We have a small four-game slate tonight, but there are still good stacking options. The question is whether or not to roster the chalky Dodgers in Coors Field. They have the highest implied run total of the slate, but come with the opportunity cost of not being able to roster Stephen Strasburg ($11,900) as the only high pitcher on the slate.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate.
1. Los Angeles Dodgers
The top stack of the night has to be the Dodgers playing in Denver. They have a 6.7 implied team total, by far the largest on the slate. Starting for the Rockies, Peter Lambert is a rookie and is struggling. Lambert allows a .407 wOBA to left-handed hitters, and the Dodgers have some of the most talented lefties in baseball to throw at him. In four big league starts, he has a 5.85 ERA and has allowed 11 total runs in his past two starts. There isn’t much reason to expect a turnaround for Lambert. He isn’t a highly regarded prospect, and he allowed a 5.07 ERA in his 11 Triple-A starts. The only issue here is the pricing. The Dodgers are extremely expensive, and you have to feel good about cheap pitchers for a Dodgers stack to be profitable.
Players to ConsiderCody Bellinger ($5,900)
Joc Pederson ($5,400)
Max Muncy ($5,600)
Justin Turner ($4,900)
Alex Verdugo ($5,000)
Matt Beaty ($4,200)
2. Los Angeles Angels
The Angels likely won’t score as much as the Dodgers, but I think they are a better value per dollar. Outside of Mike Trout ($5,800), everybody is priced well under $5K, and the offense is on the upswing since Justin Upton made his season debut. He missed the first couple months with a toe injury and has a 158 wRC+ in nine games since coming back. The team has at least five runs in five of its past seven games and is implied to score 5.3 runs tonight. As a low-cost play, Luis Rengifo ($3,700) has been a solid source of value lately. He’s averaging 9.86 DKFP in his past seven games.
Players to ConsiderMike Trout ($5,800)
Shohei Ohtani ($4,700)
Justin Upton ($4,500)
Tommy La Stella ($4,400)
Kole Calhoun ($4,100)
Luis Rengifo ($3,700)
3. San Francisco Giants
The Giants’ offense is miserable. They are last in baseball with a 63 wRC+ against left-handed pitching, but there is slight reason for optimism tonight. With Arizona thin on starting pitching, Alex Young is getting called up from Triple-A to start. In the minors, he has a 6.09 in 54 2/3 innings. As bad as the Giants have been, they are better than a minor league squad, so this is a step up in competition for Young. Given his struggles in lower-level baseball, he seems like an odd choice for the Diamondbacks to call up.
Players to ConsiderBuster Posey ($3,000)
Tyler Austin ($3,800)
Evan Longoria ($3,400)
Brandon Belt ($3,600)
Kevin Pillar ($4,000)
Joe Panik ($3,300)
4. Miami Marlins
This is a four-game slate and Strasburg ($11,900) figures to be the most popular pitcher on the slate. Is it likely the Marlins have a big night? No. Stacking them has more to do about game theory and leveraging ownership in GPPs. They are the easiest way to differentiate tonight and scoring just a few runs could not only provide value, but knock off all the Strasburg lineups. Miami is far too risky in cash games and I wouldn’t roster them if you only play one lineup, however, it is worth considering if building multiple lineups to differ from the field. The one positive for potential optimism, Strasburg historically has struggled in hot weather, and the temperature is expected to feel close to 97 degrees in Miami tonight.
Players to ConsiderGarrett Cooper ($4,200)
Harold Ramirez ($3,700)
Brian Anderson ($3,800)
Starlin Castro ($2,800)
J.T. Riddle ($3,000)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.