MLB-Value-Picks

The MLB has 10 games on tap for a busy Wednesday night of fantasy baseball. Of the 20 starting pitchers taking the hill, there are four who check in with salaries over $10K. If you’re planning on building around an ace or two, you can go with an affordable SP2 or grab some cheap bats to help balance out your spending and fit everything in under the salary cap.

Check out my top five affordable plays for this Wednesday listed below. I’ve highlighted a pair of pitchers and three hitters, who should be able to outperform their price point and bring great value based on their form, matchup and potential.

PLR YONNY CHIRINOS, TB vs. LAD, $7,800

Chirinos is expected to enter the game after Ryne Stanek ($5,000) serves as opener. He looked sharp in a similar situation last Friday, going 4 2/3 against the Yankees and allowing just four hits and no runs while striking out two. Even without many strikeouts or a win, it was a solid bounce-back outing for him, and he finished with 12.1 DKFP. He has at least that many DKFP in five of his nine games this season including three games over 23 DKFP early in the season.

The drop in strikeouts lately and his six homers allowed in his past five games are cause for a bit of concern, but I still think he’s a solid option against the Dodgers, who he has never faced before. Chirinos has a high ceiling and gets the benefit of not needing to work five innings for a win since he’s coming out of the bullpen. He’ll look to keep his success rolling from his most recent outing as he takes the mound at the Trop, where he is 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA this season.


SP JOSÉ UREÑA, MIA at DET, $6,200

Ureña tends to be hit-or-miss and doesn’t usually get much run support from Miami’s struggling lineup. He does have a good matchup against Detroit, though, since the Tigers rank second-to-last in runs scored this season and have hit just .219 as a team. Only the Marlins have hit fewer homers than the Tigers, who have managed just 14 runs in their past six games while hitting a miserable .165 as a team.

Contrary to what his 1-6 record would seem to indicate, Ureña has allowed just two runs or fewer in five of his past six starts. He has at least 15 DKFP in four of those six outings despite facing the Phillies twice, the Braves and the Cubs. In a better matchup, Ureña should be a solid bargain play and even could get an elusive win if his teammates can get to lefty Daniel Norris ($6,900), who comes in struggling.


2B/3B HANSER ALBERTO, BAL vs. NYY, $3,600

Alberto has owned the Yankees in the first two games of this series in Baltimore. He has gone a combined 6-for-8 with a double, a home run, four runs scored and three RBI. In fact, he’s punished them all season, going 12-for-25 (.480) against the organization he joined and left this past offseason without ever playing a game for.

He has hit in the leadoff spot against southpaws recently and could lead off against C.C. Sabathia ($7,400) on Wednesday. Against lefties, Alberto has gone 19-for-43 (.442) with two doubles, two homers and a 1.070 OPS. He’s in a good matchup and surging over the past few games, so take advantage of this price while you can.


1B ROWDY TELLEZ, TOR vs. BOS, $3,300

Tellez swatted a pair of homers Tuesday in Toronto and now has eight bombs on the season to go with 24 RBI. He has hit safely in six straight games and is 17-for-60 (.283) this month with three doubles and three home runs. Rowdy doesn’t usually start against lefties but should be in the lineup against Rick Porcello ($8,200).

Porcello has struggled on the road this season, going 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA and also has struggled against left-handed hitters, letting them hit .289 with a .870 OPS. Tellez and the rest of Toronto’s left-handed batters will be in a good spot, and Tellez is a great way to get a middle-of-the-order bat with power potential for an affordable salary.


2B STARLIN CASTRO, MIA at DET, $2,900

The Marlins’ lineup has struggled, but Castro still has been productive at times, especially against southpaws like Norris. Castro has gone 16-for-42 (.381) with two homers and a .934 OPS against southpaws while hitting just .173 with a .437 OPS against righties.

In the series opener Tuesday, Castro went 1-for-4 with a walk and has hit safely in nine of his past 11 contests. Castro usually hits in the cleanup spot for Miami especially against lefties, and he’ll be a great option sub-$3K play if he’s in that spot against Norris on Wednesday.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Z.Thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on.  Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.