With a 14-game MLB main slate, plenty of offenses jump out to put up big numbers. I’ll leave the obvious spot of Coors Field off this article, but the Dodgers are in a prime bounce-back spot against Kyle Freeland ($4,400), projected for nearly eight runs! Here are my top stacking considerations, while fading Coors.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. TEXAS RANGERS
Mike Leake ($8,600) has been solid over the past month, but this just isn’t a good spot for him. He’s been a much worse pitcher on the road all season, with a 5.60 ERA that’s fueled by giving up home runs at almost four times the rate — 20 homers in 62 2/3 innings. Leake’s gotten hit hard by the Rangers this season, with a 7.94 ERA in three starts.
Those outings against Texas featured 19 runs and six home runs in just 17 innings, and the game in Arlington was Leake’s worst — seven runs and three dingers in just five innings. The Rangers feature the perfect LHB-focused lineup to hit Leake hard, and Seattle’s 26th-ranked bullpen provides little resistance as the game goes on. Texas is projected for 6.2 runs at home and has totaled 28 runs in the three full games facing Leake.
Players to ConsiderDanny Santana ($5,300)
Hunter Pence ($4,600)
Shin-Soo Choo ($4,400)
Nomar Mazara ($4,200)
Rougned Odor ($4,100)
Asdrubal Cabrera ($3,700)
2. SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
It’s not often we see the Giants as one of the most valuable stacks on the slate, but it’s also not often we see them tee off against Drew Smyly ($6,000) in a hitter’s park. San Francisco’s projected for 5.1 runs in Philly, where things are bound to regress for Smyly. He was terrific in his Phillies debut, giving up just one run in six innings, but it came against a struggling Pirates squad.
Prior to the All-Star break, Smyly had an 8.42 ERA, somehow surrendering 19 homers in 51 1/3 innings. The Phillies have a below-average bullpen, ranking 21st in the majors, so Smyly getting knocked around early could be an issue. The Giants have been night and day offensively when they’re on the road versus at home, averaging 3.36 runs per game in San Francisco but a productive 5.38 in other parks. That’s a ton of production for an extremely cheap offense.
Players to ConsiderDonovan Solano ($4,000)
Austin Slater ($3,900)
Buster Posey ($3,700)
Tyler Austin ($3,600)
Kevin Pillar ($3,600)
Zach Green ($3,100)
3. CINCINNATI REDS
While the Reds aren’t in quite as good of a spot as they found themselves Monday, when they smashed in 11 runs, it’s still a solid stack against the crumbling Pirates. Joe Musgrove ($5,100) has pitched nine scoreless innings against the Reds this season, allowing just three total hits. He’s been on a slide just like all Pittsburgh pitching, with a 5.17 ERA since the break, allowing five or more earned runs in two of his past three outings.
The Pirates’ bullpen has been trash lately and ranks 22nd in MLB for the season. The Reds carry a 5.2-run projection into this one, and the offense is trending in the right direction. While this one might not see as many runs right away, Cincinnati should be able to get to Musgrove and easily handle the bullpen.
Players to ConsiderEugenio Suarez ($5,200) P
Nick Senzel ($4,300)
Yasiel Puig ($4,300)
Joey Votto ($3,900)
Josh VanMeter ($3,800)
Scooter Gennett ($3,300)
4. NEW YORK YANKEES
The Yankees have a monster seven-run projection for interleague play at Yankee Stadium, facing Taylor Clarke ($5,300) and the Diamondbacks. Clarke hasn’t had a good rookie season, with a 6.10 ERA, and hasn’t really gotten into a groove at any point this year. Arizona’s bullpen ranks smack in the middle of the league, which still should be an advantage for New York’s offense.
The Yankees’ bats should be able to smash Clarke early in this one. The offense is averaging 5.81 runs per game, and although they dropped three of four in their past series in Boston, the Yanks still totaled 19 runs in the final three games. Going back 13 games, the Yankees have scored five or more runs 11 times. While we have to pay for the bats, this offense might have the safest floor in baseball right now.
Players to ConsiderEdwin Encarnacion ($5,300)
DJ LeMahieu ($5,100) Q
Didi Gregorius ($5,000)
Aaron Hicks ($4,900)
Aaron Judge ($4,800)
Gleyber Torres ($4,600)
5. LOS ANGELES ANGELS
The Angels were a huge letdown in the series opener against Detroit but are in a strong bounce-back spot with a six-run projection. Drew VerHagen ($4,300) is slated to start for the Tigers but probably will have a short leash — he’s pitched 10 innings in 11 outings. His lone start did come in his most recent game, though. VerHagen allowed seven runs in four innings of an eventual 10-2 loss in Seattle.
The Angels have one of the best home offenses in baseball, averaging 5.28 runs per game. Ideally Los Angeles hits VerHagen right out of the gate, but even if it doesn’t, there’s still upside here. Detroit’s bullpen ranks just 25th and used a lot of its top arms to lock down a victory a night early. Expect the game script to completely flip here from what we saw in the series opener.
Players to ConsiderMike Trout ($5,700)
Shohei Ohtani ($4,800)
Kole Calhoun ($4,000)
Albert Pujols ($4,000)
David Fletcher ($3,700)
Justin Upton ($3,600)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.