We’ve got a jam-packed 15-game MLB main slate here on Friday night, so every team is in play as a stacking consideration. Here are my top stacks to target.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. HOUSTON ASTROS
Tommy Milone ($7,400) surprisingly has had some solid outings against the Astros this season, but I’ll bank on seeing regression at some point. Milone has a 6.31 ERA in 45 2/3 innings since the All-Star break, and Houston has the RHBs to give him a lot of trouble.
The Mariners’ bullpen only should help the ‘Stros continue mashing, as it ranks 23rd in baseball with a 4.87 ERA. Houston’s offense now ranks second in the majors in runs per game at home, at 5.83. The Astros are coming off an 11-run outburst Thursday and are projected for another 6.5 runs on this slate.
Players to ConsiderAlex Bregman ($5,500)
Yordan Alvarez ($5,500)
Jose Altuve ($5,100)
Yuli Gurriel ($4,900)
Michael Brantley ($4,500)
Aledmys Diaz ($3,900)
2. CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Dillon Peters ($5,400) has been nothing special this season, with a 4.13 ERA, starting in seven of his 12 outings. He’s regressed a little in his past two starts, giving up nine runs in 11 innings, and now faces a hot White Sox offense. Chicago’s scored six or more runs in three straight games against a solid Indians pitching staff.
Peters typically doesn’t last long when he starts and is backed by the Angels’ 21st-ranked bullpen (4.79 ERA). With a 5.3-run projection but no bats priced over $4,500, the White Sox have some strong value here. I’ll tease an MLB best bet here as well, as Lucas Giolito ($12,100) feels underpriced from a DK Sportsbook perspective on the moneyline.
Players to ConsiderTim Anderson ($4,500)
Jose Abreu ($4,500)
Yoan Moncada ($4,300)
Eloy Jimenez ($4,100)
James McCann ($4,000)
Leury Garcia ($3,900)
3. MILWAUKEE BREWERS
While Cole Hamels ($8,800) has been dominant at Wrigley Field this season, he’s been a completely different pitcher on the road. He has a 5.16 ERA away from home, although he did manage a quality start at Miller Park earlier in the year. The Brewers are projected for 4.9 runs here but are priced so cheap outside of Christian Yelich ($5,500) that we should be able to create some value.
The Cubs have a top-10 bullpen, and Milwaukee’s offense ranks just 20th overall, but there still should be enough here to hope the low-priced RHBs can get to Hamels. Both Ryan Braun ($4,100) and Hernan Perez ($2,900) have hit Hamels well in their careers. Perez is one of a few RHBs that should be in the lineup at $3,000 or less.
Players to ConsiderChristian Yelich ($5,500)
Ryan Braun ($4,100)
Yasmani Grandal ($3,900)
Lorenzo Cain ($3,600)
Manny Pina ($3,000)
Hernan Perez ($2,900)
4. LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Jeff Samardzija ($8,300) hasn’t beaten the Dodgers in either of his two starts against them, but he’s been solid — three earned runs in 10 1/3 innings. This will be his first time facing them at Dodger Stadium this season, though. Samardzija was roughed up in his most recent start, giving up six runs to the Padres in 5 1/3 innings, an eventual 8-4 defeat.
The Dodgers have been dominant at home in 2019 and are a top-five offense overall, averaging 5.51 runs per game, which is exactly what they’re projected for on this slate. Samardzija’s given up the majority of his damage this season to LHBs, which plays right into Los Angeles’ strength on this slate. The only cause for concern here is the pricey bats, along with San Francisco’s top-five bullpen.
Players to ConsiderCody Bellinger ($5,100)
Joc Pederson ($5,000)
Justin Turner ($4,400) Q
Corey Seager ($3,900)
Matt Beaty ($3,900)
A.J. Pollock ($3,800)
5. OAKLAND ATHLETICS
I never love to stack the A’s in Oakland because of the ballpark, but this is still a top-10 offense in baseball, averaging 4.9 runs per game at home. A matchup against Spencer Turnbull ($5,600) and the Tigers has Oakland carrying a 5.8-run projection into this one.
After a strong start to the season, Turnbull’s been a mess since the break — a 7.32 ERA in eight starts. During that span, the opposing offense has scored between six and 10 runs in every game he’s started. Much of that is also thanks to Detroit’s 24th-ranked bullpen, but Turnbull did watch six runs cross home plate in four innings when he faced Oakland earlier in the year. The A’s wound up smashing the Tigers 17-3 in that one, so yeah, there’s plenty of upside here.
Players to ConsiderRamon Laureano ($4,900)
Marcus Semien ($4,700)
Matt Olson ($4,600)
Mark Canha ($4,600)
Matt Chapman ($4,500)
Robbie Grossman ($3,500)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.