Tuesday has a jam packed 15-game MLB slate. With every team in action, it’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. WASHINGTON NATIONALSWeather hurt some of us in Washington, D.C., on Monday, but now we’ll have the same matchup on Tuesday. The Nationals are in a great spot against Jake Arrieta ($7,300) and the Phillies, holding a 5.5-run projection. Arrieta has a 4.54 ERA on the road this season, giving up 10 of his 14 home runs in fewer innings than he’s pitched in Philly. LHBs also have connected on 10 of his 14 home runs, and this is a park that both of those numbers should carry some weight in.
Since gaining their health, the Nationals have become an above average offense, scoring 15 runs on Sunday afternoon against Arizona. I’d look to focus on LHBs here in your stack, but sprinkling in some RHBs won’t hurt. They should get opportunities later in the game against a Philly bullpen that’s been absolutely horrible in recent weeks.
Players to ConsiderTrea Turner ($5,400)
Anthony Rendon ($5,300)
Matt Adams ($4,200)
Juan Soto ($4,100)
Adam Eaton ($3,900)
Brian Dozier ($3,400)
2. OAKLAND ATHLETICSOakland’s average offense has been significantly better on the road this season, but that doesn’t mean we need to avoid a tremendous spot at home against the Orioles. Baltimore will start Gabriel Ynoa ($4,500), who is winless with a 5.02 ERA this season. Ynoa has allowed 12 runs in 15 2/3 innings on the road, and is giving up a home run in under every four innings.
Ynoa has started three games so far in June, with the Orioles losing all three and giving up eight runs per game. Baltimore’s bullpen still ranks second to last in baseball, with a 5.96 ERA. While the A’s haven’t been as productive at home, their salaries represent that, leaving up with value. These bats are way too cheap for a matchup that has them projected for 5.5 runs.
Players to ConsiderMatt Olson ($4,600)
Marcus Semien ($4,500)
Matt Chapman ($4,200)
Robbie Grossman ($4,100)
Khris Davis ($4,000)
Stephen Piscotty ($3,700)
3. CHICAGO CUBSThe Cubs are projected for just over 5.0 runs at Wrigley Field, as Ivan Nova ($5,000) and the White Sox will travel across town. The Cubs have been a better offense on the road this season, and are coming off a cold four-game series vs. the Dodgers — they were held to three or fewer runs in each game. This should be a breakout spot for these bats.
Nova has a 6.28 ERA this season, and while he’s cleaned up his act since posting an 8.42 ERA in April, he’s still consistently allowed in four runs in each of his three June starts. The opposition is averaging 5.0 runs per game in those outings, but the White Sox bullpen has come undone a bit lately. Once comfortably a top-10 bullpen, it now ranks 13th in the majors with a 4.27 ERA, thanks to a poor two-week stretch. After dropping 3-of-4 in Los Angeles, this offense is in position to pick it back up.
Players to ConsiderKris Bryant ($5,100)
Anthony Rizzo ($5,100)
Javier Baez ($4,600)
Kyle Schwarber ($4,400)
Jason Heyward ($4,000)
Carlos Gonzalez ($3,100)
4. ST. LOUIS CARDINALSThe Cardinals have a modest 5.0 run projection at home, where they’ll face Jordan Yamamoto ($8,300) and the Marlins. St. Louis won the first game of the series 5-0, and is now averaging 6.0 runs per game over its last five outings. While the Cardinals have dropped overall in the offensive rankings, they’ve still been hot lately, and have consistently been more productive at home.
The upside here is that Yamamoto has made one career start in the big leagues, the downside is that it was seven shutout innings against the Cardinals in Miami. This is a solid pitcher in the minors, but his 3.58 ERA came at the Double-A level, and he’s due for some obvious regression at the next level. I’d expect this Cardinals lineup to be much more prepared this time around, particularly in their own ball park. Miami’s 26th-ranked bullpen also leaves upside when Yamamoto’s pulled.
Players to ConsiderMarcell Ozuna ($4,700)
Paul DeJong ($4,400)
Matt Carpenter ($3,800)
Paul Goldschmidt ($3,800)
Kolten Wong ($3,700)
Dexter Fowler ($3,600)
5. CLEVELAND INDIANSWhile the top two bats in the order came through on Monday, a full blown Indians stack didn’t get it done. I’m willing to give them another shot since they’re playing in a great park for hitters, and are priced so cheap. Cleveland’s projected for 5.5 runs against Adrian Sampson ($7,800) and the Rangers.
Sampson’s 4.21 ERA actually significantly improves at home, but his recent success has been his ability to go deeper in games. Generally someone who doesn’t go much further than five innings, if that, Sampson has managed to last seven and nine innings in two of his three starts in June. If he regresses to the form we saw him in earlier in the season, that would leave the Indians with more at-bats against this 20th-ranked bullpen. These bats are extremely affordable given the run projection here.
Players to ConsiderFrancisco Lindor ($5,300)
Carlos Santana ($5,000)
Oscar Mercado ($4,800)
Jose Ramirez ($3,900)
Jake Bauers ($3,700)
Jason Kipnis ($3,200)
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.