKFP in three straight games and four of his last five.

The Rays open their series tonight against the Astros as they take on Mike Fiers. There isn’t much direct history between Fiers and Kiermaier, but Fiers has had issues on the road over the last few seasons. Kiermaier’s hot bat makes him a great value option in the outfield.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Z.Thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on.  Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.