Tuesday brings us an enormous 14-game MLB slate, and here are my top five offenses to consider stacking.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. TEXAS RANGERS
Baseball’s highest scoring offense is averaging more than six runs per game at home and dropped another 10 on the Mariners on Monday. Tuesday’s matchup will be against Tommy Milone ($5,700), who hasn’t even pitched yet in 2019. Milone’s been pretty brutal over the previous three seasons, with a 6.38 ERA while allowing a .311 batting average.
These Rangers bats have handled Milone pretty well, going 26-for-99 (.295) against him, with home runs coming from four different players — three who project to be in the lineup. This is just a brutal spot for Milone to make his season debut, and Seattle has just a 27th-ranked bullpen to relieve him.
Players to ConsiderHunter Pence ($5,100)
Logan Forsythe ($4,800)
Rougned Odor ($4,400)
Nomar Mazara ($4,200)
Asdrubal Cabrera ($3,800)
2. SEATTLE MARINERS
The Mariners wound up putting together nine runs to kick off their series in Arlington, yet it wasn’t enough for the win. Seattle still ranks as MLB’s fifth-best offense, but it’s been night and day when it’s at home versus the road. The Mariners are an elite road offense, averaging 5.88 runs away from home. This is the time you want to target them, particularly in a location as ideal for hitting as Texas.
Lance Lynn ($6,800) will be on the mound for the Rangers, and he hasn’t been sharp at home this season. Lynn has a 3.86 ERA on the road in 2019, including a gem in Seattle, but just a 7.27 ERA in his three starts in Arlington. The Mariners have hit Lynn pretty well throughout his career, but it’s worth highlighting Jay Bruce ($4,400) here. Bruce has fallen out of the lineup but does have 12 home runs on the year and is 15-for-39 (.385) against Lynn with a double, two triples, three homers and 11 RBI.
Players to ConsiderMitch Haniger ($5,100)
Edwin Encarnacion ($5,000)
Dan Vogelbach ($4,900)
Omar Narvaez ($4,700)
Jay Bruce ($4,400)
3. NEW YORK YANKEES
The Yankees have been a spectacular road offense, averaging about 5.8 runs per game away from the Bronx. That’s exactly what they’re projected for Tuesday after going off for 10 runs in Baltimore a night earlier. This slate offers another good matchup against David Hess ($5,400).
Hess has been tossing batting practice to opposing hitters this season, surrendering 14 dingers in just more than 40 innings. Camden Yards has been a nightmare for Hess to pitch in, where he has a 7.07 ERA in three starts (he’s given up 18 runs in just over 26 innings on the road, too). Ready for this? Hess has faced New York three times this season, twice as a starter, and already given up nine runs and a whopping SEVEN homers in just 13 innings. Of course, Baltimore also has the second-worst bullpen in the majors once Hess presumably gets in trouble.
Players to ConsiderGary Sanchez ($5,200)
Gleyber Torres ($5,100)
Aaron Hicks ($4,700)
DJ LeMahieu ($4,600)
Clint Frazier ($4,200)
4. HOUSTON ASTROS
The Astros only put up three runs against the White Sox in a bullpen game Monday, but Chicago has a pretty solid ‘pen and put together a good game. That means they could be gassed out in the bullpen for the rest of the series against an elite home offense, averaging six runs per game at home.
Dylan Covey ($5,800) will be on the mound for the White Sox, having pitched just 16 1/3 innings this year. While Covey hasn’t been great (4.41 ERA), he’s been far worse in three road outings — 7.50 ERA. Just looking at Covey’s three-year career in the majors, he’s been a disaster on the road the entire time — 7.55 ERA, 2-14 record, .300 batting average and a home run allowed every four innings.
Players to Consider
Alex Bregman ($5,400)
Carlos Correa ($5,300)
Michael Brantley ($5,000)
Josh Reddick ($4,400)
Yuli Gurriel ($4,000)
5. ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Homer Bailey ($6,300) has had his moments this season, but he’s still Homer Bailey. His 5.36 ERA grew back to its normal range during a 16-1 loss to the Rangers. Seriously, Bailey might be somewhat improved this season, but this Cardinals lineup should take him back to his days with the Reds, when he consistently would get pummeled. St. Louis bats are a combined 75-for-208 (.361) against Bailey with 29 extra-base hits, 10 of which left the ballpark.
You might want to check out the BvP numbers yourself, it’s just too much to cover here. The Cards have been a top-10 offense in 2019, averaging over five runs per game and are even better at home, where they average 5.35 runs. With KC having the 25th-ranked bullpen behind Bailey, this one has the potential to get ugly.
Players to ConsiderPaul DeJong ($5,200)
Marcell Ozuna ($4,900)
Paul Goldschmidt ($4,700)
Matt Carpenter ($4,200)
Jose Martinez ($4,200)
Yadier Molina ($4,200)
Editor’s Note: Tonight’s game between the Royals and Cardinals has been posted.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.