Tuesday’s 15-game main slate is loaded with high run projections, as only 4 of 30 starting pitchers are priced over $10,000. Let’s breakdown the top-5 spots to target stacks.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. CHICAGO CUBSThe Cubs are projected for a slate-high 6.4 runs in Colorado, facing Peter Lambert ($5,600) at Coors Field. The Cubs are already one of the best road offenses in baseball, averaging 5.67 runs away from Wrigley Field. They managed five runs at Coors in the series opener on Monday, but are in much better position on this slate.
Lambert’s made one start in his career, just recently against the Cubs. He pitched very well, allowing one run in seven innings. Now it’s time to welcome the 22-year-old to Coors. Lambert’s start at Wrigley looks like it could’ve been a fluke, as he had a 5.07 ERA in 11 Triple-A starts to begin his season. I expect a ton of regression in this spot, and a big night for the Cubs.
Players to ConsiderAnthony Rizzo ($5,600)
Javier Baez ($5,600)
Kris Bryant ($5,400)
Kyle Schwarber ($5,200)
Willson Contreras ($5,200)
Carlos Gonzalez ($3,600)
2. BOSTON RED SOXThe Red Sox are coming off another disappointing loss in a low-scoring Chris Sale start, but find themselves in better position here. Ariel Jurado ($7,500) gets the start for Texas, as he has in 4 of 13 appearances. He does have a 2.78 ERA this season, going six or more innings in each of his last three starts, but they came against much less dominant offenses.
Jurado had a 5.93 ERA as a rookie last season, and the Red Sox average 5.35 runs per game at Fenway Park this season. Texas has the 22nd-ranked bullpen in baseball, which is a huge reason Boston’s projected for 6.0 runs.
Players to ConsiderRafael Devers ($5,100)
Xander Bogaerts ($5,000)
J.D. Martinez ($4,900)
Mookie Betts ($4,800)
Andrew Benintendi ($4,700)
Michael Chavis ($4,400)
3. WASHINGTON NATIONALSAfter averaging 7.5 runs per game in a two-game series against the White Sox last week in Washington, the Nationals started this week’s series in Chicago with a 12-1 victory. This is another smash spot for the Nats, who are projected for 5.5 runs against Manny Banuelos ($6,000).
Banuelos has been horrible this season, with a 7.36 ERA, and plenty of recent struggles. His last start was a surprising 10-4 victory over the Indians, but Chicago had lost his previous four starts, giving up an average of 9.25 runs per game. Washington’s offense has come alive since getting healthy, and is averaging 9.0 runs per game against the White Sox this season.
Players to ConsiderAnthony Rendon ($5,500)
Howie Kendrick ($5,300)
Juan Soto ($5,000)
Trea Turner ($4,900)
Adam Eaton ($4,100)
Brian Dozier ($4,000)
4. MINNESOTA TWINSThe Twins will host Mike Leake ($7,600) and the Mariners, and are projected for over 5.5 runs. Leake’s been a mess on the road this season, with a 5.57 ERA, giving up a whopping 14 homers in 42 innings — one every three innings.
Minnesota has been baseball’s highest scoring offense so far, at just a shade under 6.0 runs per game, and have the LHBs in their lineup to give Leake a lot of problems. With the fifth-worst bullpen in the majors, the Twins shouldn’t have much trouble sustaining their offense once they knock Leake out of the game.
Players to ConsiderJorge Polanco ($4,900)
Max Kepler ($4,800)
Eddie Rosario ($4,800)
Nelson Cruz ($4,700)
C.J. Cron ($4,400)
Marwin Gonzalez ($3,700)
5. PHILADELPHIA PHILLIESCitizens Bank Park is the new home to the most home runs even in a game — 13 on Monday (eight by the Diamondbacks and five by the Phillies). While I’m not expecting another record setting night, the Phillies are in another really strong spot facing Jon Duplantier ($6,300).
Duplantier’s only started two of his seven appearances this season, including just three innings on the road. Philly averages 5.26 runs per game at home this season, and it sets up well for LHBs to go deep with a RHP on the mound.
Players to ConsiderJay Bruce ($4,800)
Bryce Harper ($4,200)
Rhys Hoskins ($4,100)
J.T. Realmuto ($4,100)
Jean Segura ($4,000)
Cesar Hernandez ($3,600)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.