Tuesday evening brings us a full 15-game fantasy baseball slate, and it features some of the highest run projections I can recall this season. Most of these spots are relatively obvious, but with every team in action, I don’t think we’ll need to worry too much about ownership.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. NEW YORK YANKEESEver since the Yankees have had their entire lineup available to them, they’ve been crushing the baseball. Now averaging 5.58 runs per game, the Yanks are fresh off another 10-run performance on Monday, now averaging 7.57 runs per game over the past week. New York showed how dominant it can be on Monday, getting shutout the first four innings, then going off for 10 runs in just the fifth and sixth innings combined. In another matchup against the Blue Jays in the Bronx, the Yankees are projected for a ludicrous 7.7 runs.
Clayton Richard ($4,800) will be on the mound this time around for Toronto, and his 7.46 ERA has been on the decline over the past month. The lefty has now allowed 16 runs in his last 12 2/3 innings, bringing absolutely zero momentum into a matchup against the hottest offense in baseball. This lineup has a great track record against Richard, and the Toronto bullpen has been on a skid lately. There’s nothing to dislike about the Yankees offense going bonkers, aside from some pricey salaries.
Players to ConsiderGary Sanchez ($5,600)
DJ LeMahieu ($5,300)
Edwin Encarnacion ($5,200)
Gleyber Torres ($5,200)
Aaron Judge ($4,700)
Giancarlo Stanton ($4,600)
(Once again, all nine bats in the confirmed lineup are strong options)
2. CHICAGO CUBSSome of the strongest winds we’ve seen blowing out of Wrigley Field on Monday were a big storyline when it came to projected scoring, and the Cubs did their part, en route to eight runs. While not as ideal on Tuesday, the strong winds in Chicago are expected to play a role in this game as well, with the Cubs projected for 6.0 runs again.
Max Fried ($6,700) will get the start for Atlanta, and while he had a strong start against the Cubs earlier in the season, it came at home. Fried has a 4.75 ERA on the road this season, and has been involved in some high scoring games this month, with the Braves giving up at least five runs in each of his road starts (against the lowly Marlins and Pirates offenses). If you want to go for a game stack here, the Braves have a much better matchup on this slate than they did on Monday. Those LHBs should be in a great spot.
Players to ConsiderAnthony Rizzo ($5,000)
Javier Baez ($5,000)
Kris Bryant ($4,900)
Willson Contreras ($4,700)
Albert Almora ($3,300)
Addison Russell ($3,300)
3. PHILADELPHIA PHILLIESLike the Yanks and Cubs, the Phillies came through for us on Monday, and were the top overall stack. They dropped 13 runs on the Mets, and all eight position players (1-8 in the batting order) went for double-digit DKFP (something I can’t recall ever seeing). They’re in another spectacular spot on Tuesday, this time projected for 5.8 runs against Walker Lockett ($6,000).
Lockett’s made one appearance this season — giving up six runs to the Cubs in 2 1/3 innings in a performance that raised his career ERA to 11.42. The Mets bullpen had another brutal showing on Monday, giving up six runs in 3 2/3 innings. The bullpen has been a complete clown show over the past two weeks, and has now plummeted all the way down to 28th in ERA over the season (5.36). Stacking against the Mets, particularly with an incapable starter on the mound, is a no-brainer at this point.
Players to ConsiderScott Kingery ($4,800)
Rhys Hoskins ($4,600)
Bryce Harper ($4,500)
Jay Bruce ($4,400)
Jean Segura ($4,000)
J.T. Realmuto ($3,900)
4. SAN DIEGO PADRESThe Padres aren’t generally in top stacks, but they find themselves in a rare spot playing at Camden Yards. San Diego’s projected for 6.1 runs against Jimmy Yacabonis ($6,400), who has been worse in limited work at home — 5.68 ERA. Yacabonis is really just an opener/bullpen arm, and while he hasn’t given up a run in his last five-plus innings pitched, games he pitches in generally wind up being high scoring losses.
Baltimore’s bullpen ranks 29th in the majors this season, with an ugly 6.16 ERA. The Orioles have surrendered five or more runs in five of their last six games, the outlier being a four-run output by the Mariners. Over that same span, three of the opponent’s totals have hit double digits. The Padres have the potential to score, and have some momentum after scoring 10 runs in the final game of a series in Pittsburgh, despite losing in extras. This is as high-upside of a spot you’ll find this offense in all season, and we also have the Manny Machado ($5,500) return narrative in place.
Players to ConsiderFernando Tatis Jr. ($5,700)
Manny Machado ($5,500)
Hunter Renfroe ($5,400)
Eric Hosmer ($4,500)
Franmil Reyes ($4,200)
Josh Naylor ($3,800)
5. MILWAUKEE BREWERSThere’s a million ways we can go with the final stack. The Braves were mentioned in the Wrigley section of this article, the Red Sox are in a fantastic spot, but could have some weather issues, and the Blue Jays, Tigers and Rangers are all good value. But I’m officially going with the Brewers here, just because I feel they’re in the safest spot, and with all these other elite stacks, shouldn’t have crazy ownership.
Milwaukee’s projected for 6.1 runs at home, going up against Marco Gonzales ($7,000) and the Mariners. Seattle’s found itself in some of the highest scoring games this season, particularly since falling off a cliff following its hot start. Gonzales has a 6.75 ERA over his last five starts, and is backed up by the 27th-ranked bullpen in baseball, with a 5.21 ERA. With the Brewers averaging 5.15 runs per game at home this season, and topping six runs in four of their last five, this seems like a good place to keep the runs coming.
Players to ConsiderChristian Yelich ($5,800)
Mike Moustakas ($5,000)
Yasmani Grandal ($4,900)
Ryan Braun ($4,400)
Lorenzo Cain ($4,200)
Hernan Perez ($3,300)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.