It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow
1. CHICAGO CUBSJeff Hoffman ($6,900) has made three brutal starts this season, and only one of them has come against an offense that ranks in the top half of the league in runs per game. Hoffman’s 7.20 ERA is inflated by pitching at Coors Field, but the wind conditions at Wrigley Field should help carry some balls out.
The Rockies do have a top 10 bullpen to help Hoffman out, but opponents are still averaging over 5.0 runs per game in his starts — the Cubs are projected for a slate-high 6.5 runs. Chicago has scored five or more runs in five of its last six games at Wrigley, including seven-plus runs in four of those outings. After putting eight runs on the board in Monday afternoon’s makeup game against the Angels, look for some of that momentum to carry into this favorable matchup.
Players to ConsiderAnthony Rizzo ($5,600)
Kris Bryant ($5,200)
Javier Baez ($4,600)
Jason Heyward ($4,100)
Kyle Schwarber ($3,900)
Carlos Gonzalez ($3,300)
2. TAMPA BAY RAYSThe Rays will face Ryan Carpenter ($5,600) in Detroit, where he’s been a mess this season in a small sample. In 17 innings at home, Carpenter has surrendered 16 runs, five homers and a .351 batting average to opponents. He has a 7.25 ERA on the season, and opposing teams are averaging 7.75 runs per game in Carpenter’s outings (12 runs per game at home).
The Rays have been a pretty average offense this season, but have performed well when the matchup dictates high upside, and are projected for 5.5 runs on Tuesday. The Tigers’ bullpen ranks 27th in baseball, with a 5.13 ERA, leaving plenty of upside for Tampa regardless of when Carpenter’s knocked out of the game.
Players to ConsiderAustin Meadows ($5,700)
Tommy Pham ($5,200) Q
Avisail Garcia ($5,100) Q
Yandy Diaz ($4,400)
Mike Zunino ($3,500)
Willy Adames ($3,400)
3. BALTIMORE ORIOLESThe Orioles rank 24th offensively, but are in a very strong spot, facing Drew Smyly ($6,100) in Texas. Smyly is having a brutal season — with a 6.98 ERA — and is coming off his worst start of the season. The opposition scored seven of more runs in four of Smyly’s nine starts this year, but he gave up all seven runs in five innings himself in his start last week.
Baltimore has managed to score five or more runs (its projection in this game) in seven of its last 11 games, so the offense has proven capable. With Smyly giving up a home run every 3.8 innings, look for the Orioles to stack the RHBs to maximize their chances of going deep.
Players to ConsiderTrey Mancini ($5,000)
Renato Nunez ($4,900)
Jonathan Villar ($4,800)
Pedro Severino ($3,800)
Keon Broxton ($3,700)
Hanser Alberto ($3,500)
4. TEXAS RANGERSI think the Rangers have a slightly more difficult matchup than the O’s, and also carry higher price tags. That said, they’re still a really solid stack against Dylan Bundy ($7,400). Bundy has been pitching well lately, entering May with a 6.67 ERA, but lowering it to 4.58 since — thanks to a 2.64 ERA in five starts last month.
It’s tough to knock Bundy, but four of his May starts did come at home, and the road start was against a 26th-ranked Cleveland offense. Pitching in Texas, against a LHB oriented lineup, should be far more difficult. The Rangers are projected for 5.5 runs, and average 5.83 runs at home this season. Even if Bundy stays hot, the Rangers could come around late against Baltimore’s bullpen, which is the second-worst in baseball.
Players to ConsiderHunter Pence ($5,300)
Shin-Soo Choo ($5,100)
Danny Santana ($4,800)
Nomar Mazara ($4,500)
Asdrubal Cabrera ($4,000)
Rougned Odor ($3,500)
5. BOSTON RED SOXThis last stack was a close call — I think the Yankees and Dodgers are in pretty similar positions, and worth consideration. In the end, I slightly prefer the Red Sox for a couple of reasons. Their bats seem a little cheaper than usual in Kansas City, and the Royals are essentially going with a bullpen game. Glenn Sparkman ($4,700) will make his third start of the season, appearing in his 11th game.
Sparkman has a 4.21 ERA, and is a complete wild card — one of his starts lasted an inning, the other lasted seven innings. Sparkman hasn’t pitched more than 3 1/3 innings in any game outside of that seven-inning start, so we can project this to be a quick stint. Kansas City’s bullpen ranks 22nd, leaving plenty of upside for Boston’s sixth-ranked offense. The Royals have lost five straight games in which Sparkman has pitched, giving up an average of 7.4 runs per game during that stretch.
Players to ConsiderXander Bogaerts ($5,400)
Mookie Betts ($5,000)
J.D. Martinez ($5,000)
Rafael Devers ($5,000)
Michael Chavis ($4,800)
Andrew Benintendi ($4,700)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.